Ben Baldwin
@rbsdm.com
@nfl4th.com // @nflverse.com // https://www.nflfastr.com/
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/author/ben-baldwin/
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/author/ben-baldwin/
Pinned
Ben Baldwin
@rbsdm.com
· Nov 19
Did some digging into feeds (with thanks to @tanho.ca for some pointers) and tried making an NFL numbers feed.
Feedback welcome!
bsky.app/profile/did:...
Feedback welcome!
bsky.app/profile/did:...
Does Completion Percentage Over Expected (CPOE) do a reasonable job of proxying for the accuracy of a quarterback?
Not bad!
Not bad!
November 19, 2025 at 8:05 PM
Does Completion Percentage Over Expected (CPOE) do a reasonable job of proxying for the accuracy of a quarterback?
Not bad!
Not bad!
Adjusted EPA + Grade Leaderboard after week 11
-- Darnold no longer lapping the field and is now barely on top
-- PFF really has not liked Mahomes this year
-- Darnold no longer lapping the field and is now barely on top
-- PFF really has not liked Mahomes this year
November 19, 2025 at 3:42 PM
Adjusted EPA + Grade Leaderboard after week 11
-- Darnold no longer lapping the field and is now barely on top
-- PFF really has not liked Mahomes this year
-- Darnold no longer lapping the field and is now barely on top
-- PFF really has not liked Mahomes this year
Pass protection composite ratings.
For the first time in forever, the Broncos have been unseated at No. 1!
For the first time in forever, the Broncos have been unseated at No. 1!
November 19, 2025 at 3:21 PM
Pass protection composite ratings.
For the first time in forever, the Broncos have been unseated at No. 1!
For the first time in forever, the Broncos have been unseated at No. 1!
--> Week 11 official objective NFL power rankings <--
Was the Seahawks-Rams game between the two best teams in the NFC? Many are asking this question
Was the Seahawks-Rams game between the two best teams in the NFC? Many are asking this question
November 19, 2025 at 3:16 PM
--> Week 11 official objective NFL power rankings <--
Was the Seahawks-Rams game between the two best teams in the NFC? Many are asking this question
Was the Seahawks-Rams game between the two best teams in the NFC? Many are asking this question
~~ Week 11 NFL Tiers ~~
Seahawks going from playing the Rams (last week) to the Titans (this week) is quite the change
Seahawks going from playing the Rams (last week) to the Titans (this week) is quite the change
November 18, 2025 at 9:11 PM
~~ Week 11 NFL Tiers ~~
Seahawks going from playing the Rams (last week) to the Titans (this week) is quite the change
Seahawks going from playing the Rams (last week) to the Titans (this week) is quite the change
Seattle's defense put the absolute clamps on the Rams' offense wow www.pff.com/news/nfl-wee...
November 17, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Seattle's defense put the absolute clamps on the Rams' offense wow www.pff.com/news/nfl-wee...
Top 5 quarterbacks in EPA per play after yesterday
Sure why not
Sure why not
November 17, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Top 5 quarterbacks in EPA per play after yesterday
Sure why not
Sure why not
Come on man
---> SEA (12) @ LA (14) <---
SEA has 4th & 1 at the SEA 40, Q3 03:39
Recommendation (VERY STRONG): 👉 Go for it (+6.6 WP)
Actual play: 🏈🦵 M.Dickson punts 48 yards to LA 12, Center-C.Stoll, fair catch by K.Williams.
SEA has 4th & 1 at the SEA 40, Q3 03:39
Recommendation (VERY STRONG): 👉 Go for it (+6.6 WP)
Actual play: 🏈🦵 M.Dickson punts 48 yards to LA 12, Center-C.Stoll, fair catch by K.Williams.
