Patrick Cronin
@patrickmcronin.bsky.social
Asia-Pacific Security Chair, Hudson Institute &
Scholar in Residence, Carnegie Mellon University
Scholar in Residence, Carnegie Mellon University
10. On the 7th Anniversary of the Trump-Kim Singapore Summit
"...we characterized ourselves as the host side. We were not engaged in mediation or in negotiations. The Oriental version of it is that we made sure the tea cups were filled, but the conversation was entirely between them."
"...we characterized ourselves as the host side. We were not engaged in mediation or in negotiations. The Oriental version of it is that we made sure the tea cups were filled, but the conversation was entirely between them."
June 7, 2025 at 3:40 PM
10. On the 7th Anniversary of the Trump-Kim Singapore Summit
"...we characterized ourselves as the host side. We were not engaged in mediation or in negotiations. The Oriental version of it is that we made sure the tea cups were filled, but the conversation was entirely between them."
"...we characterized ourselves as the host side. We were not engaged in mediation or in negotiations. The Oriental version of it is that we made sure the tea cups were filled, but the conversation was entirely between them."
9. Nuclear Risks in NE Asia
“For 80 years, the American security umbrella in Northeast Asia has been a key stabilizer for the relationships in a complicated part of the world…Can you imagine a Northeast Asia with five nuclear powers – Russia, China, North Korea, South Korea, and Japan?”
“For 80 years, the American security umbrella in Northeast Asia has been a key stabilizer for the relationships in a complicated part of the world…Can you imagine a Northeast Asia with five nuclear powers – Russia, China, North Korea, South Korea, and Japan?”
June 7, 2025 at 3:40 PM
9. Nuclear Risks in NE Asia
“For 80 years, the American security umbrella in Northeast Asia has been a key stabilizer for the relationships in a complicated part of the world…Can you imagine a Northeast Asia with five nuclear powers – Russia, China, North Korea, South Korea, and Japan?”
“For 80 years, the American security umbrella in Northeast Asia has been a key stabilizer for the relationships in a complicated part of the world…Can you imagine a Northeast Asia with five nuclear powers – Russia, China, North Korea, South Korea, and Japan?”
8. China's Maritime Dependence
“…in the last 45 years, because China became a manufacturing superpower, it now depends on the maritime routes in a way which it never depended as heavily in its earlier phases of history. ... one-third of global trade flows through the South China Sea.”
“…in the last 45 years, because China became a manufacturing superpower, it now depends on the maritime routes in a way which it never depended as heavily in its earlier phases of history. ... one-third of global trade flows through the South China Sea.”
June 7, 2025 at 3:40 PM
8. China's Maritime Dependence
“…in the last 45 years, because China became a manufacturing superpower, it now depends on the maritime routes in a way which it never depended as heavily in its earlier phases of history. ... one-third of global trade flows through the South China Sea.”
“…in the last 45 years, because China became a manufacturing superpower, it now depends on the maritime routes in a way which it never depended as heavily in its earlier phases of history. ... one-third of global trade flows through the South China Sea.”
7. Goldilocks
“We certainly do not want America & China to go to war, but if they suddenly arrive at a condominium and split the Pacific...in spheres of influence or control, that is not necessarily an ideal outcome…it is...a Goldilocks syndrome that we have – not too hot, and not too cold.”
“We certainly do not want America & China to go to war, but if they suddenly arrive at a condominium and split the Pacific...in spheres of influence or control, that is not necessarily an ideal outcome…it is...a Goldilocks syndrome that we have – not too hot, and not too cold.”
June 7, 2025 at 3:40 PM
7. Goldilocks
“We certainly do not want America & China to go to war, but if they suddenly arrive at a condominium and split the Pacific...in spheres of influence or control, that is not necessarily an ideal outcome…it is...a Goldilocks syndrome that we have – not too hot, and not too cold.”
“We certainly do not want America & China to go to war, but if they suddenly arrive at a condominium and split the Pacific...in spheres of influence or control, that is not necessarily an ideal outcome…it is...a Goldilocks syndrome that we have – not too hot, and not too cold.”
6. S China Sea
“[W]hat is really going on in the South China Sea?... Is it really the rocks & the sands...or is it really an extension of...strategic anxiety &...deterrence between the two superpowers? ... No SE Asian nation wants to allow itself to be a theatre for a proxy war again....”
“[W]hat is really going on in the South China Sea?... Is it really the rocks & the sands...or is it really an extension of...strategic anxiety &...deterrence between the two superpowers? ... No SE Asian nation wants to allow itself to be a theatre for a proxy war again....”
June 7, 2025 at 3:40 PM
6. S China Sea
“[W]hat is really going on in the South China Sea?... Is it really the rocks & the sands...or is it really an extension of...strategic anxiety &...deterrence between the two superpowers? ... No SE Asian nation wants to allow itself to be a theatre for a proxy war again....”
