Scottish Premiership Projections 23/12/24
-Celtic 98.1% for the title
-A win on January 2nd makes this 99.6%
Aberdeen now just 2.1% for 2nd
- Ross County & St. Johnstone are both odds on for bottom 2
Full table, fixture and points projections below:
niallwfootball.substack.com/p/scottish-p...

Premier League Projections 23/12/24
-Liverpool 71.2% for the title, City just 1.9%
- 6 way race for UEL/UECL spots
- Ipswich and Southampton may start preparing for a return to the Championship

Full table, fixture projections and points projections below:
niallwfootball.substack.com/p/premier-le...

niallwfootball.substack.com/p/premier-le...
Premier League version

niallwfootball.substack.com/p/scottish-pre…
Have put a page on the site together summarizing all the outputs from my Scottish Premiership Modelling
- League Table Projection
- Points Projections
- Fixture Predictions
Should update after each gameweek, and similar will come for other leagues soon

English Premier League Projections - Post Matchday 13
-Liverpool 67% for the title, 99.9% for Champions League
- Arsenal predicted 2nd, 1 in 5 chance of the title
- City now projected 3rd, 11.8% for title
- All 3 promoted sides >65% for relegation, Southampton 94%

open.substack.com/pub/niallwfo...

Champions League Projections - Post MD5
- Celtic 93.8% to make knockout phase, 6.5% chance of Top 8
- Liverpool 71% to finish top of league phase, 12.1% of being champions
- Bratislava the first team not to qualify in 10,000/10,000 simulations
datawrapper.dwcdn.net/yv7UM/1/

In a few images:

niallwfootball.substack.com/p/what-is-go...

SPFL Projections Post Matchday 12
- Celtic 98% for the title
- Aberdeen 19% chance of 2nd, 94% of top 3
- Hearts 58% chance of finishing bottom half

niallwfootball.substack.com/p/mid-season...