Paul May
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paulallenmay.bsky.social
Paul May
@paulallenmay.bsky.social
Co-founder of BuzzStream - outreach software for digital PR, link building and influencer marketing.
I'm a believer in the opportunity because I've seen what we've been able to do with the tech, but again, the unanswered question is whether or not the models will continue to get smarter at the pace they've been improving.
January 7, 2025 at 6:41 PM
yes, the historic corporate loss numbers pale in comparison to the numbers we're talking about with gen AI, but that's b/c the potential market opportunity is perceived to be orders of magnitude larger for genAI.
January 7, 2025 at 6:41 PM
The nature of the costs are different than the historic tech company (i.e., heavier on infrastructure rather than headcount), but the point remains the same. As long as each model's per token cost continues to drop dramatically, the problem will take care of itself (again, with the "value" caveat)
January 7, 2025 at 6:41 PM
The normal pattern in tech (for the past 30 years) is that companies lose a shit-ton of money in their first 5-10 years...the model works b/c the winners in each space generate more than 90% of their cash flows ten+ years after they're founded (see salesforce, paypal, amazon, etc). Nature of tech.
January 7, 2025 at 6:41 PM
IMO, the cost issue that you talked about is a non-issue IF the models continue to improve at a very high trajectory. Even as the models have improved dramatically over the past 18 mths, the estimated token costs OpenAI/others pay for each model has decreased by an order of magnitude.
January 7, 2025 at 6:41 PM
You win, Nero....headshot added.
November 18, 2024 at 5:44 PM
Thanks. I feel like I got my good side
November 18, 2024 at 5:42 PM