Péter Marton
@petermarton.bsky.social
Associate Professor, Corvinus University. A comprehensive interest in security. Editor-in-Chief of The Palgrave Handbook of Non-State Actors in East-West Relations.
Well, now that we're past this big beautiful summit meeting... we're past it. My quick take from earlier today. geopolemic.substack.com/p/alaskan-no...
Alaskan nothingburger? / Alaszkai "semburger"?
Quick reflections on the Trump-Putin meeting / Gyorsreflexiók a Trump-Putyin találkozóról (P. Marton)
geopolemic.substack.com
August 16, 2025 at 5:58 PM
Well, now that we're past this big beautiful summit meeting... we're past it. My quick take from earlier today. geopolemic.substack.com/p/alaskan-no...
FYI: "Since the Soviet era, each major Russian university and scientific institution has contained a department that reports to FSB about the results of business trips and foreign contacts and collaborations." (Source: Science, interviews w/ Russian scientists). www.science.org/content/arti...
Russian scientists’ international collaborations to be vetted by security services under new law
Move will have a chilling effect and further isolate the country from the global scientific community, researchers say
www.science.org
July 20, 2025 at 10:39 AM
FYI: "Since the Soviet era, each major Russian university and scientific institution has contained a department that reports to FSB about the results of business trips and foreign contacts and collaborations." (Source: Science, interviews w/ Russian scientists). www.science.org/content/arti...
My colleague, András Rácz, about the recent death of a mobilised ethnic Hungarian Ukrainian citizen in Ukraine. geopolemic.substack.com/p/the-death-...
The death of József Sebestyén in Ukraine / Sebestyén József halála Ukrajnában
What we know, what we don't, and what is required / Mit tudunk, mit nem, és mire lenne szükség (A. Rácz)
geopolemic.substack.com
July 13, 2025 at 8:13 AM
My colleague, András Rácz, about the recent death of a mobilised ethnic Hungarian Ukrainian citizen in Ukraine. geopolemic.substack.com/p/the-death-...
My comments on the recent intelligence-related developments and tensions in relations between Hungary and Ukraine, at Geo-Polemic. geopolemic.substack.com/p/hungary-uk...
Alleged Hungarian intelligence-gathering & reconnaissance in Ukraine / Az Ukrajnában folytatott állítólagos magyar hírszerzésről és felderítésről
An early assessment / Korai helyzetértékelés (P. Marton)
geopolemic.substack.com
May 13, 2025 at 6:05 PM
My comments on the recent intelligence-related developments and tensions in relations between Hungary and Ukraine, at Geo-Polemic. geopolemic.substack.com/p/hungary-uk...
Russia > From saying there are no NK troops in Kursk to this.
3/ Gerasimov made the first official Russian acknowledgment of North Korean troop participation in Russian operations in Kursk Oblast by thanking North Korean servicemembers for their assistance in Russian efforts to push Ukrainian forces out of the region. isw.pub/UkrWar042625
April 27, 2025 at 4:44 AM
Russia > From saying there are no NK troops in Kursk to this.
My latest strategy insight at Geo-Polemic. geopolemic.substack.com/p/ukraine-le...
Ukraine, Lessons Learned #2: The deep urban battle / Tanulságok Ukrajnából: A mélységben vívott városi ütközet
Long-range war in built-up terrain / Felépített környezetben, nagy távolságból vívott háború (P. Marton)
geopolemic.substack.com
April 26, 2025 at 12:25 PM
My latest strategy insight at Geo-Polemic. geopolemic.substack.com/p/ukraine-le...
The Trump administration > Subtle signals of unsubtlety. x.com/bayraktar_1l...
Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 on X: "Trump’s administration shared its “Vladimir, STOP!” message via the U.S. Embassy’s account in Kyiv. The account of the U.S. Embassy in Moscow? Completely silent. You won’t find any “Vladimir, STOP!” messages there. The Trump administration is so utterly spineless, they didn’t https://t.co/G9ueGqFyDm" / X
Trump’s administration shared its “Vladimir, STOP!” message via the U.S. Embassy’s account in Kyiv. The account of the U.S. Embassy in Moscow? Completely silent. You won’t find any “Vladimir, STOP!” messages there. The Trump administration is so utterly spineless, they didn’t https://t.co/G9ueGqFyDm
x.com
April 26, 2025 at 12:24 PM
The Trump administration > Subtle signals of unsubtlety. x.com/bayraktar_1l...
My latest at Geo-Polemic on Ukraine assistance burden-sharing. geopolemic.substack.com/p/assisting-...
