Nathan Attrill
@nathanattrill.bsky.social
Senior Analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute | Editor of ASPI’s ‘State of the Strait’ - https://stateofthestrait.substack.com
🚨 NEW: The latest 'State of the Strait' Weekly Digest is now live: Failed recalls deepen Taiwan’s political gridlock. Plus: German mayor apologises after city suggests Taiwan's flag be removed. stateofthestrait.substack.com/p/failed-rec...
July 28, 2025 at 11:44 PM
🚨 NEW: The latest 'State of the Strait' Weekly Digest is now live: Failed recalls deepen Taiwan’s political gridlock. Plus: German mayor apologises after city suggests Taiwan's flag be removed. stateofthestrait.substack.com/p/failed-rec...
The Taiwan scenarios 4: The catastrophe. The world must convince China that the road to Taipei is lined with peril, not prizes. If Beijing acts, it faces the wrecking of its global standing. Preventing conflict is not Taiwan’s burden alone. www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-taiwan-s...
July 24, 2025 at 6:21 AM
The Taiwan scenarios 4: The catastrophe. The world must convince China that the road to Taipei is lined with peril, not prizes. If Beijing acts, it faces the wrecking of its global standing. Preventing conflict is not Taiwan’s burden alone. www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-taiwan-s...
The Taiwan scenarios 3: Day zero. Taiwan would not just collapse, capitulate or hand itself over. While it has been outpaced by the scale of China’s military developments, it is more capable than many assume. www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-taiwan-s...
July 23, 2025 at 6:09 AM
The Taiwan scenarios 3: Day zero. Taiwan would not just collapse, capitulate or hand itself over. While it has been outpaced by the scale of China’s military developments, it is more capable than many assume. www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-taiwan-s...
The Taiwan scenarios 2: Warning signs. At first, it may not be easy to see what’s afoot. The difference between China’s routine coercion of Taiwan and early signs of serious escalation to take control of the island may not be clear. www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-taiwan-s...
July 22, 2025 at 5:35 AM
The Taiwan scenarios 2: Warning signs. At first, it may not be easy to see what’s afoot. The difference between China’s routine coercion of Taiwan and early signs of serious escalation to take control of the island may not be clear. www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-taiwan-s...
Greg is missing out the sentence Allan Behm, seasoned analyst, said before that:
July 21, 2025 at 10:13 PM
Greg is missing out the sentence Allan Behm, seasoned analyst, said before that:
🚨 NEW: The latest 'State of the Strait' Weekly Digest is now live: Lai to visit Paraguay via U.S. next month. Plus: Beijing vows punishment over Taiwan’s tightened residency rules for mainland spouses. stateofthestrait.substack.com/p/lai-to-vis...
July 21, 2025 at 10:09 PM
🚨 NEW: The latest 'State of the Strait' Weekly Digest is now live: Lai to visit Paraguay via U.S. next month. Plus: Beijing vows punishment over Taiwan’s tightened residency rules for mainland spouses. stateofthestrait.substack.com/p/lai-to-vis...
The Taiwan Scenarios 1: Subversion, Quarantine, Blockade, Invasion. ASPI has wargamed President Xi Jinping’s options for subjugating Taiwan. We tried four scenarios, the details of which will be presented in this and three more daily articles this week. www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-taiwan-s...
July 21, 2025 at 5:33 AM
The Taiwan Scenarios 1: Subversion, Quarantine, Blockade, Invasion. ASPI has wargamed President Xi Jinping’s options for subjugating Taiwan. We tried four scenarios, the details of which will be presented in this and three more daily articles this week. www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-taiwan-s...
🚨 NEW: The latest 'State of the Strait' Weekly Digest is now live: Allies resist US push for Taiwan war commitments. Plus: China bans dual-use exports to eight Taiwan defense entities. stateofthestrait.substack.com/p/allies-res...
July 14, 2025 at 11:03 PM
🚨 NEW: The latest 'State of the Strait' Weekly Digest is now live: Allies resist US push for Taiwan war commitments. Plus: China bans dual-use exports to eight Taiwan defense entities. stateofthestrait.substack.com/p/allies-res...
While China has long threatened economic punishment to deter what it sees as separatist behaviour, the past several years have shown a clear pattern: big carrots, but small sticks. www.aspistrategist.org.au/beijings-eco...
June 25, 2025 at 5:48 AM
While China has long threatened economic punishment to deter what it sees as separatist behaviour, the past several years have shown a clear pattern: big carrots, but small sticks. www.aspistrategist.org.au/beijings-eco...
Since 2016, Taiwan has lost the recognition of 10 countries to China; just 12 remain. The question is not whether that number will fall again, but which will be next. www.aspistrategist.org.au/taiwan-has-1...
June 12, 2025 at 4:56 AM
Since 2016, Taiwan has lost the recognition of 10 countries to China; just 12 remain. The question is not whether that number will fall again, but which will be next. www.aspistrategist.org.au/taiwan-has-1...
Pretty embarrassing that two former NZ Prime Minister and a former ambassador to China can't even articulate New Zealand's One China policy correctly.
June 5, 2025 at 10:40 PM
Pretty embarrassing that two former NZ Prime Minister and a former ambassador to China can't even articulate New Zealand's One China policy correctly.
