Michael Fletcher
@mefletcher54.bsky.social
Retired Intelligence Analyst. Cold War era US Army Vet. Fairly familiar with System Dynamics and History. Personal eccentricities: Scadian KSCA, USCF NM&LM. Details and periodic commentary at http://mefletcher.blogspot.com/
Lee Zeldin, and the entire population of contemptible Trump cronies can kiss my ass.
Yes, that's a slight change in tone for me.
I'm going with rage this morning. 😎
Yes, that's a slight change in tone for me.
I'm going with rage this morning. 😎
November 6, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Lee Zeldin, and the entire population of contemptible Trump cronies can kiss my ass.
Yes, that's a slight change in tone for me.
I'm going with rage this morning. 😎
Yes, that's a slight change in tone for me.
I'm going with rage this morning. 😎
It's good to be reminded that peace is possible and not just theoretically.😎
November 4, 2025 at 12:27 PM
It's good to be reminded that peace is possible and not just theoretically.😎
Update: A clearer representation with tech explicitly named.
October 30, 2025 at 1:31 PM
Update: A clearer representation with tech explicitly named.
Afterword: Joe Tainter's brilliant work on the collapse of civilizations speaks of a complexity curve. His thesis is that as society grows more complex the net benefit of that complexity begins to decline due to diminishing returns.
This bell-like curve applies to social as well as tech complexity
This bell-like curve applies to social as well as tech complexity
October 30, 2025 at 10:07 AM
Afterword: Joe Tainter's brilliant work on the collapse of civilizations speaks of a complexity curve. His thesis is that as society grows more complex the net benefit of that complexity begins to decline due to diminishing returns.
This bell-like curve applies to social as well as tech complexity
This bell-like curve applies to social as well as tech complexity
That is when diminishing returns hit. Problems become more complex and difficult to solve. Metaphorically, the rock of Prometheus keeps growing larger and larger with each iteration.
October 30, 2025 at 9:01 AM
That is when diminishing returns hit. Problems become more complex and difficult to solve. Metaphorically, the rock of Prometheus keeps growing larger and larger with each iteration.
That, in turn can lock-in a oligarchy or similar system of wealth and power disparity. Their ability to influence and control government to remove such any constraints has been very successful in US. See below:
October 27, 2025 at 9:26 AM
That, in turn can lock-in a oligarchy or similar system of wealth and power disparity. Their ability to influence and control government to remove such any constraints has been very successful in US. See below:
Jared Diamond observed that end-stage civilizations often involve leaders obsessing about building monuments to themselves.
Trump has taken it one step further. He tears down a monument to build a new one to demonstrate his radiant magnificence to posterity.
/1
Trump has taken it one step further. He tears down a monument to build a new one to demonstrate his radiant magnificence to posterity.
/1
October 24, 2025 at 10:42 AM
Jared Diamond observed that end-stage civilizations often involve leaders obsessing about building monuments to themselves.
Trump has taken it one step further. He tears down a monument to build a new one to demonstrate his radiant magnificence to posterity.
/1
Trump has taken it one step further. He tears down a monument to build a new one to demonstrate his radiant magnificence to posterity.
/1
Here is a dead giveaway of a person being Antifa: A WWII US Army uniform. This one is my modeled by my dad.
For present members of the US Army. Learn and live that proud tradition. Be true to your Oath, not a dictator.
For present members of the US Army. Learn and live that proud tradition. Be true to your Oath, not a dictator.
October 22, 2025 at 11:32 AM
Here is a dead giveaway of a person being Antifa: A WWII US Army uniform. This one is my modeled by my dad.
For present members of the US Army. Learn and live that proud tradition. Be true to your Oath, not a dictator.
For present members of the US Army. Learn and live that proud tradition. Be true to your Oath, not a dictator.
In case you are having a tough morning, here is Karl, my Great Dane-Retriever mix to help out.
October 21, 2025 at 1:10 PM
In case you are having a tough morning, here is Karl, my Great Dane-Retriever mix to help out.
Joining the No Kings Protest in Kitty Hawk today.
October 18, 2025 at 9:36 AM
Joining the No Kings Protest in Kitty Hawk today.
Uhmmm. Haven't we seen this movie? /1
October 9, 2025 at 10:11 AM
Uhmmm. Haven't we seen this movie? /1
I referenced the WASF meter in yesterday's skeet, so here it is. It's my informal tool to track the current state of the world.
October 4, 2025 at 8:45 AM
I referenced the WASF meter in yesterday's skeet, so here it is. It's my informal tool to track the current state of the world.
Sea level rise is the sleeping giant of the Climate Disaster. A significant rise is already baked-in because of the delays in and inertia of the climate system.
It could ultimately displace billions, as over 3 billion people live within 60 miles of an ocean.
Consider a world without glaciers:
It could ultimately displace billions, as over 3 billion people live within 60 miles of an ocean.
