Paolo Manzo
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Paolo Manzo
@paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
A foreign correspondent in Brazil since 2007

I write in 4 languages #LatAm #geopolitics #socialmedia

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The Cuadernos Case Returns to Center Stage — and Revives Argentina’s Darkest Questions
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The Cuadernos Case Returns to Center Stage — and Revives Argentina’s Darkest Questions
How a murdered insider’s testimony exposes the logistics of power, cash, and impunity at the core of the Kirchner-era system
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:45 PM
Caso YPF: una tregua tattica a New York, ma la partita sulla sovranità argentina resta aperta
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Caso YPF: una tregua tattica a New York, ma la partita sulla sovranità argentina resta aperta
La decisione della giudice federale Preska di sospendere temporaneamente la propria ordinanza sugli asset di YPF non chiude il contenzioso miliardario contro l’Argentina, ma ne chiarisce la natura
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December 26, 2025 at 9:45 PM
Washington prepara il dopo-Maduro: petrolio, deterrenza navale e cambio di regime sullo sfondo
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Washington prepara il dopo-Maduro: petrolio, deterrenza navale e cambio di regime sullo sfondo
L'analisi di Latin American Insider
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December 26, 2025 at 9:45 PM
Tren de Aragua: Venezuela’s Exported Criminal State and the Limits of Transnational Enforcement
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Tren de Aragua: Venezuela’s Exported Criminal State and the Limits of Transnational Enforcement
How Maduro’s collapse of sovereignty turned a local gang into a hemispheric security threat—and why regional and U.S. responses are still falling short
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:45 PM
Honduras After the Count: Asfura’s Narrow Victory, Institutional Strain, and the Return of Geopolitics
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Honduras After the Count: Asfura’s Narrow Victory, Institutional Strain, and the Return of Geopolitics
Opposition rejection, weak legal arguments, and street pressure from Nasralla and LIBRE test Honduras’ institutions as Washington backs a swift transition
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December 26, 2025 at 9:44 PM
Cuba’s Illusion of Reform: Labor Promises, Repression, and the Anatomy of a Controlled Crisis
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Cuba’s Illusion of Reform: Labor Promises, Repression, and the Anatomy of a Controlled Crisis
Labor Control, Judicial Repression, and Energy Collapse in Havana’s Managed Authoritarian Transition. Read Latin American Insider analysis below
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December 26, 2025 at 9:44 PM
Venezuela’s Managed Repression and Washington’s Dilemma: Sanctions, Hostage Politics, and Regime Survival
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Venezuela’s Managed Repression and Washington’s Dilemma: Sanctions, Hostage Politics, and Regime Survival
Christmas 2025 did not bring a ceasefire to Venezuela’s political crisis. Instead, it offered a revealing snapshot of how the Maduro regime manages pressure from Washington and its allies 👇
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December 26, 2025 at 9:44 PM
Brazil’s cabinet enters campaign mode: Lula’s 2026 reset and the high-stakes battle for the Senate
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Brazil’s cabinet enters campaign mode: Lula’s 2026 reset and the high-stakes battle for the Senate
Next year's election is already underway—not in campaign slogans or rallies, but in the quiet reconfiguration of power at the core of the Brazilian state. Read the Latin American Insider below
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December 26, 2025 at 9:44 PM
Brasile, il caso Banco Master e la frattura tra la Corte suprema e la Banca centrale
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Brasile, il caso Banco Master e la frattura tra la Corte suprema e la Banca centrale
Un intervento giudiziario senza precedenti mette in discussione la vigilanza bancaria e riapre il nodo dei pesi e contrappesi nel gigante sudamericano
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December 26, 2025 at 9:44 PM
Argentina’s legal overhang—and the first real chance to defuse it
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Argentina’s legal overhang—and the first real chance to defuse it
US$30 billion in foreign lawsuits expose the costs of kirchnerist policy, but macro stabilization under Caputo is reshaping how markets price sovereign risk
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December 26, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Latin America’s political balance and the five elections that could redraw the map in 2026
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Latin America’s political balance and the five elections that could redraw the map in 2026
As of late 2025, ten of the region’s key countries are governed by left-wing or centre-left administrations, while eight are led by liberal or conservative forces
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December 26, 2025 at 9:41 PM
Honduras is on the edge: elections with military involvement, outside influence, and a three-way fight for power
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Honduras is on the edge: elections with military involvement, outside influence, and a three-way fight for power
Check out the Latin American Insider analysis below
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November 29, 2025 at 1:07 PM
Petro under pressure: intelligence whiplash, oil-sector stress, Caribbean militarization, and a hemisphere on edge
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Petro under pressure: intelligence whiplash, oil-sector stress, Caribbean militarization, and a hemisphere on edge
Read Latin American Insider Special Analysis 👇
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November 28, 2025 at 11:29 PM
Il Venezuela alza il livello dello scontro mentre l’America Latina entra in una nuova fase di instabilità
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Il Venezuela alza il livello dello scontro mentre l’America Latina entra in una nuova fase di instabilità
Escalation retorica di Maduro, presenza russa crescente e repressione interna ridefiniscono il rischio-Paese, mentre Cile, Colombia e Perù aprono nuovi fronti politici con impatti per gli investitori
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November 26, 2025 at 3:53 PM