Neil Irwin
neilirwin.bsky.social
Neil Irwin
@neilirwin.bsky.social
Chief Economic Correspondent at Axios. Author of daily Axios Macro newsletter. Author of "The Alchemists." Formerly: NYT, WashPost.
Let's see how the magic computer answers:
April 26, 2025 at 10:19 PM
Sometimes you just have to let the robot know who's boss.
April 8, 2025 at 6:36 PM
I will never tire of a company with a [checks notes] $1.03 trillion market cap sticking with a the 1997-era-Geocities-style website. At this point it would be disappointing if they were to modernize it.
February 22, 2025 at 4:04 PM
This chart from the BLS's press release tells the not-so-great story of where we are on inflation.
February 12, 2025 at 1:39 PM
I feel like the existence of this photo is a piece of evidence that we're living in a simulation.
January 2, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Inbox: Here's Cleveland Fed president Beth Hammack on why she dissented from Wednesday's rate cut.
December 20, 2024 at 2:14 PM
We each have our own definition of "urgent."
December 17, 2024 at 1:08 AM
The European mind can’t comprehend, etc. etc.
December 15, 2024 at 7:34 PM
Inbox: Michelle Neal, head of the New York Fed's markets group, is heading to the private sector.
December 12, 2024 at 8:38 PM
Threads dot com, still serving up those piping hot takes.
December 12, 2024 at 12:48 AM
The current fed funds rate (~4.6%) is either ~50bps too low or ~100bps too high depending on which simple monetary policy rule you prefer to pay attention to.

via www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-a...
December 5, 2024 at 4:15 PM
I have many questions. For example: DC has its own fighter jets?

And states can just trade National Guard squadrons amongst themselves?

And is it really a good idea to trade your fighter jets in exchange for a football stadium?

www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
December 5, 2024 at 1:20 PM
Good sentence here on passive investing from Byrne Hobart.

capitalgains.thediff.co/p/passive-in...
December 4, 2024 at 3:11 PM
I'm amused at the way the JOLTS team at BLS is always negging their own data in the press release.

Nothing to see here, job openings are little changed you see, lame, boring.

(Actually they're up 372k and rate is up 0.2ppt!)

(Yes, sampling error, confidence intervals, I get it, but still)
December 3, 2024 at 3:12 PM
The bond market loves Bessent:
November 25, 2024 at 6:08 PM
The search for a Treasury secretary so far, as best as I understand it:
November 20, 2024 at 1:51 PM
A+ data viz right here, I'll tell you what.

www.axios.com/2024/11/19/b...
November 19, 2024 at 9:37 PM
I mean, not ONLY only.
November 15, 2024 at 1:14 AM
I thought the most interesting bit of potential Treasury secretary Scott Bessent's op/ed in the WSJ yesterday was on looking to lengthen the term structure of Treasury debt. He's a believer that the Biden folks have been shortening it as shadow monetary easing.
November 12, 2024 at 6:40 PM