Consider a world without glaciers:
September 23, 2025 at 10:09 AM
Sea level rise is the sleeping giant of the Climate Disaster. A significant rise is already baked-in because of the delays in and inertia of the climate system.
It could ultimately displace billions, as over 3 billion people live within 60 miles of an ocean.
Consider a world without glaciers:
It could ultimately displace billions, as over 3 billion people live within 60 miles of an ocean.
Consider a world without glaciers:
The entire enterprise is deeply maddening, as it ignores the most basic lesson of flow dynamics.
There are inflows, outflows and accumulations. That's it. (Nerd sidebar: Newton created the integral and differential calculus in order to have the math to calculate their values over time.) /4
There are inflows, outflows and accumulations. That's it. (Nerd sidebar: Newton created the integral and differential calculus in order to have the math to calculate their values over time.) /4
September 9, 2025 at 10:23 AM
The entire enterprise is deeply maddening, as it ignores the most basic lesson of flow dynamics.
There are inflows, outflows and accumulations. That's it. (Nerd sidebar: Newton created the integral and differential calculus in order to have the math to calculate their values over time.) /4
There are inflows, outflows and accumulations. That's it. (Nerd sidebar: Newton created the integral and differential calculus in order to have the math to calculate their values over time.) /4
None, but the Trump Admin seems intent to continue to drill-baby-drill to an 8F+ world. In short, its a mass extinction death sentence. What we somewhat erroneously call civilization, won't survive that level of stress.
Here is a picture of what an 8F world entails.
Sleep well.
Here is a picture of what an 8F world entails.
Sleep well.
August 23, 2025 at 9:34 AM
None, but the Trump Admin seems intent to continue to drill-baby-drill to an 8F+ world. In short, its a mass extinction death sentence. What we somewhat erroneously call civilization, won't survive that level of stress.
Here is a picture of what an 8F world entails.
Sleep well.
Here is a picture of what an 8F world entails.
Sleep well.
Partly that is due to the decay being self-reinforcing.
July 25, 2025 at 9:52 AM
Partly that is due to the decay being self-reinforcing.
I've been a fan of Lovecraft for decades, but this partial quote from a letter he wrote in 1936 properly encapsulates just the right amount of disdain. 😎
July 8, 2025 at 11:08 AM
I've been a fan of Lovecraft for decades, but this partial quote from a letter he wrote in 1936 properly encapsulates just the right amount of disdain. 😎
"... not governing like people who think they will have to face an election next year."
July 2, 2025 at 11:46 AM
"... not governing like people who think they will have to face an election next year."
Timeline cleanser:
Karl keeps a careful eye out for squirrels at Sounside Park.
Karl keeps a careful eye out for squirrels at Sounside Park.
July 1, 2025 at 1:35 PM
Timeline cleanser:
Karl keeps a careful eye out for squirrels at Sounside Park.
Karl keeps a careful eye out for squirrels at Sounside Park.
It's international bike day!
Uncle Mike wants you to get off the couch and on the bike!
Uncle Mike wants you to get off the couch and on the bike!
June 3, 2025 at 10:26 AM
It's international bike day!
Uncle Mike wants you to get off the couch and on the bike!
Uncle Mike wants you to get off the couch and on the bike!
World Summary: the WASF Meter.
It has been pegged at "Well & Truly" for a long time. It dipped to "Almost Certainly" briefly after Biden's inauguration until it became clear that Operation Low Hanging Fruit was fully operational and top insurrectionists and seditionists were going to skate.
It has been pegged at "Well & Truly" for a long time. It dipped to "Almost Certainly" briefly after Biden's inauguration until it became clear that Operation Low Hanging Fruit was fully operational and top insurrectionists and seditionists were going to skate.
May 3, 2025 at 10:58 AM
World Summary: the WASF Meter.
It has been pegged at "Well & Truly" for a long time. It dipped to "Almost Certainly" briefly after Biden's inauguration until it became clear that Operation Low Hanging Fruit was fully operational and top insurrectionists and seditionists were going to skate.
It has been pegged at "Well & Truly" for a long time. It dipped to "Almost Certainly" briefly after Biden's inauguration until it became clear that Operation Low Hanging Fruit was fully operational and top insurrectionists and seditionists were going to skate.
Timeline cleanser:
One of our dogwood trees is in full bloom. Behind it is our big water oak, the biggest tree on our property.
One of our dogwood trees is in full bloom. Behind it is our big water oak, the biggest tree on our property.
April 8, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Timeline cleanser:
One of our dogwood trees is in full bloom. Behind it is our big water oak, the biggest tree on our property.
One of our dogwood trees is in full bloom. Behind it is our big water oak, the biggest tree on our property.
The obx Parrotheads singing, "Every little
thing gonna be all right," and for a brief period of time, it was.
thing gonna be all right," and for a brief period of time, it was.
April 5, 2025 at 7:37 PM
The obx Parrotheads singing, "Every little
thing gonna be all right," and for a brief period of time, it was.
thing gonna be all right," and for a brief period of time, it was.