🇦🇺 Chinese state media has accused opposition leader Peter Dutton of “beating ‘the drums of war’ against China” and praised PM Anthony Albanese for speaking the “truth”, as Beijing said it maintains a position of “noninterference” in elections. www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/chine...
April 2, 2025 at 6:04 AM
🇦🇺 Chinese state media has accused opposition leader Peter Dutton of “beating ‘the drums of war’ against China” and praised PM Anthony Albanese for speaking the “truth”, as Beijing said it maintains a position of “noninterference” in elections. www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/chine...
🚨 NEW: Each week ASPI's ‘State of the Strait’ newsletter tracks Beijing’s pressure campaign against Taiwan, including military, economic, and diplomatic coercion, interference and espionage, information warfare, cyberwarfare, and lawfare.
Subscribe here: stateofthestrait.substack.com
Subscribe here: stateofthestrait.substack.com
March 28, 2025 at 5:46 AM
🚨 NEW: Each week ASPI's ‘State of the Strait’ newsletter tracks Beijing’s pressure campaign against Taiwan, including military, economic, and diplomatic coercion, interference and espionage, information warfare, cyberwarfare, and lawfare.
Subscribe here: stateofthestrait.substack.com
Subscribe here: stateofthestrait.substack.com
🚨 New research from the @aspi-org.bsky.social reveals a range of nations are increasingly willing to challenge China’s excessive claims in the South China Sea. www.pressurepoints.aspi.org.au
March 26, 2025 at 9:41 PM
🚨 New research from the @aspi-org.bsky.social reveals a range of nations are increasingly willing to challenge China’s excessive claims in the South China Sea. www.pressurepoints.aspi.org.au
It also publishes a reporting email address, jubao@suremail.cn, providing a platform for those who have been oppressed or persecuted, or those who have relevant information, to seek help.
March 26, 2025 at 3:59 AM
It also publishes a reporting email address, jubao@suremail.cn, providing a platform for those who have been oppressed or persecuted, or those who have relevant information, to seek help.
Very normal state behaviour: The Taiwan Affairs Office of China's State Council launched a column for reporting the malicious acts of "Taiwan independence" henchmen and accomplices persecuting Taiwan compatriots. www.globaltimes.cn/page/202503/...
March 26, 2025 at 3:59 AM
Very normal state behaviour: The Taiwan Affairs Office of China's State Council launched a column for reporting the malicious acts of "Taiwan independence" henchmen and accomplices persecuting Taiwan compatriots. www.globaltimes.cn/page/202503/...
😂 People’s Daily: “…ASPI has always been more interested in manipulating politics and inciting color revolutions.”
Rest assured, comrades: our ‘colour revolution inciting project’ has not been paused!
en.people.cn/n3/2025/0310...
Rest assured, comrades: our ‘colour revolution inciting project’ has not been paused!
en.people.cn/n3/2025/0310...
March 11, 2025 at 9:03 AM
😂 People’s Daily: “…ASPI has always been more interested in manipulating politics and inciting color revolutions.”
Rest assured, comrades: our ‘colour revolution inciting project’ has not been paused!
en.people.cn/n3/2025/0310...
Rest assured, comrades: our ‘colour revolution inciting project’ has not been paused!
en.people.cn/n3/2025/0310...
🛠️ A submarine cable connecting Taiwan's main island and its outlying Matsu islands that disconnected in January has been fully repaired, according to the telecom provider which operates the cable. focustaiwan.tw/sci-tech/202...
March 3, 2025 at 3:46 AM
🛠️ A submarine cable connecting Taiwan's main island and its outlying Matsu islands that disconnected in January has been fully repaired, according to the telecom provider which operates the cable. focustaiwan.tw/sci-tech/202...
🏛️ The British Museum removed the term “Xizang” from its labeling of Tibetan artifacts after rights groups and Tibetans living in the United Kingdom criticised the use of the Beijing-promoted place name. www.rfa.org/english/tibe...
February 28, 2025 at 11:42 AM
🏛️ The British Museum removed the term “Xizang” from its labeling of Tibetan artifacts after rights groups and Tibetans living in the United Kingdom criticised the use of the Beijing-promoted place name. www.rfa.org/english/tibe...
I mean, it’s not without precedent…
February 26, 2025 at 2:38 AM
I mean, it’s not without precedent…
🤥 Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has been accused of misleading the public by arguing a Chinese naval task group gave “notice” of a live fire drill off Australia’s east coast when it provided no advance warning of the exercise. www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/defen...
February 26, 2025 at 1:21 AM
🤥 Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has been accused of misleading the public by arguing a Chinese naval task group gave “notice” of a live fire drill off Australia’s east coast when it provided no advance warning of the exercise. www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/defen...
Beijing’s response:
February 22, 2025 at 10:57 AM
Beijing’s response:
A day after China warned its three military ships would be live weapons testing between New Zealand and Australia, the Cook Islands has today released a controversial agreement indicating Beijing has secured a maritime presence there. www.1news.co.nz/2025/02/22/c...
February 22, 2025 at 2:36 AM
A day after China warned its three military ships would be live weapons testing between New Zealand and Australia, the Cook Islands has today released a controversial agreement indicating Beijing has secured a maritime presence there. www.1news.co.nz/2025/02/22/c...
