Paolo Manzo
LightNews LightNews
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Paolo Manzo
@paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
29 followers 1 following 190 posts
A foreign correspondent in Brazil since 2007

I write in 4 languages #LatAm #geopolitics #socialmedia

Subscribe to Latin American Insider (paolomanzo.substack.com👇
https://paolomanzo.substack.com/subscribe
Posts Replies Media Videos
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Latin America at the edge of governance by exception
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Latin America at the edge of governance by exception
In a region governed ever more by exception, success will depend on distinguishing temporary turbulence from structural drift. LatAm is not closing; it is reordering its rules, often without saying it
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:46 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Mercosur, AAA affari cercasi, l’Europa frena mentre il mondo corre
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Mercosur, AAA affari cercasi, l’Europa frena mentre il mondo corre
Argentina, Uruguay e Paraguay vogliono rendere più flessibili le regole sulle trattative commerciali con Paesi e blocchi terzi consentendo ai singoli Stati membri di negoziare accordi in modo autonomo
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:46 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
L’enforcement marittimo Usa contro il Venezuela e il dilemma europeo
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
L’enforcement marittimo Usa contro il Venezuela e il dilemma europeo
Dalla stretta sulle petroliere alla crisi energetica cubana: gli effetti collaterali delle sanzioni Usa e l’assenza di una strategia autonoma dell’Unione europea
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:46 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Venezuela as a Criminal State: Why Maduro Is Now a U.S. Strategic Target
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Venezuela as a Criminal State: Why Maduro Is Now a U.S. Strategic Target
Read this interview with Elliott Abrams drawn from a conversation recorded by the School of War podcast that emphasizes the geopolitical, security, and regime-survival dimensions of this crisis
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:45 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
The Cuadernos Case Returns to Center Stage — and Revives Argentina’s Darkest Questions
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
The Cuadernos Case Returns to Center Stage — and Revives Argentina’s Darkest Questions
How a murdered insider’s testimony exposes the logistics of power, cash, and impunity at the core of the Kirchner-era system
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:45 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Caso YPF: una tregua tattica a New York, ma la partita sulla sovranità argentina resta aperta
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Caso YPF: una tregua tattica a New York, ma la partita sulla sovranità argentina resta aperta
La decisione della giudice federale Preska di sospendere temporaneamente la propria ordinanza sugli asset di YPF non chiude il contenzioso miliardario contro l’Argentina, ma ne chiarisce la natura
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:45 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Washington prepara il dopo-Maduro: petrolio, deterrenza navale e cambio di regime sullo sfondo
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Washington prepara il dopo-Maduro: petrolio, deterrenza navale e cambio di regime sullo sfondo
L'analisi di Latin American Insider
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:45 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Tren de Aragua: Venezuela’s Exported Criminal State and the Limits of Transnational Enforcement
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Tren de Aragua: Venezuela’s Exported Criminal State and the Limits of Transnational Enforcement
How Maduro’s collapse of sovereignty turned a local gang into a hemispheric security threat—and why regional and U.S. responses are still falling short
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:45 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
🎄 Special Christmas Offer: 50% OFF Latin American Insider
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
🎄 Special Christmas Offer: 50% OFF Latin American Insider
There’s no better moment to support quality journalism and start the new year fully informed. 👉 Activate your Christmas offer here: https://paolomanzo.substack.com/subscribe
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:45 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Honduras After the Count: Asfura’s Narrow Victory, Institutional Strain, and the Return of Geopolitics
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Honduras After the Count: Asfura’s Narrow Victory, Institutional Strain, and the Return of Geopolitics
Opposition rejection, weak legal arguments, and street pressure from Nasralla and LIBRE test Honduras’ institutions as Washington backs a swift transition
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:44 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Elezioni Perù 2026: maxi-scheda elettorale ed iper-frammentazione
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Elezioni Perù 2026: maxi-scheda elettorale ed iper-frammentazione
Tra rifiuto del voto elettronico, record di liste presidenziali e un sistema incapace di selezionare leadership credibili, le elezioni peruviane sono un simbolo del paradosso democratico sudamericano
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:44 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Cuba’s Illusion of Reform: Labor Promises, Repression, and the Anatomy of a Controlled Crisis
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Cuba’s Illusion of Reform: Labor Promises, Repression, and the Anatomy of a Controlled Crisis
