Mike DeKay
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mikedekay.bsky.social
Mike DeKay
@mikedekay.bsky.social
Associate Professor, Decision Psychology and Quantitative Psychology, The Ohio State University
It's a shame the county decided not to install a warning system (e.g., sirens) along the Guadalupe River. Here's a 30-yr-old graph showing the benefit of warning time for forceful floods w/ pop. at risk = 1000. Would love an update based on more data.

Paper: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
July 7, 2025 at 7:06 PM
Wonderful paper! For more on purposive variation, see this 2022 paper on metastudies: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Free postprint: osf.io/preprints/ps...

It's like Simonsohn et al.'s new mix-and-match method, but with more attention to moderation, generalizability, and statistical power.
June 23, 2025 at 1:35 PM
New PsyArXiv preprint! osf.io/preprints/ps...

Risky-choice framing effects persist when option descriptions are matched in gains and losses and even when the options are completely described.

(Last year's Psych Science results replicated nicely in a larger census-matched sample!)
May 1, 2025 at 7:56 PM
Got that end-of-the-year paper submitted a day early!

Framing Effects in Choices with Somewhat Risky Options [not just certain and all-or-none options], with former undergrad Prachiti Garge. osf.io/preprints/ps...

Expectation-based theories (especially TAX) fared better than categorical accounts.
December 31, 2024 at 1:11 AM
Our recent Psych Science results replicated perfectly in a larger census-matched sample. Take that, reviewer 2!

Risky-Choice Framing Effects Result Partly From Mismatched Option Descriptions in Gains and Losses

Article: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

SJDM poster: sjdm.org/presentation...
November 22, 2024 at 8:40 PM