November 16, 2025 at 11:06 PM
Come on man
At a conference in Seattle and there's like 999 people dressed in boring business clothes (myself included) and 1 woman in an action green Michael Bennett jersey. Tremendous respect to her
November 15, 2025 at 12:50 AM
At a conference in Seattle and there's like 999 people dressed in boring business clothes (myself included) and 1 woman in an action green Michael Bennett jersey. Tremendous respect to her
Key Arena is a lot nicer than the last time I was here (30 years ago)
November 14, 2025 at 3:10 AM
Key Arena is a lot nicer than the last time I was here (30 years ago)
Traveling this week so no nerd numbers thread. Picture in your head a bunch of figures with Sam Darnold in the upper right
(I think I will completely buy in if he does it again Sunday against the Rams)
(I think I will completely buy in if he does it again Sunday against the Rams)
November 11, 2025 at 7:28 PM
Traveling this week so no nerd numbers thread. Picture in your head a bunch of figures with Sam Darnold in the upper right
(I think I will completely buy in if he does it again Sunday against the Rams)
(I think I will completely buy in if he does it again Sunday against the Rams)
Merry Christmas @kpelton.bsky.social !!!
November 9, 2025 at 5:36 PM
Merry Christmas @kpelton.bsky.social !!!
Why did the Seahawks only call 2 play action passes in week 1
November 7, 2025 at 8:01 PM
Why did the Seahawks only call 2 play action passes in week 1
Reposted by Ben Baldwin
We've got a cool new part-time, remote opportunity with our group. It’s a 10-week project-based Quantitative Research internship (paid) with the expectation of 15 hours/week of work.
We designed this with students in mind, but open to anyone. Apply at link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/detroitlions...
We designed this with students in mind, but open to anyone. Apply at link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/detroitlions...
Quantitative Research Intern - Remote
Detroit, MI 48226
job-boards.greenhouse.io
November 6, 2025 at 8:18 PM
We've got a cool new part-time, remote opportunity with our group. It’s a 10-week project-based Quantitative Research internship (paid) with the expectation of 15 hours/week of work.
We designed this with students in mind, but open to anyone. Apply at link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/detroitlions...
We designed this with students in mind, but open to anyone. Apply at link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/detroitlions...
Top Ten Quarterback Geno Smith versus MVP Candidate Bo Nix
November 7, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Top Ten Quarterback Geno Smith versus MVP Candidate Bo Nix
Okay I now understand why everyone is complaining about Al Michaels
November 7, 2025 at 2:20 AM
Okay I now understand why everyone is complaining about Al Michaels
How have the Broncos won 7 games
November 7, 2025 at 1:48 AM
How have the Broncos won 7 games
By far my biggest guilty pleasure this season has been seeing the weekly RTs of the freaking out that took place last offseason about Seattle's QB situation. Some of them are so good
November 5, 2025 at 7:44 PM
By far my biggest guilty pleasure this season has been seeing the weekly RTs of the freaking out that took place last offseason about Seattle's QB situation. Some of them are so good
Adjusted EPA + PFF Blend
Sam Darnold just running up the score at this point
Sam Darnold just running up the score at this point
November 5, 2025 at 4:30 PM
Adjusted EPA + PFF Blend
Sam Darnold just running up the score at this point
Sam Darnold just running up the score at this point
Pass protection composite ratings
Seahawks??
Seahawks??
November 5, 2025 at 4:20 PM
Pass protection composite ratings
Seahawks??
Seahawks??
Week 9 Most Correct And Objective NFL Power Rankings
November 5, 2025 at 4:16 PM
Week 9 Most Correct And Objective NFL Power Rankings
November 4, 2025 at 8:41 PM
Since nothing else is going on right now
WEEK 9 NFL TIERS
WEEK 9 NFL TIERS
November 4, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Since nothing else is going on right now
WEEK 9 NFL TIERS
WEEK 9 NFL TIERS
Setting aside the football aspects of everything, imagine your company notifying you that you've been transferred without a say from the New York City office to the Indianapolis office of the company
November 4, 2025 at 7:17 PM
Setting aside the football aspects of everything, imagine your company notifying you that you've been transferred without a say from the New York City office to the Indianapolis office of the company