Sven Henrich
@northmantraders.bsky.social
Founder: NorthmanTrader. Financial Market Strategist. Macro & Technical Analysis. Keeping it Real.
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Super billionaires: The combined net worth of the top 24 billionaires totals $3.3 trillion, equivalent to the nominal GDP of France.
t.co/nTdA82ZN4T
t.co/nTdA82ZN4T
t.co
February 27, 2025 at 3:52 AM
Super billionaires: The combined net worth of the top 24 billionaires totals $3.3 trillion, equivalent to the nominal GDP of France.
t.co/nTdA82ZN4T
t.co/nTdA82ZN4T
Apparently 25% tariffs on the EU are not a big hit.
February 27, 2025 at 3:52 AM
Apparently 25% tariffs on the EU are not a big hit.
Small caps bouncing off of the weekly 50MA which got tagged yesterday and often can act as an important pivot of control (support or resistance).
$IWM $RUT
$IWM $RUT
February 27, 2025 at 3:43 AM
Small caps bouncing off of the weekly 50MA which got tagged yesterday and often can act as an important pivot of control (support or resistance).
$IWM $RUT
$IWM $RUT
Friend of mine was checking out a new $TSLA car to buy but it had a bit of a musky odor, so he decided against it.
February 27, 2025 at 3:43 AM
Friend of mine was checking out a new $TSLA car to buy but it had a bit of a musky odor, so he decided against it.
1 week tech performances.
February 27, 2025 at 2:55 AM
1 week tech performances.
Not even 3% off the highs and it's nearly panic time around here.
February 27, 2025 at 2:52 AM
Not even 3% off the highs and it's nearly panic time around here.
February 27, 2025 at 2:48 AM
The top 10% account for half of all consumer spending .
The top 10% also own 90% of the stock market.
Lose the stock market lose the economy.
Hence from the Fed on down everything is and has been geared to protect the stock market.
The top 10% also own 90% of the stock market.
Lose the stock market lose the economy.
Hence from the Fed on down everything is and has been geared to protect the stock market.
February 27, 2025 at 2:47 AM
The top 10% account for half of all consumer spending .
The top 10% also own 90% of the stock market.
Lose the stock market lose the economy.
Hence from the Fed on down everything is and has been geared to protect the stock market.
The top 10% also own 90% of the stock market.
Lose the stock market lose the economy.
Hence from the Fed on down everything is and has been geared to protect the stock market.
How narrow has this bull market been?
While $SPX is up over 25% since January 1, 2024 the value line geometric index $XVG is not even up 3%.
While $SPX is up over 25% since January 1, 2024 the value line geometric index $XVG is not even up 3%.
February 27, 2025 at 2:46 AM
How narrow has this bull market been?
While $SPX is up over 25% since January 1, 2024 the value line geometric index $XVG is not even up 3%.
While $SPX is up over 25% since January 1, 2024 the value line geometric index $XVG is not even up 3%.
$SPY just had 2 back to back days of only 26M shares traded. I can't be sure, but I don't think this has ever happened before.
Even December 24 half day had more volume with 33M shares traded.
Even December 24 half day had more volume with 33M shares traded.
February 27, 2025 at 2:45 AM
$SPY just had 2 back to back days of only 26M shares traded. I can't be sure, but I don't think this has ever happened before.
Even December 24 half day had more volume with 33M shares traded.
Even December 24 half day had more volume with 33M shares traded.
Slight increase in volume to near 31M shares traded on $SPY. But that's 3 days in a row below half day Christmas trading.
Bizarre.
I have a hunch volume will not remain this low 😂
Bizarre.
I have a hunch volume will not remain this low 😂
February 27, 2025 at 2:43 AM
Slight increase in volume to near 31M shares traded on $SPY. But that's 3 days in a row below half day Christmas trading.
Bizarre.
I have a hunch volume will not remain this low 😂
Bizarre.
I have a hunch volume will not remain this low 😂
Just admit it:
You're looking for excuses to bring QE back.
You're looking for excuses to bring QE back.
February 27, 2025 at 2:42 AM
Just admit it:
You're looking for excuses to bring QE back.
You're looking for excuses to bring QE back.
No doubt deficits have become absurd in recent years yet note that fiscal dominance has been so stimulative for growth & liquidity a sudden move to a balanced budget would likely produce a severe recession as markets lose the liquidity boost & the economy the growth crutch.
February 27, 2025 at 2:42 AM
No doubt deficits have become absurd in recent years yet note that fiscal dominance has been so stimulative for growth & liquidity a sudden move to a balanced budget would likely produce a severe recession as markets lose the liquidity boost & the economy the growth crutch.
To be able to pay down the debt you first need to run a surplus which ain’t going to be happening without a massive recession.
February 27, 2025 at 2:41 AM
To be able to pay down the debt you first need to run a surplus which ain’t going to be happening without a massive recession.
What Powell neglected to mention in the press conference on February 11 is that the Fed was already discussing slowing or pausing QT related to debt ceiling dynamics.
Instead he chose to send this message below leaving out critical context.
Disingenuous communication.
Instead he chose to send this message below leaving out critical context.
Disingenuous communication.
February 27, 2025 at 2:41 AM
What Powell neglected to mention in the press conference on February 11 is that the Fed was already discussing slowing or pausing QT related to debt ceiling dynamics.
Instead he chose to send this message below leaving out critical context.
Disingenuous communication.
Instead he chose to send this message below leaving out critical context.
Disingenuous communication.
Here it comes:
"Officials Discussed Slowing or Pausing Balance Sheet Runoff Pending Debt-Limit Resolution"
"Officials Discussed Slowing or Pausing Balance Sheet Runoff Pending Debt-Limit Resolution"
February 27, 2025 at 2:40 AM
Here it comes:
"Officials Discussed Slowing or Pausing Balance Sheet Runoff Pending Debt-Limit Resolution"
"Officials Discussed Slowing or Pausing Balance Sheet Runoff Pending Debt-Limit Resolution"
The last time $DAX pushed this far above the monthly Bollinger band with a monthly RSI of 80 it didn't have a happy ending.
Different times, but noteworthy nevertheless.
Different times, but noteworthy nevertheless.
February 27, 2025 at 2:39 AM
The last time $DAX pushed this far above the monthly Bollinger band with a monthly RSI of 80 it didn't have a happy ending.
Different times, but noteworthy nevertheless.
Different times, but noteworthy nevertheless.
Not waiting for Space X $DAX is already heading to Mars.
February 27, 2025 at 2:38 AM
Not waiting for Space X $DAX is already heading to Mars.
Incidentally that's the earnings yield chart I referred to in the video above.
February 27, 2025 at 2:37 AM
Incidentally that's the earnings yield chart I referred to in the video above.
NorthCast Market Update: Truth Time
YouTube video by NorthmanTrader
www.youtube.com
February 18, 2025 at 2:53 AM
2 examples of key issues many of us on FinTwit warned about at least a year in advance each time yet ignored by the Fed & now admitting to the repetitive policy errors of excessive liquidity only after the fact.
The pervasive incompetence & arrogance on display is staggering.
The pervasive incompetence & arrogance on display is staggering.
February 18, 2025 at 2:52 AM
2 examples of key issues many of us on FinTwit warned about at least a year in advance each time yet ignored by the Fed & now admitting to the repetitive policy errors of excessive liquidity only after the fact.
The pervasive incompetence & arrogance on display is staggering.
The pervasive incompetence & arrogance on display is staggering.
Thank you Sandy Lane 🇧🇧❤️
February 18, 2025 at 2:51 AM
Thank you Sandy Lane 🇧🇧❤️
