Entering Wk 14, LAR was 3rd in rush success rate on 1st down (42.4%)

BUF held LAR to a 29.2% rush success rate on 1st down in Wk 14
(LAR’s 3rd-lowest this season)

Tipping point:
LAR: 81.8% pass success rate on 3rd/4th down in Wk 14
(2nd-highest in a game by any team since 2023)

The Bills have allowed 6.0+ yds/play in 5 games this season

3 of those 5 offenses (LAR, HOU & MIA in week 9) rank top-10 in condensed formation usage this season

LAR: Highest rate
HOU: 3rd-highest
MIA: 6th-highest

BUF plays DET in week 15 (4th-highest in this category)

Must Start Marvin Harrison Jr. at SEA

MHJ: 1 game with 10+ tgts this season

SEA: 4th-highest outside press rate (40.7%)

MHJ: Targeted on 44.1% of pressed routes (Highest among any WR w/ 30+ pressed routes in a season since 2016)

Start CLE WR Cedric Tillman at NO

Since becoming a full time starter in Week 7, Tillman has run 77.4% of his routes out wide (9th-highest in NFL)

Since Week 8, the Saints are bottom-10 in CPOE, Yds/tgt, EPA/tgt and success rate allowed to players lined up on the perimeter