@rdeanbeck.bsky.social
Trust, but verify. Don't just believe me.
Disagree with me? Great, let's discuss.
I learn nothing in an echo chamber.
Disagree with me? Great, let's discuss.
I learn nothing in an echo chamber.
Reposted
Preprint
"Here, we show that oro-respiratory infection of pigs resulted in productive replication of a bovine-derived HPAI H5N1 B3.13 virus. Infectious virus was mainly identified in the lower respiratory tract of principal infected pigs..."
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40093138/
"Here, we show that oro-respiratory infection of pigs resulted in productive replication of a bovine-derived HPAI H5N1 B3.13 virus. Infectious virus was mainly identified in the lower respiratory tract of principal infected pigs..."
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40093138/
Pathogenicity and transmissibility of bovine-derived HPAI H5N1 B3.13 virus in pigs - PubMed
Since the first emergence of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 viruses in dairy cattle, the virus has continued to spread, reaching at least 17 states and at least 970 dairy herds in the U...
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
March 18, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Preprint
"Here, we show that oro-respiratory infection of pigs resulted in productive replication of a bovine-derived HPAI H5N1 B3.13 virus. Infectious virus was mainly identified in the lower respiratory tract of principal infected pigs..."
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40093138/
"Here, we show that oro-respiratory infection of pigs resulted in productive replication of a bovine-derived HPAI H5N1 B3.13 virus. Infectious virus was mainly identified in the lower respiratory tract of principal infected pigs..."
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40093138/
Reposted
#Ohio Issues a proclamation prohibiting the movement of all live birds across 13 counties in order to limit the spread of #birdflu #H5N1
This limitation affects shows, exhibitions and sales
The proclamation is in place from March 17 to May 15
agri.ohio.gov/wps/wcm/conn...
This limitation affects shows, exhibitions and sales
The proclamation is in place from March 17 to May 15
agri.ohio.gov/wps/wcm/conn...
agri.ohio.gov
March 18, 2025 at 10:23 PM
#Ohio Issues a proclamation prohibiting the movement of all live birds across 13 counties in order to limit the spread of #birdflu #H5N1
This limitation affects shows, exhibitions and sales
The proclamation is in place from March 17 to May 15
agri.ohio.gov/wps/wcm/conn...
This limitation affects shows, exhibitions and sales
The proclamation is in place from March 17 to May 15
agri.ohio.gov/wps/wcm/conn...
I hope no one reading this is counting on being saved by this circus.
You're on your own, folks.
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/18/h...
You're on your own, folks.
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/18/h...
RFK Jr.’s Prescription for Bird Flu on Farms: Let It Spread
The health secretary has suggested allowing the virus to spread, so as to identify birds that may be immune. Such an experiment would be disastrous, scientists say.
www.nytimes.com
March 19, 2025 at 1:53 AM
I hope no one reading this is counting on being saved by this circus.
You're on your own, folks.
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/18/h...
You're on your own, folks.
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/18/h...
Reposted
I missed this, but the CDC updated the risk to people around poultry & dairy cows about a week ago. It is now Moderate to High, even though it's been that for 70 confirmed H5N1 cases now & more undetected.
Now is the time to offer stockpiled vaccines to people at risk.
Now is the time to offer stockpiled vaccines to people at risk.
March 10, 2025 at 11:44 AM
I missed this, but the CDC updated the risk to people around poultry & dairy cows about a week ago. It is now Moderate to High, even though it's been that for 70 confirmed H5N1 cases now & more undetected.
Now is the time to offer stockpiled vaccines to people at risk.
Now is the time to offer stockpiled vaccines to people at risk.
Reposted
AFD Blog `EID Journal: Antiviral Susceptibility of Influenza A(H5N1) Clade 2.3.2.1c and 2.3.4.4b Viruses from Humans, 2023–2024' #H5N1 afludiary.blogspot.com/2025/03/eid-...
EID Journal: Antiviral Susceptibility of Influenza A(H5N1) Clade 2.3.2.1c and 2.3.4.4b Viruses from Humans, 2023–2024
Credit NIAID #18,364 During the opening months of any H5N1 pandemic there would likely be only a small supply of (potentially poorly matched...
afludiary.blogspot.com
March 9, 2025 at 1:12 PM
AFD Blog `EID Journal: Antiviral Susceptibility of Influenza A(H5N1) Clade 2.3.2.1c and 2.3.4.4b Viruses from Humans, 2023–2024' #H5N1 afludiary.blogspot.com/2025/03/eid-...
