Peter Reinhard Hansen
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profphansen.bsky.social
Peter Reinhard Hansen
@profphansen.bsky.social
Econometrian and Latene Distinguished Professor in Economics at UNC, Chapel Hill. Previously: EUI, Stanford, Brown.
I guess that’s the kind of governing body that thinks this is a good idea.
October 4, 2025 at 11:05 PM
These are just two of many articles in #Economics journals that I have found similar issues with -- some are in journals with Impact Factors >10.

I plan to comment on additional papers, but there more than I will have time to address. #EconSky #OpenScience @pubpeer.com @datacolada.bsky.social
September 16, 2025 at 8:42 PM
Instead of replying on PubPeer, the lead author of the other paper emailed me directly, which didn’t address why the figures are virtually indistinguishable.
I encourage them to post a short reproducibility package and link it on PubPeer, so readers can verify.
pubpeer.com/publications...
PubPeer - Revisiting overconfidence in investment decision-making: Fur...
There are comments on PubPeer for publication: Revisiting overconfidence in investment decision-making: Further evidence from the U.S. market (2023)
pubpeer.com
September 16, 2025 at 8:42 PM
Coşkun et al. (2023) looks legit: based on a PhD dissertation; data/code on GitHub; public post on LinkedIn.

Yet this specific figure doesn’t match their data on Github. Also, signs suggest the upper panel is returns (±), and lower panel is volume (>0).🤔
pubpeer.com/publications...
PubPeer - Which return regime induces overconfidence behavior? Artific...
There are comments on PubPeer for publication: Which return regime induces overconfidence behavior? Artificial intelligence and a nonlinear approach (2023)
pubpeer.com
September 16, 2025 at 8:42 PM
Full paper here: arxiv.org/abs/2410.23587
Moments by Integrating the Moment Generating Function co-authored with Chen Tong (Xiamen).

I believe this result is useful in many fields. Anyone know the proper outlet for this type of result? #arXiv #OpenScience
arxiv.org/abs/2410.23587
August 3, 2025 at 7:22 PM
The CMGF method provides a simple integral formula that yields fractional, absolute, central, and even complex moments — without relying on the density function or any derivatives.
For example,
E|X|^0.7 or tail moments
E[(X - ξ)^3 1{X > ξ}].
It is fast: NIG example:
August 3, 2025 at 7:22 PM
he new method avoids derivatives entirely, is fast, general, and easy to implement.
We call it CMGF, because it uses a complex argument for the MGF (also nests the characteristic function).
And it applies to complex moments too. #Physics
August 3, 2025 at 7:22 PM
Unfortunately, for fractional moments — or in dynamic models where MGFs are defined recursively — computing derivatives can be difficult, slow, or even infeasible. Existing methods often involve fractional derivatives or integrals with messy expressions.
August 3, 2025 at 7:22 PM
It's well known that the k-th integer moment is given by the k-th derivative of the MGF evaluated at zero. This is simple, clean, and taught in many probability courses.
But it has limitations. It only works if you want an integer moment, and can take the derivatives you need.
August 3, 2025 at 7:22 PM