ResilienceIndex
@mironikol.bsky.social
Tracking the world’s pain threshold.
Ex-BlackRock | $300M portfolio | BU MBA | Startup whisperer | Water polo champ.
Making sense of geopolitics, one broken system at a time.
#ResilienceIndex #GeoTheatrics
Ex-BlackRock | $300M portfolio | BU MBA | Startup whisperer | Water polo champ.
Making sense of geopolitics, one broken system at a time.
#ResilienceIndex #GeoTheatrics
CANADA RESILIENCE SCORE
• Economy: 6.2
• Finance: 6.5
• Politics: 6.0
• Strategy: 6.0
• Society: 6.5
→ Avg: 6.2/10
Canada is stable—but not soft.
It doesn’t shout. It doesn’t shake.
Its resilience is quiet—but real.
#ResilienceIndex
(7/7)
• Economy: 6.2
• Finance: 6.5
• Politics: 6.0
• Strategy: 6.0
• Society: 6.5
→ Avg: 6.2/10
Canada is stable—but not soft.
It doesn’t shout. It doesn’t shake.
Its resilience is quiet—but real.
#ResilienceIndex
(7/7)
April 11, 2025 at 3:24 PM
CANADA RESILIENCE SCORE
• Economy: 6.2
• Finance: 6.5
• Politics: 6.0
• Strategy: 6.0
• Society: 6.5
→ Avg: 6.2/10
Canada is stable—but not soft.
It doesn’t shout. It doesn’t shake.
Its resilience is quiet—but real.
#ResilienceIndex
(7/7)
• Economy: 6.2
• Finance: 6.5
• Politics: 6.0
• Strategy: 6.0
• Society: 6.5
→ Avg: 6.2/10
Canada is stable—but not soft.
It doesn’t shout. It doesn’t shake.
Its resilience is quiet—but real.
#ResilienceIndex
(7/7)
SOCIAL COHESION
✔️ Strong public trust
✔️ Multicultural integration model
❌ Cost of living & housing straining youth
✔️ Institutional legitimacy remains high
Score: 6.5/10
(6/)
✔️ Strong public trust
✔️ Multicultural integration model
❌ Cost of living & housing straining youth
✔️ Institutional legitimacy remains high
Score: 6.5/10
(6/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:24 PM
SOCIAL COHESION
✔️ Strong public trust
✔️ Multicultural integration model
❌ Cost of living & housing straining youth
✔️ Institutional legitimacy remains high
Score: 6.5/10
(6/)
✔️ Strong public trust
✔️ Multicultural integration model
❌ Cost of living & housing straining youth
✔️ Institutional legitimacy remains high
Score: 6.5/10
(6/)
STRATEGIC LEVERAGE
✔️ U.S. alliance, NORAD, NATO
✔️ Arctic & natural resource diplomacy
❌ Soft-power reliance, low defense spend
✔️ Global reputation = trust multiplier
Score: 6.0/10
(5/)
✔️ U.S. alliance, NORAD, NATO
✔️ Arctic & natural resource diplomacy
❌ Soft-power reliance, low defense spend
✔️ Global reputation = trust multiplier
Score: 6.0/10
(5/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:24 PM
STRATEGIC LEVERAGE
✔️ U.S. alliance, NORAD, NATO
✔️ Arctic & natural resource diplomacy
❌ Soft-power reliance, low defense spend
✔️ Global reputation = trust multiplier
Score: 6.0/10
(5/)
✔️ U.S. alliance, NORAD, NATO
✔️ Arctic & natural resource diplomacy
❌ Soft-power reliance, low defense spend
✔️ Global reputation = trust multiplier
Score: 6.0/10
(5/)
POLITICAL FUNCTION
✔️ Federalism works
✔️ Elections = credible, boring (good thing)
❌ Identity fractures: Quebec, First Nations
❌ Rising populism from fringe
Stable, but not immune
Score: 6.0/10
(4/)
✔️ Federalism works
✔️ Elections = credible, boring (good thing)