Reposted
Interested in #H5N1 updates? Follow @danielrsummers.bsky.social important data/posts. He maintains a dashboard, too. public.tableau.com/app/profile/...
public.tableau.com
March 9, 2025 at 1:21 PM
Interested in #H5N1 updates? Follow @danielrsummers.bsky.social important data/posts. He maintains a dashboard, too. public.tableau.com/app/profile/...
Reposted
Agreed. Start by having congressional hearings on any of the subjects of concern (lack of response to H5N1, inflation, Russian reporters infiltrating the White House,…). Just do something so we know you are trying to save the democracy. Time is of the essence!!!
"None of us should let Congress off the hook. The key constitutional crisis here is if Congress does not do its job of standing up to abuse of power." — @mawaldman.bsky.social on @ayman.msnbc.com
March 3, 2025 at 11:45 PM
Agreed. Start by having congressional hearings on any of the subjects of concern (lack of response to H5N1, inflation, Russian reporters infiltrating the White House,…). Just do something so we know you are trying to save the democracy. Time is of the essence!!!
Reposted
Zero #TexasMooFlu testing.
Zero new #TexasMooFlu cases.
That's how we reach #ZeroH5N1 right?
The dairy industry is in full control now.
#DontLookUP #MuzzledScientists #TobaccoPlaybook
Zero new #TexasMooFlu cases.
That's how we reach #ZeroH5N1 right?
The dairy industry is in full control now.
#DontLookUP #MuzzledScientists #TobaccoPlaybook
February 24, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Zero #TexasMooFlu testing.
Zero new #TexasMooFlu cases.
That's how we reach #ZeroH5N1 right?
The dairy industry is in full control now.
#DontLookUP #MuzzledScientists #TobaccoPlaybook
Zero new #TexasMooFlu cases.
That's how we reach #ZeroH5N1 right?
The dairy industry is in full control now.
#DontLookUP #MuzzledScientists #TobaccoPlaybook
Reposted
#Texas ‘s San Antonio Zoo reporting a dead vulture on zoo grounds, now closing some exhibits
“officials announced the closure of three habitats after a wild vulture testing "non-negative for Avian Influenza was found dead”
#birdflu #H5N1
www.mysanantonio.com/business/art...
“officials announced the closure of three habitats after a wild vulture testing "non-negative for Avian Influenza was found dead”
#birdflu #H5N1
www.mysanantonio.com/business/art...
San Antonio Zoo reveals closure of habitats amid bird flu testing
Avian Influenza or bird flu is being suspected after a wild black vulture was found dead on the San Antonio Zoo grounds, prompting immediate closures.
www.mysanantonio.com
February 24, 2025 at 4:17 PM
#Texas ‘s San Antonio Zoo reporting a dead vulture on zoo grounds, now closing some exhibits
“officials announced the closure of three habitats after a wild vulture testing "non-negative for Avian Influenza was found dead”
#birdflu #H5N1
www.mysanantonio.com/business/art...
“officials announced the closure of three habitats after a wild vulture testing "non-negative for Avian Influenza was found dead”
#birdflu #H5N1
www.mysanantonio.com/business/art...
Many of us are going to struggle with the implications contained in this article because the potential effects are as large as a Hollywood disaster movie, and THAT stuff is supposed to stay in the movies.
Sigh. H5N1 doesn't care.
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Sigh. H5N1 doesn't care.
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Alarm as bird flu now ‘endemic in cows’ while Trump cuts staff and funding
Experts say current US outbreak is unlikely to end without intervention with further mutation of virus likely
www.theguardian.com
February 23, 2025 at 3:30 AM
Many of us are going to struggle with the implications contained in this article because the potential effects are as large as a Hollywood disaster movie, and THAT stuff is supposed to stay in the movies.
Sigh. H5N1 doesn't care.
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Sigh. H5N1 doesn't care.
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
I have some experience in the food processing industry. The USDA folks in my facilities were dedicated and hardworking.
However, they can only find
- What they are looking for, and
- What they have the resources to find.
USDA staff and procedures are simply insufficient by magnitudes to find H5N1.
