@meaganchan.bsky.social
PIT > BOS > DCA > BOS
Here for women’s soccer, curling, knitting
Here for women’s soccer, curling, knitting
Yeah, I assumed they might place BSG at fullback, given our current lack of defenders
January 3, 2026 at 8:47 PM
Yeah, I assumed they might place BSG at fullback, given our current lack of defenders
Yay! The official announcement we’ve all been waiting for
December 15, 2025 at 6:05 PM
Yay! The official announcement we’ve all been waiting for
@jackiedigital.bsky.social DM’d you!
December 3, 2025 at 10:30 PM
@jackiedigital.bsky.social DM’d you!
I got tix and may have an extra one… will confirm by tomorrow!
December 1, 2025 at 7:24 PM
I got tix and may have an extra one… will confirm by tomorrow!
I’ve been waiting until things settle down to look at our prop bets but honestly, this whole story has been WAY more interesting than bets.
November 13, 2025 at 8:31 PM
I’ve been waiting until things settle down to look at our prop bets but honestly, this whole story has been WAY more interesting than bets.
3) total # of SC ballots < total # of CC ballots < total # of BQ ballots.
I think the crowded nature of this cycle’s SC race confuses the average voter, even those who attempt to take their civic duty seriously.
I think the crowded nature of this cycle’s SC race confuses the average voter, even those who attempt to take their civic duty seriously.
November 2, 2025 at 12:30 AM
3) total # of SC ballots < total # of CC ballots < total # of BQ ballots.
I think the crowded nature of this cycle’s SC race confuses the average voter, even those who attempt to take their civic duty seriously.
I think the crowded nature of this cycle’s SC race confuses the average voter, even those who attempt to take their civic duty seriously.
2A) # of CC/Total Ballots for advance mail in < # of CC/Total Ballots for all of mail in < # of CC/Total Ballots for in person
2B) same for SC
2C) # of BQ/Total Ballots will be pretty much the same across all methods and time points
I think serious voters need all the time they can get on SC/CC
2B) same for SC
2C) # of BQ/Total Ballots will be pretty much the same across all methods and time points
I think serious voters need all the time they can get on SC/CC
November 2, 2025 at 12:26 AM
2A) # of CC/Total Ballots for advance mail in < # of CC/Total Ballots for all of mail in < # of CC/Total Ballots for in person
2B) same for SC
2C) # of BQ/Total Ballots will be pretty much the same across all methods and time points
I think serious voters need all the time they can get on SC/CC
2B) same for SC
2C) # of BQ/Total Ballots will be pretty much the same across all methods and time points
I think serious voters need all the time they can get on SC/CC
Sure! I’m all for hypotheses and bets for election. I’ve got a few different ideas:
1A) # of CC / Total ballots < # of BQ/Total Ballots for all methods and all time point buckets (advance mail in, all mail in, in person).
1B) Same for SC vs BQ.
1A) # of CC / Total ballots < # of BQ/Total Ballots for all methods and all time point buckets (advance mail in, all mail in, in person).
1B) Same for SC vs BQ.
November 2, 2025 at 12:20 AM
Sure! I’m all for hypotheses and bets for election. I’ve got a few different ideas:
1A) # of CC / Total ballots < # of BQ/Total Ballots for all methods and all time point buckets (advance mail in, all mail in, in person).
1B) Same for SC vs BQ.
1A) # of CC / Total ballots < # of BQ/Total Ballots for all methods and all time point buckets (advance mail in, all mail in, in person).
1B) Same for SC vs BQ.
I’m in a basic stats class, since it’s been 20 years since my last class. I’ll run a few metrics/analyses after election night and put it in a gdoc since we’re a little limited on characters here. But l’ll add a tldr back to the thread :) how’s that?
November 1, 2025 at 1:39 PM
I’m in a basic stats class, since it’s been 20 years since my last class. I’ll run a few metrics/analyses after election night and put it in a gdoc since we’re a little limited on characters here. But l’ll add a tldr back to the thread :) how’s that?
In order to make use of your efforts (back to the original question on utility) we could compare these % or ratios from the “advance mail in count” to final mail in count to Election Day and see if there is any significant difference?
November 1, 2025 at 1:26 PM
In order to make use of your efforts (back to the original question on utility) we could compare these % or ratios from the “advance mail in count” to final mail in count to Election Day and see if there is any significant difference?
Appreciate your push for clarity— do we even get a # for blank ballots? I was thinking % completed for any specific category would be ballots cast / total ballots. Alternatively, if BQ is higher for all time points, we could do ratio of completed SC:BQ for the time points
November 1, 2025 at 1:24 PM
Appreciate your push for clarity— do we even get a # for blank ballots? I was thinking % completed for any specific category would be ballots cast / total ballots. Alternatively, if BQ is higher for all time points, we could do ratio of completed SC:BQ for the time points
% of CC/SC ballots completed in person will be higher than % of CC/SC ballots completed by mail. I think/hope in person voters will feel compelled to complete all 3 ballots and they will be more prepared by Election Day?
November 1, 2025 at 12:02 PM
% of CC/SC ballots completed in person will be higher than % of CC/SC ballots completed by mail. I think/hope in person voters will feel compelled to complete all 3 ballots and they will be more prepared by Election Day?
Oh interesting. I was thinking that the early mail in ballots had the lower rate for SC/CC bc early mail in voters didn’t want to bother figuring out what to do but wanted to mail in on time. I’m gonna hypothesize higher in person! Let’s see! (though the numbers won’t tell us why)
November 1, 2025 at 10:56 AM
Oh interesting. I was thinking that the early mail in ballots had the lower rate for SC/CC bc early mail in voters didn’t want to bother figuring out what to do but wanted to mail in on time. I’m gonna hypothesize higher in person! Let’s see! (though the numbers won’t tell us why)
I would have never know about this “advanced counting” process. I assumed everything was tabulated on Election Day! And I think it’s a good hypothesis that the Cambridge charter ballot counts are higher bc they are easier to answer. There’s a particularly high # of candidates to vet this year.
October 31, 2025 at 9:24 PM
I would have never know about this “advanced counting” process. I assumed everything was tabulated on Election Day! And I think it’s a good hypothesis that the Cambridge charter ballot counts are higher bc they are easier to answer. There’s a particularly high # of candidates to vet this year.
They aren’t useless! Appreciate your commitment to reporting on this process!
October 31, 2025 at 3:08 PM
They aren’t useless! Appreciate your commitment to reporting on this process!
Ahhhhh that makes more sense!
August 28, 2025 at 11:16 AM
Ahhhhh that makes more sense!
Coco played last night on Ashe and was the main broadcast then. The night Ashe draw features one men’s and one women’s match
August 27, 2025 at 11:55 PM
Coco played last night on Ashe and was the main broadcast then. The night Ashe draw features one men’s and one women’s match
Thank you for your sacrifice!
August 24, 2025 at 4:45 PM
Thank you for your sacrifice!
Sports misery index was built for y’all
August 15, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Sports misery index was built for y’all
Croix is surprisingly good; I expected more from Hatchy
August 2, 2025 at 4:16 AM
Croix is surprisingly good; I expected more from Hatchy