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Montrey
@montrey.bsky.social
German | Разом до перемоги! | We must act today in order to preserve tomorrow.
05.07.2020: Igor Girkin (colonel of the FSB) describes that the main task of the Russian special forces in April 2014 was to hold out until the referendum, because then the Russian army would intervene, which was already disguised as peacekeepers at the border.
September 21, 2025 at 8:47 AM
27.03.2019 Ilya Yuryevich Khokhlov (Russian militia): We had expected that 20 % of the local male population would join the militia to fight against the Ukrainian army. In the end, it was only half a percent. And who were they? Homeless people, drunks, unemployed people.
September 16, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Moscow's main goal remains to finally destroy the USA from within.
June 10, 2025 at 11:53 AM
1994: Ukraine signs the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. In return, the USA, Russia and the UK guarantee Ukraine that they will neither attack it militarily nor put it under pressure with coercive economic measures.
April 25, 2025 at 8:53 AM
10.07.2014: Igor Girkin, colonel of the Russian FSB and first defense minister of the Donetsk People's Republic, confirms that the Russian special forces were sent to eastern Ukraine to start an open rebellion against the Ukrainian state as they did in Crimea.
March 25, 2025 at 8:50 AM
2020: Igor Girkin, colonel of the Russian FSB, confirms in retrospect that the core of the so-called separatists in eastern Ukraine in 2014 were Russian special forces.
February 28, 2025 at 9:29 PM
May 18, 2014: Igor Girkin, colonel of the Russian FSB and first "defense minister" of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People's Republic, complains that not even 1,000 Ukrainians can be found in the entire region who are willing to fight for Russia.
February 12, 2025 at 7:51 AM
25/ A Taiwan war could cost the German economy €1.5B daily, far exceeding Ukraine war costs. This estimate includes trade losses, rising energy prices, production shortfalls, and investments in new supply chains and technologies. The economic blow would dwarf Germany's current financial challenges.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
23/ Germany would need to boost its military or financially support key allies like the USA in a war. Refusing aid risks losing the US as a trading partner, devastating Germany's economy. Long-standing NATO underfunding, criticized by Trump, further highlights Germany's vulnerability.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
22/ Germany must reduce reliance on China and Taiwan through reshoring, costing billions. In 2023, 40% of German firms planned moves back to Europe. A war would disrupt global innovation, especially in semiconductors, causing lasting disadvantages for Germany's economy.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
21/ German companies' direct investments in China totaled ~€70B in 2023. Losing these would severely impact Germany's economy. China could, like Russia, threaten expropriation of German firms to deter active involvement or clear alignment in a potential conflict.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
20/ A war over Taiwan will destabilize the energy markets, especially if trade routes are blocked. This would further increase the already high energy costs, e.g. electricity costs in Germany. Experts estimate that oil and gas prices could rise by 30-50% in such a scenario.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
19/ China controls major global container capacities and has stakes in European ports like Hamburg. Disruptions risk logistical bottlenecks. Example: Deutsche Post DHL relies heavily on China for handling goods, as it's a key hub in DHL's global logistics network for German and global trade.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
18/ Germany relies heavily on China for consumer goods like toys, electronics, and furniture. Disruptions could cause supply gaps. Example: Retailers like Aldi, Lidl, EDEKA, and Rewe source much of their non-food items from China. IKEA also manufactures many household goods there.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
17/ Germany's textile industry depends heavily on China for raw materials and finished products. Decoupling could lead to price hikes and bottlenecks. Example: Adidas relies on China as both a key production hub and a significant sales market.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
16/ German mechanical engineering relies on Chinese components like motors and controls. Supply disruptions could delay production and raise costs. Siemens earns ~13% of revenue in China, with key partnerships in automation and energy. Kuka, now Chinese-owned, is deeply tied to China's market.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
15/ China is key for electronics, producing components like semiconductors, with some from Taiwan. Disruptions could heavily impact Germany's electronics industry. Example: Infineon, a top chipmaker, earns ~25% of its revenue in China, driven by demand for chips in smartphones, cars, and industry.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
14/ China dominates the battery supply chain, controlling raw materials like lithium, cobalt, nickel, and is the largest lithium-ion battery producer. German carmakers heavily depend on Chinese production. Examples: VARTA (EV batteries) and BASF (battery materials) face cost risks from shortages.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
13/ Over 80% of solar modules globally are made in China, leaving Germany's solar industry highly dependent. Once a pioneer, German firms were ousted by cheaper, state-subsidized Chinese competition. Renewables expansion relies on Chinese imports, impacting firms like EnBW, RWE, and SMEs.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
12/ Rare earths are vital for high-tech products like EVs, wind turbines, and semiconductors. China supplies over 90% of processed rare earths globally. A shortage would hinder German industries. Example: Neodymium in EV motors for VW, BMW, Mercedes scarcity raises costs and complicates production.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
11/ The chemical industry relies on China as a key production and sales market. BASF generates 14% of its sales in China, investing €10B in a Zhanjiang complex by 2030. Covestro also depends heavily on China, with significant turnover and multiple production facilities in the region.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
10/ The German auto industry relies heavily on China, the largest car market. In 2023, VW made €38.5B (32.5% of sales) in China, with key partnerships like SAIC and FAW. BMW and Mercedes-Benz also depend on China, where around a third of their global sales are generated, with local joint ventures.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
9/ Generics use the same active substances as branded drugs but are cheaper. Many active ingredients for generics in Germany come from China. Supply issues there could deplete stocks in a month, causing medicine shortages. Treatable diseases like bacterial infections could lead to rising deaths.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
8/ In 2023, Germany exported €107B to China (cars, machinery, chemicals) and imported €150B (electronics, machine components, chemicals, raw materials). Germany's heavy reliance on China in key sectors raises risks, with severe consequences for industries if supply chains are disrupted.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM
7/ In 2023, the Netherlands was the largest importer of Chinese goods with 117 billion euros, while Germany was the second largest with 95 billion euros.
December 15, 2024 at 4:09 PM