However, they can only find
- What they are looking for, and
- What they have the resources to find.
USDA staff and procedures are simply insufficient by magnitudes to find H5N1.
@HNimanFC
NVSL upload 375 sets of #H5N1
poultry wild bird and pet food seqs
largely from 2025
Pet food sets are B3.13
match California Dairy and
chicken & turkey seqs
sugesting samples may be Wild Coast raw
Regardless of company
these 2025 pet food seqs
are a MAJOR surveillance FAIL
NVSL upload 375 sets of #H5N1
poultry wild bird and pet food seqs
largely from 2025
Pet food sets are B3.13
match California Dairy and
chicken & turkey seqs
sugesting samples may be Wild Coast raw
Regardless of company
these 2025 pet food seqs
are a MAJOR surveillance FAIL
February 23, 2025 at 3:11 AM
I have some experience in the food processing industry. The USDA folks in my facilities were dedicated and hardworking.
However, they can only find
- What they are looking for, and
- What they have the resources to find.
USDA staff and procedures are simply insufficient by magnitudes to find H5N1.
However, they can only find
- What they are looking for, and
- What they have the resources to find.
USDA staff and procedures are simply insufficient by magnitudes to find H5N1.
The Ed Yong quote highlighted by Mr. Deknatel is very insightful.
If the severity of H5N1 effect is high enough, the probability of occurrence becomes less important in your risk calculation.
If "IT" happens, it could be very, very bad.
That is why you need to prepare beyond masks and sanitizer.
If the severity of H5N1 effect is high enough, the probability of occurrence becomes less important in your risk calculation.
If "IT" happens, it could be very, very bad.
That is why you need to prepare beyond masks and sanitizer.
“The way that it’s often framed is: ‘Tell me, on a scale of 1 to 10, how worried you are that H5N1 is going to go pandemic.’ I think the more important question is, if it does, how screwed are we? And the answer is: really.”
😐
@edyong209.bsky.social
www.nytimes.com/2025/02/22/m...
😐
@edyong209.bsky.social
www.nytimes.com/2025/02/22/m...
‘The Interview’: Ed Yong Wants to Show You the Hidden Reality of the World
The Pulitzer Prize-winning science writer talks about burnout from covering the pandemic and how bird-watching gave him a new sense of hope.
www.nytimes.com
February 22, 2025 at 6:56 PM
The Ed Yong quote highlighted by Mr. Deknatel is very insightful.
If the severity of H5N1 effect is high enough, the probability of occurrence becomes less important in your risk calculation.
If "IT" happens, it could be very, very bad.
That is why you need to prepare beyond masks and sanitizer.
If the severity of H5N1 effect is high enough, the probability of occurrence becomes less important in your risk calculation.
If "IT" happens, it could be very, very bad.
That is why you need to prepare beyond masks and sanitizer.
This is VERY important.
👇
👇
👇
👇
👇
👇
I'm starting to quietly freak out about bird flu. H5N1 is starting to vector across species and we need to seriously consider what a mass bird die off looks like in North America... 🧵(1/8)
#Ecology #Conservation #WildlifeScience #Agriculture #BirdFlu
www.birdlife.org/news/2019/01...
#Ecology #Conservation #WildlifeScience #Agriculture #BirdFlu
www.birdlife.org/news/2019/01...
Why we need birds (far more than they need us)
Can you imagine a world without birds? The benefits birds bring us aren’t just cultural. Birds play an essential role in the functioning of the world’s ecosystems, in a way that directly impacts human...
www.birdlife.org
February 22, 2025 at 6:49 PM
This is VERY important.
👇
👇
👇
👇
👇
👇
Reposted
BREAKING: The USDA has confirmed five additional dairy herds in California have tested positive for the virus, raising the total to 732.
Currently, 74% of the state's dairy herds are infected with H5N1.
Currently, 74% of the state's dairy herds are infected with H5N1.
February 22, 2025 at 12:46 PM
BREAKING: The USDA has confirmed five additional dairy herds in California have tested positive for the virus, raising the total to 732.
Currently, 74% of the state's dairy herds are infected with H5N1.
Currently, 74% of the state's dairy herds are infected with H5N1.
Reposted
#Ohio counties issue emergency declaration regarding #birdflu
“Mercer and Darke County passed an emergency declaration of government support due to the ongoing bird flu outbreak”
#H5N1
www.whio.com/news/local/c...
