Murad Nasibov
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nasibovmurad.bsky.social
Murad Nasibov
@nasibovmurad.bsky.social
16 followers 37 following 49 posts
Secondary states | Signalling | Regionalism |Eurasian geopolitics
PhD @JLU Giessen (2024)
MA @ University of Manchester (2011)
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nasibovmurad.bsky.social
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Are Citations Driven by Breadth or Depth? Evidence from German Professors of International Politics, 2010–2025
Why do some scholars accumulate attention steadily over time while others experience brief surges in visibility that fail to compound? Existing discussions often point to productivity, interdisciplina...
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February 6, 2026 at 11:23 AM
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Board of Peace: US Aligning with Critical Regional Actors to Preserve Its Hegemony
For decades, US power rested on the international institutions it had built, just as much as these institutions relied on US hegemony. It was an uneasy but functional compromise.
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January 31, 2026 at 8:46 PM
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Three Foundational Shifts in the 2026 US National Defense Strategy
The newly released US National Defense Strategy (NDS) can be read as a catalogue of threats, priorities, and military initiatives. However, when read more carefully, it alters three fundamental princi...
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January 31, 2026 at 8:45 PM
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How the Iranian Regime Can Survive This Wave of Protests
The persistence of a large-scale protest wave in Iran - one that the Islamic regime has never faced before - has once again revived expectations of the regime's collapse. These expectations can be mor...
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January 18, 2026 at 5:30 PM
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Is a Non-Hegemonic Stability Emerging?
Much of today’s debate about international order is shaped by a sense of loss: the decline of U.S.
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January 18, 2026 at 5:29 PM
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Europe-Central Eurasia: A Trans-Regional Convergence in Response to Russia and US-China Rivalry.
The End of Europe's Strategic Comfort Zone For much of the post–Cold War period, Europe approached its eastern surroundings through a hierarchical and Europe-centric lens. The South Caucasus and Centr...
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January 18, 2026 at 5:29 PM
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Regime Change and the Question of Azerbaijanis in Iran
Venezuelan President Maduro’s capture in an overnight US operation, followed by the mass protests in Iran, has triggered questions about a possible regime-change scenario in the latter. Accordingly, a...
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January 18, 2026 at 5:28 PM
Reposted by Murad Nasibov
laenderanalysen.bsky.social
Der "Mittelkorridor ... ermöglicht es Europa ... & dem Südkaukasus sowie Zentralasien ..., durch die Kooperation mit der jeweils anderen Region einen übermäßigen Einfluss der 🇺🇸 bzw. Chinas auszubalancieren." - @nasibovmurad.bsky.social.
👉 laender-analysen.de/zentralasien...
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December 16, 2025 at 10:36 AM
nasibovmurad.bsky.social
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The Ukraine Deal: Implications for Central Eurasia
The geopolitical ripple effects of a “sphere of security” in Ukraine — from the Black Sea to the Caspian.
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December 14, 2025 at 3:37 PM
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Europe's Missing Leader & Long-Term Strategic Vision
Why does it matter today?
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December 14, 2025 at 3:36 PM
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Beyond Major Powers: Why Secondary States Matter More Now for the International System
How they are silently transforming the international system
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December 14, 2025 at 3:35 PM
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Redefining Central Asia's Boundaries
Historical Background The story of regionalism in Central Asia has seen ups and downs since the early years of their independence. The first format that emerged in 1992 was called Central Asian Union ...
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November 17, 2025 at 1:30 PM
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A Counterfactual Look at Georgia’s Autocratic Shift: What policy implications for the EU and domestic actors?
A counterfactual look is, at its core, about asking “what if.” It is not merely an intellectual exercise but a mode of inquiry that helps disentangle the factors contributing to a given outcome.
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October 21, 2025 at 4:04 PM
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Would Russia’s Full-Scale Attack on Ukraine Have Occurred Without the Belarus Protests of 2020-2021?
In the previous series, I focused on the case of Georgia, more precisely, its autocratic shift. In that piece, using the counterfactual approach, though more casually, I sought to answer the question ...
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October 21, 2025 at 4:04 PM
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Beyond Provocation: Airspace Violations as Nerve Signaling in Russia’s Psychological War
In recent months, with its drones and jets, Russia has repeatedly violated the airspace of European states, including those of the EU and NATO member-states.
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October 12, 2025 at 10:13 PM
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Caught Between Deterrence Credibility and Escalation Risk
How Russia Plays Europe's Strategy
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October 12, 2025 at 10:12 PM
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What drives Turkic regionalism in Eurasia?
Why the Pursuit of Autonomy — Not Economics — Fuels Turkic Regionalism
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October 12, 2025 at 10:12 PM
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Why did the OSCE Minsk Group on Nagorno-Karabakh fail? And, a personal reflection on the Track II dialogue of the past years.
Following the outbreak of the war between Armenia and Azerbaijan in 1992, the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) established the so-called Minsk Group, initially a forum of ele...
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September 21, 2025 at 1:02 PM
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The Liberal International Order: Between Illusion, Imposition, and Aspiration
Power, Promise, and Pretence
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May 11, 2025 at 3:58 PM
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The Liberal International Order: Between Illusion, Imposition, and Aspiration
The liberal international order, that grand architecture of norms, institutions, and alliances forged in the aftermath of the Cold War, stands today at a crossroads. It is poised delicately between il...
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May 10, 2025 at 5:08 AM
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May 7, 2025 at 5:32 PM
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What Russia’s Generational Legacy Reveals About Its Path to 2045
How three generations shaped by collapse, control, and conflict will influence Russia’s political trajectory over the next two decades
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May 6, 2025 at 9:43 PM
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Recalibration Ahead: The Global South and the Emergence of a Thin Liberal International Order
In the coming years, the Global South (GS) may need to reassess the distanced or cautiously sympathetic stance it developed during the early phases of the war in Ukraine. This posture was not merely a...
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May 6, 2025 at 9:42 PM
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What Russia’s Generational Legacy Reveals About Its Path to 2045
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What Russia’s Generational Legacy Reveals About Its Path to 2045
Over the next two decades, Russia’s political system is likely to remain authoritarian and centralised, shaped by the experiences and expectations of three generational cohorts: those born in the 1950...
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April 30, 2025 at 11:18 AM
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Baku’s Diplomatic Spring
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Baku’s Diplomatic Spring
In the span of just a few days, Baku has found itself at the centre of an intense flurry of diplomatic activity. This surge of high-level visits signals how Azerbaijan is punching well above its tradi...
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April 28, 2025 at 5:32 PM