Ollie Wing
@oejwing.bsky.social
Flood risk in a changing world. Navigating uncertainty in catastrophe models to make the planet a better place (for my dog).
Chief Scientific Officer at Fathom
📍Bristol, UK
Chief Scientific Officer at Fathom
📍Bristol, UK
December 23, 2024 at 10:01 AM
Lastly, I had some fun arguing we should chuck the bathtub out with the bathwater (but keep the baby). Keep your HANDs to yourself!
Paper on this out recently with Brett Sanders & Paul Bates: doi.org/10.1029/2024...
Will do my best to fend off any whataboutery in the replies.
Paper on this out recently with Brett Sanders & Paul Bates: doi.org/10.1029/2024...
Will do my best to fend off any whataboutery in the replies.
December 16, 2024 at 10:43 PM
Lastly, I had some fun arguing we should chuck the bathtub out with the bathwater (but keep the baby). Keep your HANDs to yourself!
Paper on this out recently with Brett Sanders & Paul Bates: doi.org/10.1029/2024...
Will do my best to fend off any whataboutery in the replies.
Paper on this out recently with Brett Sanders & Paul Bates: doi.org/10.1029/2024...
Will do my best to fend off any whataboutery in the replies.
Seb Moraga on using a diffusion model to downscale a SMILE (yes, I love the acronym and no, I won't explain it)
Stochastic event sets from downscaled climate models? Yes please. So long & fuck you to arbitrary event definitions in statistical models.
Stochastic event sets from downscaled climate models? Yes please. So long & fuck you to arbitrary event definitions in statistical models.
December 16, 2024 at 10:43 PM
Seb Moraga on using a diffusion model to downscale a SMILE (yes, I love the acronym and no, I won't explain it)
Stochastic event sets from downscaled climate models? Yes please. So long & fuck you to arbitrary event definitions in statistical models.
Stochastic event sets from downscaled climate models? Yes please. So long & fuck you to arbitrary event definitions in statistical models.
#SWOT really is the real deal. Steve Chuter here showing how we can have real rather than made-up bathymetry for unsurveyed rivers.
A part of me is sad when something moves from parameterization to resolution. See you later 2y conveyance assumption. You made calibrating flow biases a lot easier 😔
A part of me is sad when something moves from parameterization to resolution. See you later 2y conveyance assumption. You made calibrating flow biases a lot easier 😔
December 16, 2024 at 10:43 PM
#SWOT really is the real deal. Steve Chuter here showing how we can have real rather than made-up bathymetry for unsurveyed rivers.
A part of me is sad when something moves from parameterization to resolution. See you later 2y conveyance assumption. You made calibrating flow biases a lot easier 😔
A part of me is sad when something moves from parameterization to resolution. See you later 2y conveyance assumption. You made calibrating flow biases a lot easier 😔
On a more serious note, Chris Lucas showed us how FathomDEM is even better than FABDEM thanks to using vision transformers rather than random forest regression. It's quantitatively the best global DEM out there ... hold onto your hats for the paper (if the reviewers agree).
December 16, 2024 at 10:43 PM
On a more serious note, Chris Lucas showed us how FathomDEM is even better than FABDEM thanks to using vision transformers rather than random forest regression. It's quantitatively the best global DEM out there ... hold onto your hats for the paper (if the reviewers agree).
Also had the pleasure of meeting a #FABDEM superfan. He claimed to be the no 1 fan of FABDEM. I asked him to prove it, and he said he would do literally anything & was prepared for it to get weird. James: I have some ideas - call me.
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
December 16, 2024 at 10:43 PM
Also had the pleasure of meeting a #FABDEM superfan. He claimed to be the no 1 fan of FABDEM. I asked him to prove it, and he said he would do literally anything & was prepared for it to get weird. James: I have some ideas - call me.
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
I'll start with my fav: Yasuo Nihei (Tokyo University of Science) chucking a daihatsu down a flume to see what would happen. I love science!
December 16, 2024 at 10:43 PM
I'll start with my fav: Yasuo Nihei (Tokyo University of Science) chucking a daihatsu down a flume to see what would happen. I love science!
Here's some books I've read this year on climate / risk / models / uncertainty / decision-making. I very much recommend each of them.
December 16, 2024 at 3:53 PM
Here's some books I've read this year on climate / risk / models / uncertainty / decision-making. I very much recommend each of them.
Finally moved out of that toxic place; this feels more like home. Where are my old pals at? Let's talk flood risk, cat models, climate change, chaos, uncertainty, monetizing false precision & the (ab)use of models!
December 16, 2024 at 11:36 AM
Finally moved out of that toxic place; this feels more like home. Where are my old pals at? Let's talk flood risk, cat models, climate change, chaos, uncertainty, monetizing false precision & the (ab)use of models!