“Mercer and Darke County passed an emergency declaration of government support due to the ongoing bird flu outbreak”
#H5N1
www.whio.com/news/local/c...
Counties issue declaration of emergency support amid ongoing bird flu outbreak
“The Mercer County Commissioner passed an Emergency Declaration yesterday to support our poultry community dealing with the ongoing Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza. We are committed to working with ...
www.whio.com
February 20, 2025 at 10:18 PM
#Ohio counties issue emergency declaration regarding #birdflu
“Mercer and Darke County passed an emergency declaration of government support due to the ongoing bird flu outbreak”
#H5N1
www.whio.com/news/local/c...
“Mercer and Darke County passed an emergency declaration of government support due to the ongoing bird flu outbreak”
#H5N1
www.whio.com/news/local/c...
I saw an article earlier lauding the ability to produce mRNA H5N1 vaccines quickly - well, at least more quickly than egg-based vaccines.
This is a friendly reminder to avoid depending on the soothing words from the media. I'm afraid that there's always a catch.
www.semafor.com/article/02/1...
This is a friendly reminder to avoid depending on the soothing words from the media. I'm afraid that there's always a catch.
www.semafor.com/article/02/1...
Montana seeks to ban mRNA shots as vaccine hesitancy soars
US health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is a vaccine skeptic, and President Donald Trump has expressed concerns about links — long debunked — between vaccines and autism.
www.semafor.com
February 20, 2025 at 2:02 AM
I saw an article earlier lauding the ability to produce mRNA H5N1 vaccines quickly - well, at least more quickly than egg-based vaccines.
This is a friendly reminder to avoid depending on the soothing words from the media. I'm afraid that there's always a catch.
www.semafor.com/article/02/1...
This is a friendly reminder to avoid depending on the soothing words from the media. I'm afraid that there's always a catch.
www.semafor.com/article/02/1...
We currently have no credible Early Warning System for an H5N1 pandemic. The federal government will not provide one. Some states may, but your state probably won't.
Widely available rapid testing could help fill that gap.
www.medpagetoday.com/opinion/seco...
Widely available rapid testing could help fill that gap.
www.medpagetoday.com/opinion/seco...
Opinion | We Need Rapid Bird Flu Testing Now
States should lead on promoting early diagnosis to reduce transmission
www.medpagetoday.com
February 20, 2025 at 1:56 AM
We currently have no credible Early Warning System for an H5N1 pandemic. The federal government will not provide one. Some states may, but your state probably won't.
Widely available rapid testing could help fill that gap.
www.medpagetoday.com/opinion/seco...
Widely available rapid testing could help fill that gap.
www.medpagetoday.com/opinion/seco...
Some answers to my question about what would trigger use of #H5N1 vaccine being purchased by Canada. #NACI, the advisory group that recommends vaccine policy in Canada, has issued preliminary guidance on how/when to use H5 vaccine in a non-pandemic context. www.canada.ca/en/public-he...
February 20, 2025 at 1:29 AM
Reposting for emphasis. #H5N1
sigh
Please stop expecting to be saved by this circus.
You're simply going to have to accept responsibility for saving yourself AND your community.
People and resources are available to help, but you won't find them having a ".gov" at the end of their name.
www.nbcwashington.com/news/nationa...
Please stop expecting to be saved by this circus.
You're simply going to have to accept responsibility for saving yourself AND your community.
People and resources are available to help, but you won't find them having a ".gov" at the end of their name.
www.nbcwashington.com/news/nationa...
USDA says it accidentally fired officials working on bird flu and is trying to rehire them
The United States Department of Agriculture on Tuesday acknowledged that, over the weekend, it accidentally fired “several” agency employees who are working on the federal government’s response to the...
www.nbcwashington.com
February 19, 2025 at 2:51 AM
Reposting for emphasis. #H5N1
sigh
Please stop expecting to be saved by this circus.
You're simply going to have to accept responsibility for saving yourself AND your community.
People and resources are available to help, but you won't find them having a ".gov" at the end of their name.
www.nbcwashington.com/news/nationa...
Please stop expecting to be saved by this circus.
You're simply going to have to accept responsibility for saving yourself AND your community.
