A major shift is underway: China's rise as the top destination for developing countries' exports (between 2019 and 2024) is redrawing the global economy. 🇨🇳🌎
Excited to share my latest research — coming soon at @idos-research.bsky.social and @eadi.bsky.social , Bonn!

"4 scenarios for securing peace in Ukraine"

Game theory is useful for analyzing potential outcomes of the Russia-Ukraine war. Drawing on current debates, 4 distinct scenarios emerge (driven by the strategic decision-making of Russia, Europe & US). Current trends suggest a potential governance trap.

Pausing tariffs on #Mexico & #Canada reveals the struggle to decouple from #China. The region is too integrated—reshoring industries would be costly for U.S. consumers & businesses. Yet, tariffs fit a broader security agenda, as the U.S. navigates its waning influence & growing global disputes.

🌎 Trump 2.0: Mexico faces a hard landing as unilateral U.S. actions loom. Economic & security risks are rising, but Mexico is fighting back with proactive measures. #Mexico #Trump #GlobalGovernance #RegionalRisks

📊 Summary of threats, impacts & actions here:

The dollar: a double-edged sword. Our latest explores how its dominance fuels global inequality and covert resource extraction. #GlobalHydra #DirtyMoney #Weaponization_Dollar #Surplus_Recycling_Mechanism @cogitatiopag.bsky.social www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandg...

Yesterday, we welcomed @zvillamar.bsky.social as a guest speaker, offering an expert deep dive into the G-20 during the Rio de Janeiro summit. We also explored the growing influence of the Global South at intergovernmental forums—a timely & thought-provoking discussion #Katekisama #UniversityofBonn