@poodleball.bsky.social
Read the full writeup here: lauerjames.github.io/BLUE/
BLUE: A Bayesian Approach to College Football Ratings
lauerjames.github.io
July 7, 2025 at 12:55 PM
Read the full writeup here: lauerjames.github.io/BLUE/
Huge thanks to @stat-ron.bsky.social for being the best and telling me to write this, and also the
cfbfastR team for making the data accessible! Also shoutout to the people who hired me for the exciting new job I'm starting later today (will announce soon)!
cfbfastR team for making the data accessible! Also shoutout to the people who hired me for the exciting new job I'm starting later today (will announce soon)!
July 7, 2025 at 12:55 PM
Huge thanks to @stat-ron.bsky.social for being the best and telling me to write this, and also the
cfbfastR team for making the data accessible! Also shoutout to the people who hired me for the exciting new job I'm starting later today (will announce soon)!
cfbfastR team for making the data accessible! Also shoutout to the people who hired me for the exciting new job I'm starting later today (will announce soon)!
2024 ACC BLUE Rankings
July 7, 2025 at 12:55 PM
2024 ACC BLUE Rankings
2024 Big 12 BLUE Rankings
July 7, 2025 at 12:55 PM
2024 Big 12 BLUE Rankings
2024 SEC BLUE Rankings
July 7, 2025 at 12:55 PM
2024 SEC BLUE Rankings
2024 Big Ten BLUE Rankings
July 7, 2025 at 12:55 PM
2024 Big Ten BLUE Rankings
Unlike traditional rankings that give you a single number, BLUE provides uncertainty quantification. You can see estimates of the probability distributions for each team's true ability level. Below are the top 5 and bottom 5 pass and run defenses from 2024:
July 7, 2025 at 12:55 PM
Unlike traditional rankings that give you a single number, BLUE provides uncertainty quantification. You can see estimates of the probability distributions for each team's true ability level. Below are the top 5 and bottom 5 pass and run defenses from 2024:
BLUE uses Bayesian inference to simultaneously estimate all team ratings while automatically adjusting for opponent strength. It runs on Stan and was based on the popular NBA statistic RAPM (shoutout Ahmad Cheema for this plot)
July 7, 2025 at 12:55 PM
BLUE uses Bayesian inference to simultaneously estimate all team ratings while automatically adjusting for opponent strength. It runs on Stan and was based on the popular NBA statistic RAPM (shoutout Ahmad Cheema for this plot)
lower the alpha a bit brother
March 28, 2025 at 1:38 AM
lower the alpha a bit brother