Rico
@ricotks.bsky.social
Tech guy. Music guy. Dad guy. Husband guy. Some guy in between.
Cofounder at Kipon. Creator of Livedub.
Former Skore (exit 2021)
Cofounder at Kipon. Creator of Livedub.
Former Skore (exit 2021)
mas não é pra ser fácil mesmo...
January 27, 2026 at 8:53 PM
mas não é pra ser fácil mesmo...
The starting point is the same in every scenario: measure skills better.
Know what people can do, what evidence backs it, where gaps are, and how AI agents can complement those gaps. If this is inevitable, the only strategic move is to start now.
Know what people can do, what evidence backs it, where gaps are, and how AI agents can complement those gaps. If this is inevitable, the only strategic move is to start now.
January 22, 2026 at 12:22 AM
The starting point is the same in every scenario: measure skills better.
Know what people can do, what evidence backs it, where gaps are, and how AI agents can complement those gaps. If this is inevitable, the only strategic move is to start now.
Know what people can do, what evidence backs it, where gaps are, and how AI agents can complement those gaps. If this is inevitable, the only strategic move is to start now.
Here’s the uncomfortable truth: the tech side will scale anyway. Even if models hit speed bumps, integration keeps spreading into non tech work. The real bottleneck is the workforce’s ability to adapt.
January 22, 2026 at 12:22 AM
Here’s the uncomfortable truth: the tech side will scale anyway. Even if models hit speed bumps, integration keeps spreading into non tech work. The real bottleneck is the workforce’s ability to adapt.
Scenario D: Stalled Progress
AI advances incrementally + people aren’t ready.
Short term cost pressure blocks transformation. Productivity gains concentrate in regions and companies with expertise.
AI advances incrementally + people aren’t ready.
Short term cost pressure blocks transformation. Productivity gains concentrate in regions and companies with expertise.
January 22, 2026 at 12:22 AM
Scenario D: Stalled Progress
AI advances incrementally + people aren’t ready.
Short term cost pressure blocks transformation. Productivity gains concentrate in regions and companies with expertise.
AI advances incrementally + people aren’t ready.
Short term cost pressure blocks transformation. Productivity gains concentrate in regions and companies with expertise.
Scenario C: Co Pilot Economy
AI advances incrementally + people are ready.
Less hype, more pragmatic integration. Focus on augmentation over mass automation. Displacement still happens, but it’s manageable.
AI advances incrementally + people are ready.
Less hype, more pragmatic integration. Focus on augmentation over mass automation. Displacement still happens, but it’s manageable.
January 22, 2026 at 12:22 AM
Scenario C: Co Pilot Economy
AI advances incrementally + people are ready.
Less hype, more pragmatic integration. Focus on augmentation over mass automation. Displacement still happens, but it’s manageable.
AI advances incrementally + people are ready.
Less hype, more pragmatic integration. Focus on augmentation over mass automation. Displacement still happens, but it’s manageable.
Scenario B: Age of Displacement
AI advances exponentially + people aren’t ready.
Companies automate aggressively due to talent gaps. Unemployment arrives faster than reskilling.
AI advances exponentially + people aren’t ready.
Companies automate aggressively due to talent gaps. Unemployment arrives faster than reskilling.
January 22, 2026 at 12:22 AM
Scenario B: Age of Displacement
AI advances exponentially + people aren’t ready.
Companies automate aggressively due to talent gaps. Unemployment arrives faster than reskilling.
AI advances exponentially + people aren’t ready.
Companies automate aggressively due to talent gaps. Unemployment arrives faster than reskilling.
Scenario A: Supercharged Progress
AI advances exponentially + people are ready.
Productivity and innovation explode. Many jobs vanish, new ones scale fast, and humans become “agent orchestrators.”
AI advances exponentially + people are ready.
Productivity and innovation explode. Many jobs vanish, new ones scale fast, and humans become “agent orchestrators.”
January 22, 2026 at 12:22 AM
Scenario A: Supercharged Progress
AI advances exponentially + people are ready.
Productivity and innovation explode. Many jobs vanish, new ones scale fast, and humans become “agent orchestrators.”
AI advances exponentially + people are ready.
Productivity and innovation explode. Many jobs vanish, new ones scale fast, and humans become “agent orchestrators.”
for me, the idea of structuring and formatting texts keyboard-only was fundamental for my adoption of markdown. iA Writer as an app that pushed me in that direction. Markdown, iA Writer, and my Keychron are part of my routine.
January 21, 2026 at 12:04 AM
for me, the idea of structuring and formatting texts keyboard-only was fundamental for my adoption of markdown. iA Writer as an app that pushed me in that direction. Markdown, iA Writer, and my Keychron are part of my routine.
The goal is simple:
At any moment, see who can best solve which problems, in real time.
At any moment, see who can best solve which problems, in real time.
January 18, 2026 at 12:06 PM
The goal is simple:
At any moment, see who can best solve which problems, in real time.
At any moment, see who can best solve which problems, in real time.
Transparency without clustering creates overload.
Clustering without transparency creates a black box.
Clustering without transparency creates a black box.
January 18, 2026 at 12:06 PM
Transparency without clustering creates overload.
Clustering without transparency creates a black box.
Clustering without transparency creates a black box.
Second: dynamically cluster information so humans can actually understand it.
January 18, 2026 at 12:06 PM
Second: dynamically cluster information so humans can actually understand it.
First: make skill meaning explicit by showing contexts, related skills, and challenges.
January 18, 2026 at 12:06 PM
First: make skill meaning explicit by showing contexts, related skills, and challenges.
This is not incompetence.
It’s cognitive overload.
It’s cognitive overload.
January 17, 2026 at 12:57 PM
This is not incompetence.
It’s cognitive overload.
It’s cognitive overload.
The deeper they go, the more complexity they uncover, and the effort grows non linearly.
January 17, 2026 at 12:57 PM
The deeper they go, the more complexity they uncover, and the effort grows non linearly.
In practice, they feel lost because each skill hides a fractal of interpretations.
January 17, 2026 at 12:57 PM
In practice, they feel lost because each skill hides a fractal of interpretations.
Normalization is not about control.
It’s about creating a shared language for action.
It’s about creating a shared language for action.
January 16, 2026 at 11:26 PM
Normalization is not about control.
It’s about creating a shared language for action.
It’s about creating a shared language for action.
If the system cannot reconcile this, it cannot compare, measure, automate, or decide.
January 16, 2026 at 11:26 PM
If the system cannot reconcile this, it cannot compare, measure, automate, or decide.