Nick Geiser
nageiser.bsky.social
Nick Geiser
@nageiser.bsky.social
(ex?) political philosopher. Data scientist. Jaynes-pilled.
Iran signaled their missile attack on Qatar strikes in advance, which suggests they are face-saving and Iran wants deescalation. Markets seem to interpret it this way as well:
June 23, 2025 at 6:37 PM
DTLA today:
June 14, 2025 at 8:13 PM
Wild how little has changed from antiliberalism in the 80s (Unger, MacIntyre, Lasch) to the 2010s (Deneen)
June 3, 2025 at 4:27 AM
“Martha Stewart still looks amazing”
May 10, 2025 at 5:07 PM
And it still couldn’t create an image where the clock hands indicate 6:40!
January 5, 2025 at 9:49 PM
I asked it to list the numbers that are in the top and bottom half of a standard analog clock, and it did realize that it had made a mistake. However, it still couldn’t actually analyze the position of the hands in the image:
January 5, 2025 at 9:49 PM
Next, it made a really interesting mistake—it claimed that the hands couldn’t both be in the bottom half of the clock face:
January 5, 2025 at 9:49 PM
I next tried to get ChatGPT to tell me what the position of the hands on each of the three clocks are (it couldn’t):
January 5, 2025 at 9:49 PM
I tried clarifying the question, to no avail:
January 5, 2025 at 9:49 PM
Apparently if you ask ChatGPT to create an image of an analog clock showing a time (e.g. 6:40) it is incapable of presenting the hands in the correct position:
January 5, 2025 at 9:49 PM
Even Rousseau (no fan of medicine and a “wellness” booster) admits this:
December 31, 2024 at 12:05 AM
Beautiful morning in Palm Springs:
December 14, 2024 at 5:42 PM
The Brouwer fixed-point theorem implies that for any polling forecast, there is some forecasted outcome that will be confirmed by actual voters--even if voters take the forecast into account:
November 18, 2024 at 7:10 PM
Imagine a disclaimer like this for any other Nobel prize announcement:

"We're not totally sure if this thing is the Higgs boson, but the LHC is cool and the result is strongly suggestive."
October 15, 2024 at 4:59 PM
Apropos of the Grant's Pass decision, here's Jeremy Waldron on turning basic human necessities like sleeping into crimes:
June 28, 2024 at 11:21 PM
He... he literally said the Anatole France line.

"The law in its majestic equality prohibits the backpacking influencer and the homeless alike from sleeping in the park."
June 28, 2024 at 10:44 PM
A very simple Intro IR argument: countries negotiate when the costs of fighting are greater than the alternatives. If a cease-fire raises the costs of fighting, a negotiated settlement is more likely. So the US should push for a cease-fire.
October 25, 2023 at 4:51 PM
Hamas is not popular in Gaza.

www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analy...
October 12, 2023 at 1:07 AM
One idea from IPE that ordinary ppl should appreciate more is that issuing a reserve currency has large costs since you have to absorb capital inflows/protect int'l owners of capital at the expense of the domestic economy:
September 12, 2023 at 3:31 PM