Matthew Savill
@mtsavill.bsky.social
Director of Military Sciences at the Royal United Services Institute; recovering former civil servant; all views expressed here are my own.
And again, this may all be speculation, given how equivocal Trump was this week.
October 8, 2025 at 9:00 AM
And again, this may all be speculation, given how equivocal Trump was this week.
So while there will be valuable military targets for US cruise missiles, I can't help but feel we are talking about a narrow set of high-value targets representing critical points in the supply chain, or particular niche capabilities, rather than seeking an impact across the war.
October 8, 2025 at 9:00 AM
So while there will be valuable military targets for US cruise missiles, I can't help but feel we are talking about a narrow set of high-value targets representing critical points in the supply chain, or particular niche capabilities, rather than seeking an impact across the war.
This is different from the impact the current deep strike campaign is having on Russian energy production, where the increasing volume and rate of Ukrainian attacks is beginning to bite.
October 8, 2025 at 9:00 AM
This is different from the impact the current deep strike campaign is having on Russian energy production, where the increasing volume and rate of Ukrainian attacks is beginning to bite.
It's a bit dated, but I wrote about this last year, after the Ukrainians discovered in 2023 how hard it was to synchronise the two. www.rusi.org/explore-our-...
Removing Constraints on Support to Ukraine: No Silver Bullets
Removing restrictions on the use of weapons supplied to Ukraine by international partners will help Ukraine’s defence against Russia, particularly in the north, but it is not a war-winning move on its...
www.rusi.org
October 8, 2025 at 9:00 AM
It's a bit dated, but I wrote about this last year, after the Ukrainians discovered in 2023 how hard it was to synchronise the two. www.rusi.org/explore-our-...
That sort of impact also requires pressure at the front to put stress on Russian forces, which creates the demand for logistics support and ammunition which is simultaneously being attacked and interdicted. That pressure is largely absent for now.
October 8, 2025 at 9:00 AM
That sort of impact also requires pressure at the front to put stress on Russian forces, which creates the demand for logistics support and ammunition which is simultaneously being attacked and interdicted. That pressure is largely absent for now.