MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter
banner
mlb-simulator.bsky.social
MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter
@mlb-simulator.bsky.social
Using expected outcomes to simulate previous MLB games.
Code can be found in GitHub (https://github.com/dgrifka/baseball_game_simulator).
Created by @derekgrifka.bsky.social
🚨 Dodgers are luck merchants! 🚨

⚾ Dodgers @ Blue Jays
🏟️ 11/01/2025

Final Score:
Dodgers 5 - 4 Blue Jays

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Dodgers 36% - 54% Blue Jays (Tie 10%)

#MLB #Statcast #Dodgers #BlueJays
#LetsGoDodgers #LightsUpLetsGo
November 2, 2025 at 4:27 AM
🚨 Dodgers are luck merchants! 🚨

⚾ Dodgers @ Blue Jays
🏟️ 10/31/2025

Final Score:
Dodgers 3 - 1 Blue Jays

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Dodgers 24% - 58% Blue Jays (Tie 18%)

#MLB #Statcast #Dodgers #BlueJays
#LetsGoDodgers #LightsUpLetsGo
November 1, 2025 at 2:51 PM
⚾️ Playoff Update (10/30)

1) World Series probabilities based on series record, team strength, and remaining home/away games

2) Team Strength Rankings

#Postseason
October 30, 2025 at 1:05 PM
⚾ Blue Jays @ Dodgers
🏟️ 10/29/2025

Final Score:
Blue Jays 6 - 1 Dodgers

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Blue Jays 70% - 15% Dodgers (Tie 15%)

#MLB #Statcast #BlueJays #Dodgers
#LightsUpLetsGo #LetsGoDodgers
October 30, 2025 at 3:23 AM
⚾️ Playoff Update (10/29)

1) World Series probabilities based on series record, team strength, and remaining home/away games

2) Team Strength Rankings

#Postseason
October 29, 2025 at 1:07 PM
⚾ Blue Jays @ Dodgers
🏟️ 10/28/2025

Final Score:
Blue Jays 6 - 2 Dodgers

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Blue Jays 40% - 46% Dodgers (Tie 14%)

#MLB #Statcast #BlueJays #Dodgers
#LightsUpLetsGo #LetsGoDodgers
October 29, 2025 at 3:12 AM
⚾️ Playoff Update (10/28)

1) World Series probabilities based on series record, team strength, and remaining home/away games

2) Team Strength Rankings

#Postseason
October 28, 2025 at 12:55 PM
⚾ Blue Jays @ Dodgers
🏟️ 10/27/2025

Final Score:
Blue Jays 5 - 6 Dodgers

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Blue Jays 10% - 85% Dodgers (Tie 5%)

#MLB #Statcast #BlueJays #Dodgers
#LightsUpLetsGo #LetsGoDodgers
October 28, 2025 at 9:57 AM
⚾️ Playoff Update (10/27)

1) World Series probabilities based on series record, team strength, and remaining home/away games

2) Team Strength Rankings

#Postseason
October 27, 2025 at 1:37 PM
⚾ Dodgers @ Blue Jays
🏟️ 10/25/2025

Final Score:
Dodgers 5 - 1 Blue Jays

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Dodgers 57% - 28% Blue Jays (Tie 16%)

#MLB #Statcast #Dodgers #BlueJays
#LetsGoDodgers #LightsUpLetsGo
October 26, 2025 at 2:55 AM
⚾ Batted Ball Analysis from 10/24/2025

1️⃣ Most Expected Bases
2️⃣ Least Expected Bases
3️⃣ Luckiest Hits
4️⃣ Unluckiest Outs

#MLB #Baseball #Statcast
October 25, 2025 at 1:57 PM
⚾ Dodgers @ Blue Jays
🏟️ 10/24/2025

Final Score:
Dodgers 4 - 11 Blue Jays

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Dodgers 3% - 94% Blue Jays (Tie 3%)

#MLB #Statcast #Dodgers #BlueJays
#LetsGoDodgers #LightsUpLetsGo
October 25, 2025 at 3:35 AM
⚾️ Playoff Update (10/24)

