Paul Novosad
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novosad.bsky.social
Paul Novosad
@novosad.bsky.social
Econ prof @dartmouth, founder devdatalab.org

r2: a morass of disjointed streams of consciousness

🤷‍♂️
The most marketable skill right now is having good judgment regarding how and when to use AI.

Using AI to generate your writing assignments is having bad judgment.
May 7, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Reposted by Paul Novosad
every student taking the easy path here is putting a little more alpha on the table for their peers who don't
May 7, 2025 at 1:41 PM
Reposted by Paul Novosad
just register for your own protection. it will be fine
April 24, 2025 at 1:28 AM
We also published the entire database with metadata on 80 million Indian court cases from 2010–2018: devdatalab.org/judicial-data
Development Data Lab
devdatalab.org
April 8, 2025 at 1:02 PM
If you want to learn more, we made an interactive demo of how publication bias works:
devdatalab.org/publication-...

And you can learn more about our paper on judicial bias here: devdatalab.org/judicial-bias

4/
April 8, 2025 at 1:02 PM
If there's publication bias, studies look asymmetric on the graph — because noisier studies need bigger effects to be statistically significant.

The left graph is a simulation of publication bias. The black points in the right graph are past studies on ingroup bias. 3/
April 8, 2025 at 1:02 PM
In the absence of publication bias, estimates should form a funnel centered around the true effect.

Statistically significant estimates are outside the solid lines — but point mass should be similar just on either side of the line. 2/
April 8, 2025 at 1:02 PM