People and resources are available to help, but you won't find them having a ".gov" at the end of their name.
www.nbcwashington.com/news/nationa...
USDA says it accidentally fired officials working on bird flu and is trying to rehire them
The United States Department of Agriculture on Tuesday acknowledged that, over the weekend, it accidentally fired “several” agency employees who are working on the federal government’s response to the...
www.nbcwashington.com
February 19, 2025 at 1:03 AM
sigh
Please stop expecting to be saved by this circus.
You're simply going to have to accept responsibility for saving yourself AND your community.
People and resources are available to help, but you won't find them having a ".gov" at the end of their name.
www.nbcwashington.com/news/nationa...
Please stop expecting to be saved by this circus.
You're simply going to have to accept responsibility for saving yourself AND your community.
People and resources are available to help, but you won't find them having a ".gov" at the end of their name.
www.nbcwashington.com/news/nationa...
I know, I'm a bit of a broken record (old-guy metaphor). But the question has only become more relevant 60 days after I asked the H5N1 community here:
"How will you know...".
"How will you know...".
About a month ago I asked "If H5N1 goes H2H2H, how will you know?"
If the Trump Administration continues to withhold public health data, we MUST look for other indicators that the situation has changed.
- Hospitals/clinics at capacity
- Schools cancelled
- Reduced civil services
- Shortages
- ...
If the Trump Administration continues to withhold public health data, we MUST look for other indicators that the situation has changed.
- Hospitals/clinics at capacity
- Schools cancelled
- Reduced civil services
- Shortages
- ...
H5N1 Herald Event - an occurrence or action that serves as a precursor or announcement of something significant to come.
If H5N1 goes H2H2H, how will you know?
- How long until our government informs you?
- How fast will it spread?
- What will cause you to significantly change your daily routine?
If H5N1 goes H2H2H, how will you know?
- How long until our government informs you?
- How fast will it spread?
- What will cause you to significantly change your daily routine?
February 18, 2025 at 12:47 AM
I know, I'm a bit of a broken record (old-guy metaphor). But the question has only become more relevant 60 days after I asked the H5N1 community here:
"How will you know...".
"How will you know...".
Reposted
As #birdflu fears rise, know that we already have antiviral drugs that can limit the impact of a future #influenza #pandemic. But they are only effective if governments consider #stockpiling now. We laid out several potential stockpiling options and considerations in our new preprint.
Our new preprint, out now, estimates the size of #influenza oral #antiviral #stockpile, including #BaloxavirMarboxil and #Oseltamivir, needed #globally during the early stages of a potential influenza #pandemic before the availability of vaccines.
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
Estimating the global demand and potential public health impact of oral antiviral treatment stockpile for influenza pandemics: a mathematical modelling study
Background Oral influenza antiviral drugs could potentially minimize the disease burden of a nascent influenza pandemic prior to the availability of vaccines. Mathematical modelling is useful for desi...
www.medrxiv.org
February 17, 2025 at 2:42 AM
As #birdflu fears rise, know that we already have antiviral drugs that can limit the impact of a future #influenza #pandemic. But they are only effective if governments consider #stockpiling now. We laid out several potential stockpiling options and considerations in our new preprint.
Reposted
@angie_rasmussen
Says here that the replaced studies were about cases involving infected cats, wastewater, & veterinarian serology. What would these studies show?
I read the cat paper, others are guesses.
1. Cats get & die from H5N1
2. Shit ton of H5N1 in wastewater
3. Infected & undetected vets
Says here that the replaced studies were about cases involving infected cats, wastewater, & veterinarian serology. What would these studies show?
I read the cat paper, others are guesses.
1. Cats get & die from H5N1
2. Shit ton of H5N1 in wastewater
3. Infected & undetected vets
February 9, 2025 at 11:27 PM
@angie_rasmussen
Says here that the replaced studies were about cases involving infected cats, wastewater, & veterinarian serology. What would these studies show?
I read the cat paper, others are guesses.
1. Cats get & die from H5N1
2. Shit ton of H5N1 in wastewater
3. Infected & undetected vets
Says here that the replaced studies were about cases involving infected cats, wastewater, & veterinarian serology. What would these studies show?
I read the cat paper, others are guesses.
1. Cats get & die from H5N1
2. Shit ton of H5N1 in wastewater
3. Infected & undetected vets