❌ Identity fractures: Quebec, First Nations
❌ Rising populism from fringe
Stable, but not immune
Score: 6.0/10
(4/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:24 PM
POLITICAL FUNCTION
✔️ Federalism works
✔️ Elections = credible, boring (good thing)
❌ Identity fractures: Quebec, First Nations
❌ Rising populism from fringe
Stable, but not immune
Score: 6.0/10
(4/)
✔️ Federalism works
✔️ Elections = credible, boring (good thing)
❌ Identity fractures: Quebec, First Nations
❌ Rising populism from fringe
Stable, but not immune
Score: 6.0/10
(4/)
FINANCIAL STRENGTH
✔️ CAD = stable, respected
✔️ Strong central banking tradition
✔️ Low debt/GDP vs peers
❌ Highly indebted households
✔️ Trusted, well-regulated system
Score: 6.5/10
(3/)
✔️ CAD = stable, respected
✔️ Strong central banking tradition
✔️ Low debt/GDP vs peers
❌ Highly indebted households
✔️ Trusted, well-regulated system
Score: 6.5/10
(3/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:24 PM
FINANCIAL STRENGTH
✔️ CAD = stable, respected
✔️ Strong central banking tradition
✔️ Low debt/GDP vs peers
❌ Highly indebted households
✔️ Trusted, well-regulated system
Score: 6.5/10
(3/)
✔️ CAD = stable, respected
✔️ Strong central banking tradition
✔️ Low debt/GDP vs peers
❌ Highly indebted households
✔️ Trusted, well-regulated system
Score: 6.5/10
(3/)
ECONOMIC RESILIENCE
✔️ $2.2T+ GDP
✔️ Resource + services economy
❌ Heavy U.S. trade dependency
❌ Housing crisis = domestic shock risk
✔️ Skilled immigration drives growth
Score: 6.2/10
(2/)
✔️ $2.2T+ GDP
✔️ Resource + services economy
❌ Heavy U.S. trade dependency
❌ Housing crisis = domestic shock risk
✔️ Skilled immigration drives growth
Score: 6.2/10
(2/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:24 PM
ECONOMIC RESILIENCE
✔️ $2.2T+ GDP
✔️ Resource + services economy
❌ Heavy U.S. trade dependency
❌ Housing crisis = domestic shock risk
✔️ Skilled immigration drives growth
Score: 6.2/10
(2/)
✔️ $2.2T+ GDP
✔️ Resource + services economy
❌ Heavy U.S. trade dependency
❌ Housing crisis = domestic shock risk
✔️ Skilled immigration drives growth
Score: 6.2/10
(2/)
UK RESILIENCE SCORE
• Economy: 5.8
• Finance: 6.2
• Politics: 5.2
• Strategy: 5.8
• Society: 5.5
→ Avg: 5.7/10
The UK’s not collapsing.
It’s drifting.
Resilient enough to survive itself—
but not yet strong enough to lead again.
Next: 🇨🇦 Canada
#ResilienceIndex
(7/7)
• Economy: 5.8
• Finance: 6.2
• Politics: 5.2
• Strategy: 5.8
• Society: 5.5
→ Avg: 5.7/10
The UK’s not collapsing.
It’s drifting.
Resilient enough to survive itself—
but not yet strong enough to lead again.
Next: 🇨🇦 Canada
#ResilienceIndex
(7/7)
April 11, 2025 at 3:21 PM
UK RESILIENCE SCORE
• Economy: 5.8
• Finance: 6.2
• Politics: 5.2
• Strategy: 5.8
• Society: 5.5
→ Avg: 5.7/10
The UK’s not collapsing.
It’s drifting.
Resilient enough to survive itself—
but not yet strong enough to lead again.
Next: 🇨🇦 Canada
#ResilienceIndex
(7/7)
• Economy: 5.8
• Finance: 6.2
• Politics: 5.2
• Strategy: 5.8
• Society: 5.5
→ Avg: 5.7/10
The UK’s not collapsing.
It’s drifting.
Resilient enough to survive itself—
but not yet strong enough to lead again.
