Liv
@realliv04.bsky.social
Professional stats nerd - Shockingly dyslexic - Former President of the French Republic - MP for Toronto North East since 1996
Twitter: @RealLiv04
(She/They), 21 🏳️⚧️
Twitter: @RealLiv04
(She/They), 21 🏳️⚧️
Pinned
Same with Labour, not quite at a historic low but its close
May 15, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Same with Labour, not quite at a historic low but its close
Worth noting that the Tories are begining to drop noticeably lower then their previous low points, they're currently on 18.9% which is a point lower then their previous historic low during the election
May 15, 2025 at 3:12 PM
Worth noting that the Tories are begining to drop noticeably lower then their previous low points, they're currently on 18.9% which is a point lower then their previous historic low during the election
Fair to say Reform have opened up a fairly clear lead against Labour now.
First time a 3rd parties had a proper clear lead since the Alliance surge in 1982.
First time a 3rd parties had a proper clear lead since the Alliance surge in 1982.
May 13, 2025 at 1:07 PM
Fair to say Reform have opened up a fairly clear lead against Labour now.
First time a 3rd parties had a proper clear lead since the Alliance surge in 1982.
First time a 3rd parties had a proper clear lead since the Alliance surge in 1982.
Tbh I'd be intrigued to see polling on a hypothetical new left party, putting aside my own veiws I do think it's one of the most interesting variables of this parliament and just something worth gauging. Also know it's a bit old but in 2016 there was about 14% of the electorate open to suporting one
May 12, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Tbh I'd be intrigued to see polling on a hypothetical new left party, putting aside my own veiws I do think it's one of the most interesting variables of this parliament and just something worth gauging. Also know it's a bit old but in 2016 there was about 14% of the electorate open to suporting one
Didn't realise how much Reform has gained traction on Tiktok over the past while and compared even to Corbyn or Sultana he's got a hell of a presence. Tbh those two should up their game there, they have contacts with Linke and should take notes from them about their election campaign.
May 12, 2025 at 1:47 PM
Didn't realise how much Reform has gained traction on Tiktok over the past while and compared even to Corbyn or Sultana he's got a hell of a presence. Tbh those two should up their game there, they have contacts with Linke and should take notes from them about their election campaign.
Really concerned by how much I've returned to being a total Corbyn dead ender, like I've gone from the "oh well I kinda liked him but yeah his leadership had issues and maybe it's time to move on" to nostalgically watching that fucking Glastonbury video
May 10, 2025 at 10:31 PM
Really concerned by how much I've returned to being a total Corbyn dead ender, like I've gone from the "oh well I kinda liked him but yeah his leadership had issues and maybe it's time to move on" to nostalgically watching that fucking Glastonbury video
Non zero chance the next election ends up with looking like this and tbh i feel like it'd be unimaginably stupid
May 10, 2025 at 11:07 AM
Non zero chance the next election ends up with looking like this and tbh i feel like it'd be unimaginably stupid
Just separated the post local election polls and yeah.....
May 9, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Just separated the post local election polls and yeah.....
Despite it being near my patch i don't really know Skircoat too well, get the vibe its slightly more affuent then the rest of Halifax but its got an interesting voting history. Traditionally a Tory stronghold it had swung to Labour over the past decade, didn't have too strong a UKIP presence either.
May 9, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Despite it being near my patch i don't really know Skircoat too well, get the vibe its slightly more affuent then the rest of Halifax but its got an interesting voting history. Traditionally a Tory stronghold it had swung to Labour over the past decade, didn't have too strong a UKIP presence either.
Kinda stuff Jeeza be up to instead of setting up a new party 😭
May 8, 2025 at 9:58 PM
Kinda stuff Jeeza be up to instead of setting up a new party 😭
Reposted by Liv
How has partisan opinion shifted in the eight months since the election?
Most notable is Reform's surge, which is actually quite flat in regional terms, with the most notable core differentiator being age - with Reform gaining more among older Britons, contrary to some assumptions.