Assisting Ukraine, sharing the burden / Ukrajna támogatása és a tehermegosztás
Context to the Ukraine Defence Contact Group meeting / Kontextus az Ukrajna Védelme Kapcsolattartó Csoport találkozójához (P. Marton)
geopolemic.substack.com
April 13, 2025 at 8:01 PM
My latest at Geo-Polemic on Ukraine assistance burden-sharing. geopolemic.substack.com/p/assisting-...
My take on Trump's latest in so-called peacemaking. substack.com/@petermarton...
Péter Marton on Substack
Trump acknowledged yesterday that they ambushed Zelenskyy on February 28. For totally noble reasons of course. He denies (the obvious) that the abrupt pause on intelligence-sharing had a role in Ukrai...
substack.com
March 19, 2025 at 7:04 AM
My take on Trump's latest in so-called peacemaking. substack.com/@petermarton...
Russian military, battlefield suicides > My latest brief at Geo-Polemic. geopolemic.substack.com/p/drone-warf...
Drone warfare and suicide among Russian troops / A drónhadviselés és az öngyilkosság az orosz katonák közt
Reflecting on the act of observing the face of war / Reflexió a háború megfigyelésének természetéről (P. Marton)
geopolemic.substack.com
February 8, 2025 at 10:42 PM
Russian military, battlefield suicides > My latest brief at Geo-Polemic. geopolemic.substack.com/p/drone-warf...
A tour of fresh content at Geo-Polemic. (1/4) Vietnam's High-Speed Railway plans and the country's quest for strategic autonomy. geopolemic.substack.com/p/vietnams-h...
Vietnam's High-Speed Railway / Nagysebességű vasút Vietnámban
Bamboo diplomacy and strategic autonomy / Bambuszdiplomácia és stratégiai autonómia (N. Ngo Minh)
geopolemic.substack.com
January 31, 2025 at 7:26 PM
A tour of fresh content at Geo-Polemic. (1/4) Vietnam's High-Speed Railway plans and the country's quest for strategic autonomy. geopolemic.substack.com/p/vietnams-h...
The Washington Post > Just some Kremlin-style propaganda in The Washington Post. Pro-Kremlin propaganda. That is the emerging consensus. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
Accidents, not Russian sabotage, behind undersea cable damage, officials say
An emerging consensus among U.S. and European security services holds that accidents were the cause of damage to Baltic seabed energy and communications lines.
www.washingtonpost.com
January 20, 2025 at 12:42 PM
The Washington Post > Just some Kremlin-style propaganda in The Washington Post. Pro-Kremlin propaganda. That is the emerging consensus. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
On the interaction between Biden, Trump, and their whataboutist peers > My latest at Geo-Polemic. geopolemic.substack.com/p/bidens-las...
Biden's "Last Word" and Trump's world / Biden "utolsó szava" és Trump világa
An "Untied" States of America on the horizon / A felsejlő "Untied" States of America (P. Marton)
geopolemic.substack.com
January 19, 2025 at 6:49 PM
On the interaction between Biden, Trump, and their whataboutist peers > My latest at Geo-Polemic. geopolemic.substack.com/p/bidens-las...
Pro-Russia Foreign Fighters > News of a Central African Republic KIA from the Kursk region. Will share the updated table with all Pro-RUS KIAs in a bit. www.rferl.org/a/african-me...
Family Of African Mercenary Killed Fighting For Russia Can't Recover His Remains
Former Central African soldier Derrick Ngamana’s family finds itself in a Kafkaesque struggle to recover his remains after he was killed fighting for Moscow in Russia’s all-out war on Ukraine.
www.rferl.org
January 16, 2025 at 8:33 PM
Pro-Russia Foreign Fighters > News of a Central African Republic KIA from the Kursk region. Will share the updated table with all Pro-RUS KIAs in a bit. www.rferl.org/a/african-me...
Assassinations by Ukraine and Russia > It was time to write up an overview by now, with some basic data, which I collect on a regular basis. Shared at Geo-Polemic. geopolemic.substack.com/p/assassinat...
Assassinations by Ukraine and Russia / Célzott likvidálások Ukrajna és Oroszország által
The war outside the immediate war zone / A közvetlen háborús övezeten kívüli háború (P. Marton)
geopolemic.substack.com
January 6, 2025 at 6:58 PM
Assassinations by Ukraine and Russia > It was time to write up an overview by now, with some basic data, which I collect on a regular basis. Shared at Geo-Polemic. geopolemic.substack.com/p/assassinat...
Bsky > If this place as a clone of X is good for something, it is the chance to set up an alternative feed where I only follow accounts that (1) use references instead of pulling stuff from (you know where); (2) are analytical in the sense of seeking understanding of the phenomena they post about.
December 31, 2024 at 8:59 AM
Bsky > If this place as a clone of X is good for something, it is the chance to set up an alternative feed where I only follow accounts that (1) use references instead of pulling stuff from (you know where); (2) are analytical in the sense of seeking understanding of the phenomena they post about.