Next: 🇨🇦 Canada
#ResilienceIndex
(7/7)
SOCIAL COHESION
❌ Inequality, NHS strain, youth disillusion
❌ Brexit = cultural fracture
✔️ Civil society still strong
✔️ Resilient national mythos (WWII, monarchy)
Unity shaken, but not lost
Score: 5.5/10
(6/)
❌ Inequality, NHS strain, youth disillusion
❌ Brexit = cultural fracture
✔️ Civil society still strong
✔️ Resilient national mythos (WWII, monarchy)
Unity shaken, but not lost
Score: 5.5/10
(6/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:21 PM
SOCIAL COHESION
❌ Inequality, NHS strain, youth disillusion
❌ Brexit = cultural fracture
✔️ Civil society still strong
✔️ Resilient national mythos (WWII, monarchy)
Unity shaken, but not lost
Score: 5.5/10
(6/)
❌ Inequality, NHS strain, youth disillusion
❌ Brexit = cultural fracture
✔️ Civil society still strong
✔️ Resilient national mythos (WWII, monarchy)
Unity shaken, but not lost
Score: 5.5/10
(6/)
STRATEGIC LEVERAGE
✔️ Nuclear, intelligence, G7/NATO clout
✔️ Global legal/academic soft power
❌ Hard power overstretched
✔️ “Special relationship” still a card—just weaker
Score: 5.8/10
(5/)
✔️ Nuclear, intelligence, G7/NATO clout
✔️ Global legal/academic soft power
❌ Hard power overstretched
✔️ “Special relationship” still a card—just weaker
Score: 5.8/10
(5/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:21 PM
STRATEGIC LEVERAGE
✔️ Nuclear, intelligence, G7/NATO clout
✔️ Global legal/academic soft power
❌ Hard power overstretched
✔️ “Special relationship” still a card—just weaker
Score: 5.8/10
(5/)
✔️ Nuclear, intelligence, G7/NATO clout
✔️ Global legal/academic soft power
❌ Hard power overstretched
✔️ “Special relationship” still a card—just weaker
Score: 5.8/10
(5/)
POLITICAL FUNCTION
❌ Tory turmoil, weak opposition
❌ Scotland/Ireland fractures simmering
✔️ Bureaucratic competence still high
❌ No written constitution = ad hoc crisis handling
Score: 5.2/10
(4/)
❌ Tory turmoil, weak opposition
❌ Scotland/Ireland fractures simmering
✔️ Bureaucratic competence still high
❌ No written constitution = ad hoc crisis handling
Score: 5.2/10
(4/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:21 PM
POLITICAL FUNCTION
❌ Tory turmoil, weak opposition
❌ Scotland/Ireland fractures simmering
✔️ Bureaucratic competence still high
❌ No written constitution = ad hoc crisis handling
Score: 5.2/10
(4/)
❌ Tory turmoil, weak opposition
❌ Scotland/Ireland fractures simmering
✔️ Bureaucratic competence still high
❌ No written constitution = ad hoc crisis handling
Score: 5.2/10
(4/)
FINANCIAL STRENGTH
✔️ GBP = stable, respected
✔️ London = global finance hub
❌ Decline in FDI post-Brexit
✔️ BOE independence = credibility intact
Still elite, but diminished reach
Score: 6.2/10
(3/)
✔️ GBP = stable, respected
✔️ London = global finance hub
❌ Decline in FDI post-Brexit
✔️ BOE independence = credibility intact
Still elite, but diminished reach
Score: 6.2/10
(3/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:21 PM
FINANCIAL STRENGTH
✔️ GBP = stable, respected
✔️ London = global finance hub
❌ Decline in FDI post-Brexit
✔️ BOE independence = credibility intact
Still elite, but diminished reach
Score: 6.2/10
(3/)
✔️ GBP = stable, respected
✔️ London = global finance hub
❌ Decline in FDI post-Brexit
✔️ BOE independence = credibility intact
Still elite, but diminished reach
Score: 6.2/10
(3/)
ECONOMIC RESILIENCE
✔️ $3.1T GDP
✔️ Services + finance backbone
❌ Brexit hurt trade, investment, labor market
❌ Productivity slump
✔️ London still globally magnetic
Score: 5.8/10
(2/)
✔️ $3.1T GDP
✔️ Services + finance backbone
❌ Brexit hurt trade, investment, labor market
❌ Productivity slump
✔️ London still globally magnetic
Score: 5.8/10
(2/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:21 PM
ECONOMIC RESILIENCE
✔️ $3.1T GDP
✔️ Services + finance backbone
❌ Brexit hurt trade, investment, labor market
❌ Productivity slump
✔️ London still globally magnetic
Score: 5.8/10
(2/)
✔️ $3.1T GDP
✔️ Services + finance backbone
❌ Brexit hurt trade, investment, labor market
❌ Productivity slump
✔️ London still globally magnetic
Score: 5.8/10
(2/)
BRAZIL RESILIENCE SCORE
• Economy: 5.8
• Finance: 5.5
• Politics: 5.0
• Strategy: 5.2
• Society: 5.0
→ Avg: 5.3/10
Brazil doesn’t break—it swings.
