Rowan Alcock
@row-a.bsky.social
DPhil at University of Oxford. Currently Post-Doc at Tsinghua University.
Research -- Karl Polanyi, China, Environment.
Research -- Karl Polanyi, China, Environment.
'At the achieved rates, these countries would on average take more than 220 years to reduce their emissions by 95%, emitting 27 times their remaining 1·5°C fair-shares...' www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
Is green growth happening? An empirical analysis of achieved versus Paris-compliant CO2–GDP decoupling in high-income countries
The decoupling rates achieved in high-income countries are inadequate for meeting
the climate and equity commitments of the Paris Agreement and cannot legitimately
be considered green. If green is to ...
www.thelancet.com
December 11, 2025 at 12:22 PM
'At the achieved rates, these countries would on average take more than 220 years to reduce their emissions by 95%, emitting 27 times their remaining 1·5°C fair-shares...' www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
Reposted by Rowan Alcock
How likely is an #AMOC shutdown? Here's our latest study based on 768 runs with 38 standard climate models (the CMIP6 models). Note these do not include any meltwater from Greenland mass loss, so might underestimate the risk a bit. 2/2
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
December 5, 2025 at 11:42 AM
How likely is an #AMOC shutdown? Here's our latest study based on 768 runs with 38 standard climate models (the CMIP6 models). Note these do not include any meltwater from Greenland mass loss, so might underestimate the risk a bit. 2/2
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
Reposted by Rowan Alcock
Yes. 8% is the global reduction rate from the start of 2026 &for an “83% chance of not exceeding 2°C” (based on Lamboll et al 2023 budgets). Include a relatively weak interpretation of international equity & the UK reduction rate would be nearer 13%pa; similar to that for most ‘developed’ countries.
November 28, 2025 at 3:38 PM
Yes. 8% is the global reduction rate from the start of 2026 &for an “83% chance of not exceeding 2°C” (based on Lamboll et al 2023 budgets). Include a relatively weak interpretation of international equity & the UK reduction rate would be nearer 13%pa; similar to that for most ‘developed’ countries.
