Mubashir Sultan
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msultan.bsky.social
Mubashir Sultan
@msultan.bsky.social
PhD researcher at the Max Planck Institute (ARC) studying misinformation, decision-making, and social media.
Very happy to share that our work is now published in PNAS! 🎉 It's a systematic look into how demographic and psychological factors are associated with misinformation susceptibility. @arc-mpib.bsky.social

Thread below and can be read in full here: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
November 15, 2024 at 12:29 PM
Here is an overview of the results. On top we have discrimination ability. For example, older adults have higher discrimination ability. On the bottom we have response bias, older adults have a false news bias, they tend to be more cautious. 14/n
May 6, 2024 at 3:04 PM
We also looked at some further meta-questions. Experiments on MTurk have better discrimination ability than on Lucid. And headlines displayed with a source lead to better discrimination ability. 13/n
May 6, 2024 at 3:04 PM
Our biggest effect is familiarity. If you’ve seen a news headline before, you’re much more likely to treat it as true. 12/n
May 6, 2024 at 3:04 PM
Partisan bias, aka ideological congruency, is a very reliable effect. People treat ingroup news to be true more often and disregard outgroup news as false more often. This again is worrying. The effect holds across partisan lines and is ready for interventions. 11/n
May 6, 2024 at 3:04 PM
We find that analytical thinking (CRT) is reliably associated with higher discrimination ability and a false news bias (caution). It’s not yet fully clear what the CRT is measuring, unlocking this would help to build better interventions. 10/n
May 6, 2024 at 3:03 PM
Confirming a worrying trend in other studies, we find that Democrats show a higher discrimination ability than Republicans, and a false-news bias (caution). Seen in light of polarisation, this hints towards Democrats and Republicans inhabiting different perceptions of truth. 9/n
May 6, 2024 at 3:03 PM
A null effect of education on discrimination ability. Higher education is also linked with treating news as true more often, a kind of naivety (a small effect). Resonates with research suggesting current educational practices need to better equip people for the digital world. 8/n
May 6, 2024 at 3:03 PM
Older adults have a higher discrimination ability than younger adults and also a false news bias (they are more cautious). This is quite interesting, especially as older adults are known to share the most misinformation. (Note: each line is a study, split by true and false). 7/n
May 6, 2024 at 3:02 PM
Here are the results at a glance: For discrimination ability, values greater than 0 indicate higher ability to discern between true and false news. For response bias, values greater than zero suggest a true-news bias, while values less than zero indicate a false-news bias. 6/n
May 6, 2024 at 3:02 PM
In our individual participant data meta-analysis, we pooled together 256,337 unique choices made by 11,561 participants across 31 experiments. This extensive dataset helped us assess how key demographic and psychological factors impact misinformation veracity judgements. 4/n
May 6, 2024 at 3:01 PM
Research has often used the now-established news headline paradigm, where people are asked whether they believe a news headline to be true or false. Luckily, this presents us with a unique opportunity for some meta science. 😎 3/n
May 6, 2024 at 3:01 PM
As we know, misinformation can have negative outcomes. And despite lots of research into it, it’s still unclear why people fall for it. 2/n
May 6, 2024 at 3:00 PM
Who falls for online misinformation? A meta-analysis on demographic and psychological factors impacting misinformation susceptibility.
Preprint: osf.io/preprints/ps...
My lovely coauthors: @alantump.bsky.social Nina Ehmann, @lorenzspreen.bsky.social, Ralph Hertwig, Anton Gollwitzer, @RalfKurvers 1/n
May 6, 2024 at 2:59 PM