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pcinse.bsky.social
PaulC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿in 🇸🇪
@pcinse.bsky.social
Dad/Evertonian/StatsObsessive
Miracle of Castel di Sangro
The Damned United
Trauttman's Journey
November 19, 2024 at 6:58 PM
100%!
November 19, 2024 at 6:58 PM
Let us hope that lessons are learned if it does become a pandemic.

bsky.app/profile/pcin...
I have a lot of followers on X for this little statistical side hobby but not here, yet. So let's see....

@who-global.bsky.social have a metric called Years of Life Lost. I used @eu-eurostat.extwitter.link data to estimate #pandemic related excess for Western Europe:

Results are *interesting*!

1/
November 19, 2024 at 6:57 PM
Tagging a few who are far bigger experts in the field than I am!

@jeanfisch.bsky.social @actuarybyday.bsky.social @proffballoux.bsky.social @michaelsfuhrer.bsky.social

4/
November 19, 2024 at 4:52 PM
Should add that England/Wales data is weekly from ONS, and by registration date, not occurance.

3/
November 19, 2024 at 2:52 PM
I used 10 year age bands to 39 and then 5 year up to 90+.

And I used the same Life Expectancy as WHO recommend - 92.

All the data is weekly. Sweden deaths with unknown week added proportionately per age and year week.

Baseline 2012-19.

2/

www.who.int/data/gho/ind...
Indicator Metadata Registry Details
www.who.int
November 19, 2024 at 2:52 PM
And here lies the issue with Bluesky at this point.

Jay and others with his views are not on here.
November 16, 2024 at 3:57 PM
Haha I’m sure he has a burner account and has seen my YLL stuff from earlier.

I just don’t think there is any point to me doing stuff like that on here with the followers I have right now.
November 16, 2024 at 3:56 PM
Yep, so far I'm finding it best for eg football.

The range of opinions feels too narrow for Brexit, US election, pandemic etc.

See where it goes.
November 16, 2024 at 3:44 PM
Check the dates on the 3 articles including the one you posted.

RFK has some strange ideas on vaccines that hopefully stay as ideas although what he has said about diet is spot on.
November 14, 2024 at 7:21 PM
Excellent work!
November 14, 2024 at 2:06 PM
Oh I saw....looked for covid "starter packs" and its a veritable collection of loons. Like X but without the antivax end of the horseshoe.
November 14, 2024 at 2:02 PM
Despite some of Mr Kennedy's strange views and statements this is on the face of it a very good idea.

The American diet is terrible.
November 14, 2024 at 1:39 PM
This is misinformation and scare mongering.

Something you are known very well for over on X.

A community note type feature is clearly needed on here too.

thehill.com/policy/healt...
RFK Jr. says he won’t ‘take away anybody’s vaccines’ after Trump win
Former presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said he won’t take away vaccines from people when President-elect Trump takes office in January. Kennedy, who is expected to serve in a second Tr…
thehill.com
November 14, 2024 at 1:39 PM
But it feels like now might be a good time to get things running on here 😃
December 21, 2023 at 6:31 AM
This app is very slow…..
December 21, 2023 at 6:27 AM