Its future depends on stabilizing institutions without crushing its vibrant chaos.
Expect Canada, UK, Australia and South Africa.
• Economy: 5.8
• Finance: 5.5
• Politics: 5.0
• Strategy: 5.2
• Society: 5.0
→ Avg: 5.3/10
Brazil doesn’t break—it swings.
Its future depends on stabilizing institutions without crushing its vibrant chaos.
Expect Canada, UK, Australia and South Africa.
April 11, 2025 at 3:18 PM
BRAZIL RESILIENCE SCORE
• Economy: 5.8
• Finance: 5.5
• Politics: 5.0
• Strategy: 5.2
• Society: 5.0
→ Avg: 5.3/10
Brazil doesn’t break—it swings.
Its future depends on stabilizing institutions without crushing its vibrant chaos.
Expect Canada, UK, Australia and South Africa.
• Economy: 5.8
• Finance: 5.5
• Politics: 5.0
• Strategy: 5.2
• Society: 5.0
→ Avg: 5.3/10
Brazil doesn’t break—it swings.
Its future depends on stabilizing institutions without crushing its vibrant chaos.
Expect Canada, UK, Australia and South Africa.
SOCIAL COHESION
❌ One of the world’s highest inequality rates
❌ Violence & crime in urban favelas
✔️ Cultural cohesion: football, music, faith
✔️ Civic endurance is high—resistance is embedded
Social strain met with cultural glue
Score: 5.0/10
(6/)
❌ One of the world’s highest inequality rates
❌ Violence & crime in urban favelas
✔️ Cultural cohesion: football, music, faith
✔️ Civic endurance is high—resistance is embedded
Social strain met with cultural glue
Score: 5.0/10
(6/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:18 PM
SOCIAL COHESION
❌ One of the world’s highest inequality rates
❌ Violence & crime in urban favelas
✔️ Cultural cohesion: football, music, faith
✔️ Civic endurance is high—resistance is embedded
Social strain met with cultural glue
Score: 5.0/10
(6/)
❌ One of the world’s highest inequality rates
❌ Violence & crime in urban favelas
✔️ Cultural cohesion: football, music, faith
✔️ Civic endurance is high—resistance is embedded
Social strain met with cultural glue
Score: 5.0/10
(6/)
STRATEGIC LEVERAGE
✔️ Regional leader (Mercosur, Amazon diplomacy)
✔️ BRICS presence
❌ Weak defense sector
❌ Limited global power projection
✔️ Energy independence (hydro, oil, ethanol)
Score: 5.2/10
(5/)
✔️ Regional leader (Mercosur, Amazon diplomacy)
✔️ BRICS presence
❌ Weak defense sector
❌ Limited global power projection
✔️ Energy independence (hydro, oil, ethanol)
Score: 5.2/10
(5/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:18 PM
STRATEGIC LEVERAGE
✔️ Regional leader (Mercosur, Amazon diplomacy)
✔️ BRICS presence
❌ Weak defense sector
❌ Limited global power projection
✔️ Energy independence (hydro, oil, ethanol)
Score: 5.2/10
(5/)
✔️ Regional leader (Mercosur, Amazon diplomacy)
✔️ BRICS presence
❌ Weak defense sector
❌ Limited global power projection
✔️ Energy independence (hydro, oil, ethanol)
Score: 5.2/10
(5/)
POLITICAL FUNCTION
❌ Deep corruption legacy (PT, Lava Jato)
✔️ Lula comeback = institutional recovery
❌ Military + police politicized
✔️ Judiciary has checked executive power
Democracy = fragile but functional
Score: 5.0/10
(4/)
❌ Deep corruption legacy (PT, Lava Jato)
✔️ Lula comeback = institutional recovery
❌ Military + police politicized
✔️ Judiciary has checked executive power
Democracy = fragile but functional
Score: 5.0/10
