Idk the political trends in opposition to Trump took time to acclimate to treating all republicans for being pro Trump when they’re usually voted for them massively

Yeah but by bio and electoral history he’s not really a serious recruited candidate by any means

I think swing voters in midterms are gonna be way more partisan now even in a 2018 environment he would lose

I meant he’s a way better candidate than Garcia was anyway

Yeah but that’s downballot lag more than anything. Republicans held smaller statewide offices and dominate it

Arizonas hate of Trump is very much a 2020 onwards mix of political issues and policies/rhetoric Ducey isn’t associated with that and Arizona didn’t see him as part of the new gop because he didn’t start out in it. With Trump in office Nevada voters are gonna reckon with his veto power

Aaron ford is a way better candidate and Nevada isn’t politically Republican as Arizona historically and dem holdouts in bad midterm years has shown their resilience

Yeah but he wasn’t hated and it was stable approvals

I mean this is fairly easily explainable, Arizona was a safe Republican state, 2016 was considered aloof because Trump was a big McCain hater and he pulled off an upset by winning WWC purely swing voters. McSally was a target and a bad candidate, ducey was a well known liked inc w unknown opponent

Mid term swing voters tend not to ticket split considerably anymore besides obvious horrible candidates

Did this seat get axed? How long will this stay under the old lines till 2026? Because I also heard that local dems will appoint a successor?