1) World Series probabilities based on series record, team strength, and remaining home/away games

2) Team Strength Rankings

#Postseason
October 24, 2025 at 2:09 PM
⚾ Mariners @ Blue Jays
🏟️ 10/20/2025

Final Score:
Mariners 3 - 4 Blue Jays

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Mariners 28% - 59% Blue Jays (Tie 13%)

#MLB #Statcast #Mariners #BlueJays
#TridentsUp #LightsUpLetsGo
October 21, 2025 at 3:07 AM
⚾ Mariners @ Blue Jays
🏟️ 10/19/2025

Final Score:
Mariners 2 - 6 Blue Jays

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Mariners 10% - 82% Blue Jays (Tie 8%)

#MLB #Statcast #Mariners #BlueJays
#TridentsUp #LightsUpLetsGo
October 20, 2025 at 3:05 AM
⚾ Brewers @ Dodgers
🏟️ 10/17/2025

Final Score:
Brewers 1 - 5 Dodgers

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Brewers 1% - 98% Dodgers (Tie 1%)

#MLB #Statcast #Brewers #Dodgers
#ThisIsMyCrew #LetsGoDodgers
October 18, 2025 at 3:23 AM
⚾ Blue Jays @ Mariners
🏟️ 10/17/2025

Final Score:
Blue Jays 2 - 6 Mariners

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Blue Jays 18% - 72% Mariners (Tie 10%)

#MLB #Statcast #BlueJays #Mariners
#LightsUpLetsGo #TridentsUp
October 18, 2025 at 1:20 AM
⚾️ Daily Playoff Update (10/17)

1) Championship Series probabilities based on series record, team strength, and remaining home/away games

2) Team Strength Rankings

#Postseason
October 17, 2025 at 1:32 PM
⚾ Batted Ball Analysis from 10/16/2025

1️⃣ Most Expected Bases
2️⃣ Least Expected Bases
3️⃣ Luckiest Hits
4️⃣ Unluckiest Outs

#MLB #Baseball #Statcast
October 17, 2025 at 1:25 PM
⚾ Blue Jays @ Mariners
🏟️ 10/16/2025

Final Score:
Blue Jays 8 - 2 Mariners

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Blue Jays 73% - 16% Mariners (Tie 11%)

#MLB #Statcast #BlueJays #Mariners
#LightsUpLetsGo #TridentsUp
October 17, 2025 at 3:35 AM
⚾ Brewers @ Dodgers
🏟️ 10/16/2025

Final Score:
Brewers 1 - 3 Dodgers

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Brewers 27% - 42% Dodgers (Tie 31%)

#MLB #Statcast #Brewers #Dodgers
#ThisIsMyCrew #LetsGoDodgers
October 17, 2025 at 1:18 AM
⚾️ Daily Playoff Update (10/16)

1) Championship Series probabilities based on series record, team strength, and remaining home/away games

2) Team Strength Rankings

#Postseason
October 16, 2025 at 1:19 PM
⚾ Blue Jays @ Mariners
🏟️ 10/15/2025

Final Score:
Blue Jays 13 - 4 Mariners

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Blue Jays 97% - 1% Mariners (Tie 2%)

#MLB #Statcast #BlueJays #Mariners
#LightsUpLetsGo #TridentsUp
October 16, 2025 at 3:10 AM
⚾️ Daily Playoff Update (10/15)

1) Championship Series probabilities based on series record, team strength, and remaining home/away games

2) Team Strength Rankings

#Postseason
October 15, 2025 at 2:02 PM
⚾ Dodgers @ Brewers
🏟️ 10/14/2025

Final Score:
Dodgers 5 - 1 Brewers

📊 Deserve-to-Win:
Dodgers 94% - 3% Brewers (Tie 4%)

#MLB #Statcast #Dodgers #Brewers
#LetsGoDodgers #ThisIsMyCrew
October 15, 2025 at 3:06 AM