Labor Control, Judicial Repression, and Energy Collapse in Havana’s Managed Authoritarian Transition. Read Latin American Insider analysis below
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:44 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Venezuela’s Managed Repression and Washington’s Dilemma: Sanctions, Hostage Politics, and Regime Survival
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Venezuela’s Managed Repression and Washington’s Dilemma: Sanctions, Hostage Politics, and Regime Survival
Christmas 2025 did not bring a ceasefire to Venezuela’s political crisis. Instead, it offered a revealing snapshot of how the Maduro regime manages pressure from Washington and its allies 👇
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:44 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Brazil’s cabinet enters campaign mode: Lula’s 2026 reset and the high-stakes battle for the Senate
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Brazil’s cabinet enters campaign mode: Lula’s 2026 reset and the high-stakes battle for the Senate
Next year's election is already underway—not in campaign slogans or rallies, but in the quiet reconfiguration of power at the core of the Brazilian state. Read the Latin American Insider below
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:44 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Brasile, il caso Banco Master e la frattura tra la Corte suprema e la Banca centrale
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Brasile, il caso Banco Master e la frattura tra la Corte suprema e la Banca centrale
Un intervento giudiziario senza precedenti mette in discussione la vigilanza bancaria e riapre il nodo dei pesi e contrappesi nel gigante sudamericano
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:44 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Argentina’s legal overhang—and the first real chance to defuse it
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Argentina’s legal overhang—and the first real chance to defuse it
US$30 billion in foreign lawsuits expose the costs of kirchnerist policy, but macro stabilization under Caputo is reshaping how markets price sovereign risk
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:43 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Latin America’s political balance and the five elections that could redraw the map in 2026
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Latin America’s political balance and the five elections that could redraw the map in 2026
As of late 2025, ten of the region’s key countries are governed by left-wing or centre-left administrations, while eight are led by liberal or conservative forces
open.substack.com
December 26, 2025 at 9:41 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
🎄 Special Christmas Offer: 50% OFF Latin American Insider
There’s no better moment to support quality journalism and start the new year fully informed. 👉 Activate your Christmas offer here: https://paolomanzo.substack.com/subscribe
open.substack.com
December 24, 2025 at 4:58 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Latin American Insider — Regional Power Shifts Analysis
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Latin American Insider — Regional Power Shifts Analysis
A conservative counter-cycle is emerging—led by Honduras, Argentina, and possibly Chile—while left-wing administrations in Venezuela, Cuba, Nicaragua, and Colombia face ongoing crises
open.substack.com
December 1, 2025 at 3:09 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Honduras is on the edge: elections with military involvement, outside influence, and a three-way fight for power
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Honduras is on the edge: elections with military involvement, outside influence, and a three-way fight for power
Check out the Latin American Insider analysis below
open.substack.com
November 29, 2025 at 1:07 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Petro under pressure: intelligence whiplash, oil-sector stress, Caribbean militarization, and a hemisphere on edge
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Petro under pressure: intelligence whiplash, oil-sector stress, Caribbean militarization, and a hemisphere on edge
Read Latin American Insider Special Analysis 👇
open.substack.com
November 28, 2025 at 11:29 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
L’altra Amazzonia, dove gli agricoltori difendono la foresta
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
L’altra Amazzonia, dove gli agricoltori difendono la foresta
La Confederazione dell’agricoltura brasiliana ha portato alla COP30 di Belém un documento inedito: il riconoscimento del ruolo dei produttori rurali nella lotta al cambiamento climatico
open.substack.com
November 28, 2025 at 7:52 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Quo vadis Brasile?
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Quo vadis Brasile?
Due le strade possibili: un ruolo più attivo nel contenimento delle dittature vicine o continuare a bilanciare ambizioni geopolitiche e storiche solidarietà ideologiche coi regimi di Cuba e Venezuela
open.substack.com
November 27, 2025 at 3:04 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Brazil’s systemic tightening
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Brazil’s systemic tightening
Financial controls, regulatory power plays and corporate stress shape a new risk landscape
open.substack.com
November 27, 2025 at 2:05 PM
paolomanzosubstack.bsky.social
Il Venezuela alza il livello dello scontro mentre l’America Latina entra in una nuova fase di instabilità
open.substack.com/pub/paoloman...
Il Venezuela alza il livello dello scontro mentre l’America Latina entra in una nuova fase di instabilità
Escalation retorica di Maduro, presenza russa crescente e repressione interna ridefiniscono il rischio-Paese, mentre Cile, Colombia e Perù aprono nuovi fronti politici con impatti per gli investitori
open.substack.com
November 26, 2025 at 3:53 PM