(4/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:18 PM
POLITICAL FUNCTION
❌ Deep corruption legacy (PT, Lava Jato)
✔️ Lula comeback = institutional recovery
❌ Military + police politicized
✔️ Judiciary has checked executive power
Democracy = fragile but functional
Score: 5.0/10
(4/)
❌ Deep corruption legacy (PT, Lava Jato)
✔️ Lula comeback = institutional recovery
❌ Military + police politicized
✔️ Judiciary has checked executive power
Democracy = fragile but functional
Score: 5.0/10
(4/)
FINANCIAL STRENGTH
✔️ Central bank independence
✔️ Real = volatile but managed
❌ High interest rates + borrowing costs
✔️ Digital banking boom (Nubank, Pix)
❌ Capital flight risk in political shocks
Score: 5.5/10
(3/)
✔️ Central bank independence
✔️ Real = volatile but managed
❌ High interest rates + borrowing costs
✔️ Digital banking boom (Nubank, Pix)
❌ Capital flight risk in political shocks
Score: 5.5/10
(3/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:18 PM
FINANCIAL STRENGTH
✔️ Central bank independence
✔️ Real = volatile but managed
❌ High interest rates + borrowing costs
✔️ Digital banking boom (Nubank, Pix)
❌ Capital flight risk in political shocks
Score: 5.5/10
(3/)
✔️ Central bank independence
✔️ Real = volatile but managed
❌ High interest rates + borrowing costs
✔️ Digital banking boom (Nubank, Pix)
❌ Capital flight risk in political shocks
Score: 5.5/10
(3/)
ECONOMIC RESILIENCE
✔️ $2T+ GDP, diverse economy
✔️ Strong agri, mining, energy exports
❌ Extreme inequality
❌ Vulnerable to commodity swings
✔️ Growing fintech & e-commerce sectors
Score: 5.8/10
(2/)
✔️ $2T+ GDP, diverse economy
✔️ Strong agri, mining, energy exports
❌ Extreme inequality
❌ Vulnerable to commodity swings
✔️ Growing fintech & e-commerce sectors
Score: 5.8/10
(2/)
April 11, 2025 at 3:18 PM
ECONOMIC RESILIENCE
✔️ $2T+ GDP, diverse economy
✔️ Strong agri, mining, energy exports
❌ Extreme inequality
❌ Vulnerable to commodity swings
✔️ Growing fintech & e-commerce sectors
Score: 5.8/10
(2/)
✔️ $2T+ GDP, diverse economy
✔️ Strong agri, mining, energy exports
❌ Extreme inequality
❌ Vulnerable to commodity swings
✔️ Growing fintech & e-commerce sectors
Score: 5.8/10
(2/)
INDIA RESILIENCE SCORE
• Economy: 6.2
• Finance: 5.8
• Politics: 4.5
• Strategy: 6.2
• Society: 4.5
→ Avg: 5.4/10
India’s future is promising—
but its stress fractures run deep.
Its resilience is fueled by scale, not cohesion.
Next: 🇧🇷 Brazil
#ResilienceIndex
(7/7)
• Economy: 6.2
• Finance: 5.8
• Politics: 4.5
• Strategy: 6.2
• Society: 4.5
→ Avg: 5.4/10
India’s future is promising—
but its stress fractures run deep.
Its resilience is fueled by scale, not cohesion.
Next: 🇧🇷 Brazil
#ResilienceIndex
(7/7)
April 11, 2025 at 3:13 PM
INDIA RESILIENCE SCORE
• Economy: 6.2
• Finance: 5.8
• Politics: 4.5
• Strategy: 6.2
• Society: 4.5
→ Avg: 5.4/10
India’s future is promising—
but its stress fractures run deep.
Its resilience is fueled by scale, not cohesion.
Next: 🇧🇷 Brazil
#ResilienceIndex
(7/7)
• Economy: 6.2
• Finance: 5.8
• Politics: 4.5
• Strategy: 6.2
• Society: 4.5
→ Avg: 5.4/10
India’s future is promising—
but its stress fractures run deep.
Its resilience is fueled by scale, not cohesion.
Next: 🇧🇷 Brazil
#ResilienceIndex
(7/7)