Most notable is Reform's surge, which is actually quite flat in regional terms, with the most notable core differentiator being age - with Reform gaining more among older Britons, contrary to some assumptions.
March 2, 2025 at 1:22 PM
How has partisan opinion shifted in the eight months since the election?
Most notable is Reform's surge, which is actually quite flat in regional terms, with the most notable core differentiator being age - with Reform gaining more among older Britons, contrary to some assumptions.
Most notable is Reform's surge, which is actually quite flat in regional terms, with the most notable core differentiator being age - with Reform gaining more among older Britons, contrary to some assumptions.
The issue with Bluesky is that I get no engagement here and unfortunately I love attention
November 30, 2024 at 1:38 AM
The issue with Bluesky is that I get no engagement here and unfortunately I love attention
Badly need Fine Gael to be utterly embarrassed at this election, loathsome party
Irish Prime Minister Simon Harris was forced to apologize Saturday to a disability services worker for treating her dismissively — a self-destructive campaign moment that could cost him dearly in next week’s election.
Irish leader feels ‘really bad’ over moment that could cost him an election
Taoiseach Simon Harris apologizes for ‘horrible’ treatment of disability worker in unguarded confrontation with voter captured by Irish broadcasters RTÉ.
www.politico.eu
November 24, 2024 at 1:55 AM
Badly need Fine Gael to be utterly embarrassed at this election, loathsome party
Learning that Paul Mescal did the backing vocals for this has genuinely ruined my evening
November 24, 2024 at 1:14 AM
Learning that Paul Mescal did the backing vocals for this has genuinely ruined my evening
Things are bad, but they can always get worse, so much more worse
November 16, 2024 at 3:44 PM
Things are bad, but they can always get worse, so much more worse
I have nothing thoughtful to say, this is carrying on my longstanding commitment to saying nothing of any remote importance
November 16, 2024 at 12:40 AM
I have nothing thoughtful to say, this is carrying on my longstanding commitment to saying nothing of any remote importance
Assessment of Bluesky, mediocre app, however its not run by a fascist, which is nice I guess
November 16, 2024 at 12:28 AM
Assessment of Bluesky, mediocre app, however its not run by a fascist, which is nice I guess
At least if Sinn Fein shit the bed there might be a bit of a reorganisation of the left
2 weeks until the Irish Election, this is where the polls stand!
November 16, 2024 at 12:18 AM
At least if Sinn Fein shit the bed there might be a bit of a reorganisation of the left
Increasing thinking I might need to join some niche left wing party with like 3 members and agrees with all of my politics just to get it out of my system
November 16, 2024 at 12:17 AM
Increasing thinking I might need to join some niche left wing party with like 3 members and agrees with all of my politics just to get it out of my system
John Fetterman is such a prick, putting aside the fact he's utterly vacuous and clearly has issues, he's just an annoying fuck
November 16, 2024 at 12:16 AM
John Fetterman is such a prick, putting aside the fact he's utterly vacuous and clearly has issues, he's just an annoying fuck
I love Tiramisu, it's the single most important thing in my life and frankly I'd do near to anything to have some
November 16, 2024 at 12:03 AM
I love Tiramisu, it's the single most important thing in my life and frankly I'd do near to anything to have some
After careful consideration and consultations with Friends, family and colleagues I am announcing that I will not be running for Leader of Fine Gael.
While I am overwhelmed by the support, I do not feel that it would be right for me to seek this office at this time
While I am overwhelmed by the support, I do not feel that it would be right for me to seek this office at this time
March 21, 2024 at 12:26 AM
After careful consideration and consultations with Friends, family and colleagues I am announcing that I will not be running for Leader of Fine Gael.
While I am overwhelmed by the support, I do not feel that it would be right for me to seek this office at this time
While I am overwhelmed by the support, I do not feel that it would be right for me to seek this office at this time