For the last couple of months I've been working on something and I'm excited to finally share an early preview:

Say hello to plumber2 🎉

plumber2 is a full rewrite of the plumber package for creating powerful webapis in #rstats. It takes everything we have learned from plumber and adds even more

Seit Jahren wird kein Thema medial so unerbittlich hochgepeitscht wie Migration. Als Fernsehsender kann man natürlich weiterhin auf diese Karte setzen. Aber zu behaupten, das sei ein "unliebsames Thema", das "ausgeblendet" worden sei, ist dann halt gelogen und demagogische Propaganda.

Today, in Istanbul’s Maltepe district, over 2.2 million citizens, according to organizers—took to the streets, demanding democracy, justice, and freedom in the face of Erdoğan’s increasingly authoritarian rule.

Also newsworthy is that this many people took to the streets despite a week of intense police violence, lawless detentions and arrests.

AI obsession is completely out of hand. We have seriously arrived at a point, where some people prefer feeding 1TB of data to an LLM to de-duplicate instead of calling DISTINCT on a database. 😱

Our introduction to Bayesian Data Analysis underwent a major revision (it was too long at 1000 pages, so we moved some 400 pages into online). Currently in production but freely available forever:

bruno.nicenboim.me/bayescogsci/

I just posted a new notebook:

Causal Inference with the 𝚖𝚊𝚛𝚐𝚒𝚗𝚊𝚕𝚎𝚏𝚏𝚎𝚌𝚝𝚜 📦 for #Rstats. It introduces the idea of G-Computation and tries to demystify the differences between ATE, ATT, and ATU.

This is a first draft and I would looove any feedback!

marginaleffects.com/chapters/gco...

I suggest random changes to people's prices for stuff.

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Eine "Welt"-Redaktionskonferenz stelle ich mir etwa so vor: ein Haufen eingebildeter Edelfedern, die für jeden Dreck zu haben sind, wenn sie damit nur den Gang zum Arbeitsamt vermeiden können. Ausnahmen bestätigen die Regel.
www.spiegel.de/kultur/elon-...

Our Introduction to Bayesian Data Analysis for Cognitive Science (with Nicenboim and Schad) is now in production with CRC Press. It will remain freely available here:

bruno.nicenboim.me/bayescogsci/

Funny story. Submitted a stage 1 registered report in 2021 to an open access journal, the stage 2 has now been accepted as of two weeks ago, but the grant we would’ve used to pay the APC is long closed and I’m no longer affiliated with a university. lol.

years ago a friend ask whether I care about writing papers. I remember answering with sth like "oh I just hope people somewhere in the world will read them one day." today I woke up to some messages that one of my papers were included as a part of a syllabus somewhere, and made me really happy :)

German word for the special type of guilt you feel when you throw away your kid’s crafting projects because while they all embody cherished memories, there’s just no way you’re going to keep that piece of paper with two chestnuts and a bottle top glitter glued to it.

Regular reminder that "an outlier" doesn't exist. Outliers only exist in reference to some assumed distribution, they are essentially data that didn't come from your assumed distribution.

My paper (with Pavel Logacev) is out! doi.org/10.1080/2327... We tested case syncretism and its effects in Turkish agreement attraction. Unlike what is predicted by cue-based retrieval models, we (N=118) found no effect of case syncretism on the magnitude of the attraction.

isso

#StatsSky #rStats

Here's a fantastic tutorial by Jeffrey Spence on prediction intervals with practical examples using the predictionInterval package in R: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Will definately be adding PIs to esci.

I especially like this bit:

Just an interesting crossvalidated question about monotonically increasing GAMs with other constraints. Didn't know mono-increasing GAMs were so easy to fit.
stackoverflow.com/questions/66... #stats