Website: https://polder.center
Judge (2025) | "Blogpost: Social Tipping Points and Plant-forward Eating."
Examines how moral innovators can accelerate social tipping points in sustainable behaviours, highlighting lessons for designing policies that work with, not against, social dynamics.
Judge (2025) | "Blogpost: Social Tipping Points and Plant-forward Eating."
Examines how moral innovators can accelerate social tipping points in sustainable behaviours, highlighting lessons for designing policies that work with, not against, social dynamics.
Falmagne et al. (2026) | “Interpretable early warnings using machine learning in an online game-experiment.”
Suggests ML methods to improve early-warning signal detection of critical transitions in complex systems; including human-readable output for understanding the pre-transition period.
Falmagne et al. (2026) | “Interpretable early warnings using machine learning in an online game-experiment.”
Suggests ML methods to improve early-warning signal detection of critical transitions in complex systems; including human-readable output for understanding the pre-transition period.
van Elteren, Vasconcelos & Lees (2025) | "The Paradox of Intervention: Resilience in Adaptive Multi-Role Coordination Networks."
Shows that well-intended interventions in criminal networks may unintentionally strengthen their resilience.
van Elteren, Vasconcelos & Lees (2025) | "The Paradox of Intervention: Resilience in Adaptive Multi-Role Coordination Networks."
Shows that well-intended interventions in criminal networks may unintentionally strengthen their resilience.
Ogbo et al. (2025) | "Evolution of Coordination Through Institutional Incentives: An Evolutionary Game Theory Approach."
Offers policy-relevant suggestions for designing effective institutional incentives to e.g. drive technology adoption, improve public health, and tackle climate change.
Ogbo et al. (2025) | "Evolution of Coordination Through Institutional Incentives: An Evolutionary Game Theory Approach."
Offers policy-relevant suggestions for designing effective institutional incentives to e.g. drive technology adoption, improve public health, and tackle climate change.
Dablander et al. (2025) | "Summary Report Workshop: Understanding and Accelerating Collective Climate Action."
Summary of workshop outcomes by 24 scholars, activists and practitioners from diverse backgrounds: analyses and proposed strategies in the current climate movement crisis.
Dablander et al. (2025) | "Summary Report Workshop: Understanding and Accelerating Collective Climate Action."
Summary of workshop outcomes by 24 scholars, activists and practitioners from diverse backgrounds: analyses and proposed strategies in the current climate movement crisis.
Stronks et al. (2025) | "Towards a complex systems model of evidence for public health."
Complex systems model that can serve as a guide to researchers and policy-/decision-makers when designing research programmes and evidence-based policies in public health.
Stronks et al. (2025) | "Towards a complex systems model of evidence for public health."
Complex systems model that can serve as a guide to researchers and policy-/decision-makers when designing research programmes and evidence-based policies in public health.
Nel & Taeihagh (2025) | "Tackling the soft non-technical challenges of the adoption of complexity science in policymaking."
Examination of non-technical-human and organisational-barriers to complexity-informed policymaking, including strategy suggestions to overcome these obstacles.
Nel & Taeihagh (2025) | "Tackling the soft non-technical challenges of the adoption of complexity science in policymaking."
Examination of non-technical-human and organisational-barriers to complexity-informed policymaking, including strategy suggestions to overcome these obstacles.
AWTI: Advisory Council for Science, Technology and Innovation (2025) | "Shaping the Future – A Guideline for Transformative Policy"
Advisory report to the Dutch government on integrating systems thinking into formal transformation efforts.
AWTI: Advisory Council for Science, Technology and Innovation (2025) | "Shaping the Future – A Guideline for Transformative Policy"
Advisory report to the Dutch government on integrating systems thinking into formal transformation efforts.
Isaak Mengesha & Debraj Roy (2025) | "Carbon pricing drives critical transition to green growth" | Nature Communications
Carbon pricing + redistributive measures can induce tipping points that reduce emissions, while maintaining economic growth and decreasing inequality.
Isaak Mengesha & Debraj Roy (2025) | "Carbon pricing drives critical transition to green growth" | Nature Communications
Carbon pricing + redistributive measures can induce tipping points that reduce emissions, while maintaining economic growth and decreasing inequality.
Loes Crielaard et al. (2025) | "Systems approaches in public health: beyond mapping the causes" | IJBNPA
System dynamics literature review on moving from descriptive maps toward intervention-informed frameworks for effective public health action.
Loes Crielaard et al. (2025) | "Systems approaches in public health: beyond mapping the causes" | IJBNPA
System dynamics literature review on moving from descriptive maps toward intervention-informed frameworks for effective public health action.
Uleman et al. (2024) | "Diagrams-to-Dynamics (D2D): Exploring CLD Leverage Points under Uncertainty"
Turns causal loop diagrams into system dynamics models, even in the absence of empirical data.
Uleman et al. (2024) | "Diagrams-to-Dynamics (D2D): Exploring CLD Leverage Points under Uncertainty"
Turns causal loop diagrams into system dynamics models, even in the absence of empirical data.
QSEM: Qualitative Systems Exploration Model
New semi-quantitative framework to explore system structures, which introduces the concept of control alongside impact.
QSEM: Qualitative Systems Exploration Model
New semi-quantitative framework to explore system structures, which introduces the concept of control alongside impact.
* Being or recommending a jury panel member, who will review the groups' policy advice;
* Contributing additional 1h-long interactive workshops; or
* Sharing the event with those who might want to participate (link above).
* Being or recommending a jury panel member, who will review the groups' policy advice;
* Contributing additional 1h-long interactive workshops; or
* Sharing the event with those who might want to participate (link above).