“[W]hat is really going on in the South China Sea?... Is it really the rocks & the sands...or is it really an extension of...strategic anxiety &...deterrence between the two superpowers? ... No SE Asian nation wants to allow itself to be a theatre for a proxy war again....”
5. Modus Vivendi
"[W]hat is the key ingredient that is missing in the US-China relationship? My assessment is a lack of strategic trust. ... it is our hope in my part of the world that you establish a modus vivendi... I hope it does not come across as wishful, but this is what we hope for.”
"[W]hat is the key ingredient that is missing in the US-China relationship? My assessment is a lack of strategic trust. ... it is our hope in my part of the world that you establish a modus vivendi... I hope it does not come across as wishful, but this is what we hope for.”
June 7, 2025 at 3:40 PM
5. Modus Vivendi
"[W]hat is the key ingredient that is missing in the US-China relationship? My assessment is a lack of strategic trust. ... it is our hope in my part of the world that you establish a modus vivendi... I hope it does not come across as wishful, but this is what we hope for.”
"[W]hat is the key ingredient that is missing in the US-China relationship? My assessment is a lack of strategic trust. ... it is our hope in my part of the world that you establish a modus vivendi... I hope it does not come across as wishful, but this is what we hope for.”
4. Taiwan Conflict?
“All of us have...our versions of the One China policy. I think what everyone wants to avoid is a kinetic conflict & having interacted with the principals on both sides. The point I would emphasize is that a kinetic conflict across the Taiwan Straits is not inevitable."
“All of us have...our versions of the One China policy. I think what everyone wants to avoid is a kinetic conflict & having interacted with the principals on both sides. The point I would emphasize is that a kinetic conflict across the Taiwan Straits is not inevitable."
June 7, 2025 at 3:40 PM
4. Taiwan Conflict?
“All of us have...our versions of the One China policy. I think what everyone wants to avoid is a kinetic conflict & having interacted with the principals on both sides. The point I would emphasize is that a kinetic conflict across the Taiwan Straits is not inevitable."
“All of us have...our versions of the One China policy. I think what everyone wants to avoid is a kinetic conflict & having interacted with the principals on both sides. The point I would emphasize is that a kinetic conflict across the Taiwan Straits is not inevitable."
3. Singapore's Role & Trade
“…Singapore's role is to be that totally reliable, safe deposit box." "We have had a…free trade agreement with America since 2004, and almost all the time, you have had a trade surplus, and it is growing. …we are not complaining....”
“…Singapore's role is to be that totally reliable, safe deposit box." "We have had a…free trade agreement with America since 2004, and almost all the time, you have had a trade surplus, and it is growing. …we are not complaining....”
June 7, 2025 at 3:40 PM
3. Singapore's Role & Trade
“…Singapore's role is to be that totally reliable, safe deposit box." "We have had a…free trade agreement with America since 2004, and almost all the time, you have had a trade surplus, and it is growing. …we are not complaining....”
“…Singapore's role is to be that totally reliable, safe deposit box." "We have had a…free trade agreement with America since 2004, and almost all the time, you have had a trade surplus, and it is growing. …we are not complaining....”
2. Three Dangers of Decoupling
“First, it will be inflationary….. Second…you set the stage for a more disrupted, dangerous world because interdependence is reduced…. The third point is” that it "must mean a reduction in the speed of progress."
“First, it will be inflationary….. Second…you set the stage for a more disrupted, dangerous world because interdependence is reduced…. The third point is” that it "must mean a reduction in the speed of progress."
June 7, 2025 at 3:40 PM
2. Three Dangers of Decoupling
“First, it will be inflationary….. Second…you set the stage for a more disrupted, dangerous world because interdependence is reduced…. The third point is” that it "must mean a reduction in the speed of progress."
“First, it will be inflationary….. Second…you set the stage for a more disrupted, dangerous world because interdependence is reduced…. The third point is” that it "must mean a reduction in the speed of progress."
1. Multipolar World
“…Pax Americana was a unique, incredible period of 80 years.” “…this is the end of an era." and "what we do know from history is that the interaction between an old world order and a new world order is when things get hairy, when things get dangerous….”
“…Pax Americana was a unique, incredible period of 80 years.” “…this is the end of an era." and "what we do know from history is that the interaction between an old world order and a new world order is when things get hairy, when things get dangerous….”
June 7, 2025 at 3:40 PM
1. Multipolar World
“…Pax Americana was a unique, incredible period of 80 years.” “…this is the end of an era." and "what we do know from history is that the interaction between an old world order and a new world order is when things get hairy, when things get dangerous….”
“…Pax Americana was a unique, incredible period of 80 years.” “…this is the end of an era." and "what we do know from history is that the interaction between an old world order and a new world order is when things get hairy, when things get dangerous….”