Azerbaijan Airlines > Account of a survivor who received a hand wound after the missile impact. united24media.com/latest-news/...
Surviving Flight Attendant Shares New Details of Azerbaijan Airlines Crash in Aktau
united24media.com
December 27, 2024 at 7:32 PM
Azerbaijan Airlines > Account of a survivor who received a hand wound after the missile impact. united24media.com/latest-news/...
U.S. Military > Great analysis of overseas basing vs. force rotation. www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-res...
It’s (still) more expensive to rotate military forces overseas than base them there
Rotating US military forces overseas for continuous nine-month deployments costs more than forward stationing them in allied countries.
www.atlanticcouncil.org
December 19, 2024 at 8:28 AM
U.S. Military > Great analysis of overseas basing vs. force rotation. www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-res...
Syria, China > My latest at Geo-Polemic, about the jihadis of ETIM/TIP in Syria. geopolemic.substack.com/p/uighurs-in...
Uighurs in Syria / Ujgurok Szíriában
Representatives of a transnational jihadi scene / A transznacionális dzsihádista színtér képviselői (P. Marton)
geopolemic.substack.com
December 16, 2024 at 8:09 PM
Syria, China > My latest at Geo-Polemic, about the jihadis of ETIM/TIP in Syria. geopolemic.substack.com/p/uighurs-in...
Ukraine > "Si quelque chose se comporte comme une division, c'est une division ... également possible que les commandants des forces ukrainiennes combattant dans la région aient mis en place une coopération spontanée." Amazing if so, in Velika Novosilka. mrktakcs.substack.com/p/situation-...
Situation similaire, résultats différents
Dans ce bref article, je décrirai deux batailles dans la partie sud-est du front, qui semblent à première vue très similaires, mais qui se sont terminées par des résultats différents.
mrktakcs.substack.com
December 8, 2024 at 1:11 PM
Ukraine > "Si quelque chose se comporte comme une division, c'est une division ... également possible que les commandants des forces ukrainiennes combattant dans la région aient mis en place une coopération spontanée." Amazing if so, in Velika Novosilka. mrktakcs.substack.com/p/situation-...
Syria > So, as to the chemical weapons there... [TBD].
December 8, 2024 at 8:17 AM
Syria > So, as to the chemical weapons there... [TBD].
Romania > While I am pretty sure there was interference in the form of mass influencing, should finding signs of something like that be enough for annulling elections? It makes disrupting electoral processes not more difficult but easier in the future.
NEW: Likely Kremlin-Backed Election Interference Against Romania Threatens Bucharest's Continued Support for Ukraine and NATO
Special Report: isw.pub/RomaniaElect...
Special Report: isw.pub/RomaniaElect...
December 7, 2024 at 11:37 AM
Romania > While I am pretty sure there was interference in the form of mass influencing, should finding signs of something like that be enough for annulling elections? It makes disrupting electoral processes not more difficult but easier in the future.
Disease X > Hong Kong takes it seriously, as usual. www.scmp.com/news/hong-ko...
Hong Kong tightens airport health checks amid Congo mystery disease outbreak
The unknown disease has left 79 dead and more than 300 infected in the Democratic Republic of the Congo since late October.
www.scmp.com
December 6, 2024 at 6:53 PM
Disease X > Hong Kong takes it seriously, as usual. www.scmp.com/news/hong-ko...
This article by Petr Gulenko turned out to be rather timely, too. Posted in the morning today, several hours before Romania's constitutional court decided to annul the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential elections. geopolemic.substack.com/p/a-spiral-o...
A spiral of mistrust / A bizalmatlanság spirálja
What's wrong with public opinion polls? / Mi a baj a közvélemény-kutatásokkal? (P. Gulenko)
geopolemic.substack.com
December 6, 2024 at 4:40 PM
This article by Petr Gulenko turned out to be rather timely, too. Posted in the morning today, several hours before Romania's constitutional court decided to annul the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential elections. geopolemic.substack.com/p/a-spiral-o...
Syria, US Air Force > Context to the recent use of A-10s in Syria — and some old photos of mine, of A-10s in Hungary. geopolemic.substack.com/p/pictured-a...
PICTURED: A-10 "Warthogs" / A-10-es "Varacskosdisznók"
Below: A-10 attack aircraft in Pápa, Hungary, in December 2015 / Alább: A-10-es csatarepülőgépek Pápán, 2015 decemberében
geopolemic.substack.com
December 4, 2024 at 7:33 AM
Syria, US Air Force > Context to the recent use of A-10s in Syria — and some old photos of mine, of A-10s in Hungary. geopolemic.substack.com/p/pictured-a...