notayakk.bsky.social
@notayakk.bsky.social
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November 19, 2025 at 4:16 AM
MAWA does not care. They know that terrible things are happening outside, and that families are being torn apart.
November 19, 2025 at 12:46 AM
It is just a not fondly remembered x.
November 19, 2025 at 12:19 AM
UPDATE nobody is sure if SCOTUS has been bribed enough to vote either way. Results uncertain!

Bookmakers are looking at the conservative judges bank accounts to calculate better odds.
November 18, 2025 at 11:44 PM
I am trying to upgrade my spawn's subskirt leggings to *gasp* sweat pants.

I may have to buy her more fashionable ones to win this battle. Do sweat pants come in fashionable?
November 18, 2025 at 1:33 PM
It is an ottawa tradition to frost bite your finger, ear and nose tips as a teenager. It kills the nerves and gives you the adult ability to approach hypothermia without being annoyed by it. OC transpo relies on it.
November 18, 2025 at 1:24 PM
No, let it sorbo into obscurity
November 18, 2025 at 2:06 AM
A horse? Of course.
November 18, 2025 at 12:29 AM
Because you are expressing a massive lack of understanding. This feels like arguing with someone that modular arithmetic exists, or that they can trisect an angle, or that the english language is related to french and german.

It is tiresome and not that interesting.
November 17, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Regardless, nothing will be without a detail you can use to ignore it. I see no point in teaching you. I'm not gaining any knowledge here, because your objections are sort of a joke? And you aren't interested in learning. So, bye.
November 17, 2025 at 10:45 PM
Because data from 1929 is hard to get? So I found something easy to get.

Median weekly wage in 1929 is a difficult stat to find, because nobody collected it in 1929. So I picked a job that employed a large number of people and wasn't utter crap and I could find numbers for.
November 17, 2025 at 10:45 PM
It isn't that rich. Mostly prices are up because of GOP choices?

Like, only one of those aren't directly caused by the GOP.

And the Bag of Cowling.
November 17, 2025 at 10:41 PM
Average wage growth since 1929 was solid (on average) 50 years, including a great depression. But since 1979, it has been near zero.

This is exactly the goal post you claimed would refute my position.

Are you convinced by numbers that contradict your beliefs? If not, meh.
November 17, 2025 at 9:51 PM
19x inflation since 1929.
Factory job paid 27$/week. (Can't find better numbers)
X19 is approx 513/week.
1200$ median wage today.
1200/513 to the 1/(2025-1929)th power is 2.34^(1/96) = 0.8% per year.
In 1979 similar math is ((242/27)/4.36)^(1/50) = 1.5% per year from 1929 to 1979.
So... no?
November 17, 2025 at 9:46 PM
They are both true claims.

You objected to comparing it to 1950 to 1980 because it was a huge boom. I have shown that the boom has shrunk by 25%... which makes them pretty comparable right? Yet median wage growth vanished. Not down 25%. Not down 50%. Not down 75%. Down 95%+.
November 17, 2025 at 9:30 PM
She wrote. She wrote writing. She wrote the writing being wrote. The writing wrote her. She was wrote upon by the writing she murdered. Wrote. Wrote. Wrote. She wrote, writing.
November 17, 2025 at 9:05 PM
Then do the productivity median wage gap. Productivity growth has slowed down a bit (2x over 30 vs 2x over 40). But in comparison, wages have stopped moving: /30 vs /300).

I am sorry I don't have infinite data. US economic data going back to 1900 is harder to find.

www.epi.org/publication/...
November 17, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Median wage growth has been 1.7% under productivity growth per year or almost 50 years for in every year, and way beyond that on average. Ludicrous by your own description.

We know why: 1980 started a fed policy to suppress wage growth ("strict inflation controls"). Wages go up, boom recession.
November 17, 2025 at 8:51 PM
We can identify some concrete effects of this error. Median and below ages buy less/worse non-traded goods than 50 years ago per hour. Ie, housing is unaffordable.

And the poor can buy fancier TVs and cell phones per hour of work (ignoring status value). Traded (non-energy) goods are cheaper.
November 17, 2025 at 8:46 PM
None of this is out of left field.

It does mean that adjusting for CPI leaving a fraction of a percent means "basically zero", because you are getting a value smaller than the error bars in the CPI.

This error need not be solvable in order for it to be known. Inflation is an abstraction.
November 17, 2025 at 8:46 PM
No? They openly say what they are doing and the errors in the headline number.

We know non-traded goods inflation is higher.
Goods substitution saves a bundle on pensions, and boosts GDP growth.
You can get baskets of goods by subpopulation prices. Having one CPI is known to be a compromise.
November 17, 2025 at 8:46 PM
And I can list the methodological concerns: substitution effect undercalculating inflation, basket of goods errors for low wage earners, traded vs non traded goods systemic differences. Each of these are 0.2% or larger per year compounded scale problems.

This is freshman macroecon.
November 17, 2025 at 6:21 PM
From 1950 to 1980 it was up almost 2% per year (using a cpi that was lower than current methods) From 1980 to 2025 it has been up 0.2% per year. Productivity was up about 2% per year the entire time.

This isn't a zoom out problem. It is a collapse in wage growth.
November 17, 2025 at 6:21 PM
It isn't super good at conveying information, but you can embed secret handshakes to people with a similar literary/cultural/etc background. Like I can embed math references that nobody without an abstract math background would notice. Ie, favorite anagram (BT), prime (91), or a tile/group pun.
November 17, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Ya. But think of the allusions! By being vague, they can be incorporated into the message implicitly with varying degrees of certainty and weight. Being explicit about them all would require pages of text.

To allude or not to allude; in that phrase I can shake free reems of contextual ghosts.
November 17, 2025 at 5:19 PM