HTS's advances this week appear as the most serious challenge the Assad regime in 13 years. Watching for key defections. We anticipated them in 2011 and 2012 but never materialized. IMO it would mark a significant shift, helping confirm the regime's foundation is truly crumbling.

Indeed - this was evident at the start of the conflict, but surprising how reliant they still are on outside support.

So wonderful to see you @raniaab.bsky.social here! Your analysis and thoughts are critical here.