Uncle Paulie
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pjkobylarz.bsky.social
Uncle Paulie
@pjkobylarz.bsky.social

Carolina Panthers!
I don't think we need him at this point myself, but there was some hankering in the fan base for a veteran after the 49ers game.
December 1, 2025 at 9:20 PM
From the way Canales couldn't contain his smile during he presser when asked about him, I think we're bringing him back.
December 1, 2025 at 6:52 PM
We’re coming for the playoffs.
November 30, 2025 at 8:50 PM
I did answer your question.

I wouldn't agree.

But sometimes you get lucky on the river and win.

Wanna play poker?
November 28, 2025 at 11:44 PM
Nope.

But sometimes you get lucky on the river.
November 28, 2025 at 11:37 PM
Game theory involves human psychology.

Which everyone agreeing is forgetting by sticking strictly with the numbers.

Want to play poker?
November 28, 2025 at 11:35 PM
Motivation isn't abstract.

Psychology is part of game theory!

It's more than the numbers in these instances.
November 28, 2025 at 11:32 PM
You're the Bears.

You were up 24-9.

You're now up 24-22, facing a 2pt conversion, a loud crowd, and a potential overtime.

How are you feeling in that moment?

Human psychology is literally a part of game theory.
November 28, 2025 at 11:30 PM
What are your odds of getting another possession?

You likely only have one possession left with 3:10 remaining.

The XP is a higher odds play.

You get that, you're within one score, your team is psychologically motivated.
November 28, 2025 at 11:27 PM
It does matter.

Human motivation.

You get the XP and make it 8, the players are motivated.

You get what you got, game over.
November 28, 2025 at 11:22 PM
In this case the number of possessions needed changes.
November 28, 2025 at 11:21 PM
Again, it's human psychology of the players.

The players require rewards for their good play.

You need to pay that off for motivation.

It goes beyond the straight numbers on this.

You absolutely have to include behavior.

Behavior is part of game theory!
November 28, 2025 at 11:20 PM
You get within one score, they stay motivated.

You're out two scores with 3:10 left? They react negatively and potentially tap out.
November 28, 2025 at 11:16 PM
Tell that to the players who busted their ass to just remain two scores down.
November 28, 2025 at 11:14 PM
The XP has much better odds of being made than the 2 pt.

If you miss the XP, all this is moot.
November 28, 2025 at 11:13 PM
This deeply involves human psychology also.

It's absolutely forgotten when it comes to this.

This isn't xG or launch angle or where to a shoot a 3 from.

You stay down two scores, the players give up.

You get within one score, the players stay motivated.
November 28, 2025 at 11:12 PM
What are the odds of getting one stop, then a TD and 2 pt over gettting one stop, then a scoring play, then another stop or onside kick, then a second scoring play in 3:10?
November 28, 2025 at 11:08 PM
It's not xGP or 3s from the corner or launch angle.

This is one thing where the human element has to be accounted for.
November 28, 2025 at 11:05 PM
What are the odds of getting one stop, then a TD and 2 pt over gettting one stop, then a scoring play, then another stop or onside kick, then a second scoring play in 3:10?

Do that math.

Then add the human psychological element.

This is the one thing where math/probablility isn't an exact answer.
November 28, 2025 at 11:03 PM
What are the odds of getting one stop, then a TD and 2 pt over gettting one stop, then a scoring play, then another stop or onside kick, then a second scoring play in 3:10?
November 28, 2025 at 11:01 PM
That it happened with 3:10 left in the game.

Have we left out time remaining now?

The Eagles are going to realistically get 2 whole possessions in 3:10?

C'mon Mina, this has gone off the deep end.

And I say this as a Panthers fan who suffered through Ron Rivera.
November 28, 2025 at 10:57 PM
Psychologically, there's a difference between being down one score or two.

For the second straight day, the analytics analysis has gone off the deep end on this and completely forgotten the human element.

The odds of stopping the Bears and getting a TD/2 pt are low, but better than nothing.
November 28, 2025 at 10:51 PM
"Be ready for the last 4 games, we win out, we win the division."
a football player wearing a green bay packers helmet stands on a field
ALT: a football player wearing a green bay packers helmet stands on a field
media.tenor.com
November 28, 2025 at 10:43 PM
Was this posted for the FG that put them up 31-21?

Going for it has gotten beyond ridiculous if it is.

Take the points.

The analytics analysis have completly left out the human element and need to reward the team for their hard work.

That 3 points matter (and mattered).
November 28, 2025 at 4:42 AM
The media that’s been bought up by the oligarchs?
November 26, 2025 at 3:05 PM