Morgane Gonon
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mdgonon.bsky.social
Morgane Gonon
@mdgonon.bsky.social
PhD in Ecological Economics @cired.bsky.social | Biodiversity Financing | North-South Flows, Credits, Debt Swaps |
Associate Researcher @AFD & C3A World Bank
A few days later, on 4 September, I’ll be presenting my work at the NatureFinance Oxford seminar series, which is hosted by the Environmental Change Institute at the University of Oxford. You can find more details about the series here if you're interested : www.eci.ox.ac.uk/page/naturef...
August 22, 2025 at 9:30 AM
Paper available here cepr.org/publications..., or please do not hesitate to contact me !
DP20443 Chronicle of a Debt Foretold: Sovereign Debt Management Strategies for Colombia’s Climate and Biodiversity Transition
More comprehensive debt solutions are needed to leverage liabilities for environmental protection. Despite growing interest in integrated debt–environment solutions, the existing literature overlooks the macro-financial linkages that shape sovereign risk, capital flows, and fiscal space. To fill this gap, this paper explores the intersection of sovereign debt relief, green investment, and macro-financial stability by modeling green debt instruments at the macroeconomic scale and assessing their robustness under uncertainty. Using Colombia as a case study, we adapt the GEMMES macroeconomic framework—a dynamic Stock-Flow Consistent model—to simulate various debt management strategies under a multi-objective robust decision-making approach. We identify robust Pareto-optimal combinations of four debt relief levers : (1) greenium (concessional borrowing), (2) foreign investment in local currency-denominated bonds, (3) interest renegotiation and (4) principal adjustment, i.e. combinations that balance public investment, inflation control, and external stability to support Colombia's climate and biodiversity investment. Two types of Pareto-optimal strategies emerge: (1) a controlled approach aimed at reducing foreign debt-related vulnerabilities, and (2) a more ambitious strategy involving the swap of old debt for new, highly subsidized loans. While debt relief can temporarily ease trade imbalances, lasting macroeconomic stability requires structural changes in production and exports. This research contributes to the ongoing research stream on the international financial architecture and green transition support by, first, bridging post-1990s macroeconomic analyses of debt relief with contemporary sustainable development challenges, and second, highlighting the importance of integrating macroeconomic resilience into the development finance literature.
cepr.org
July 9, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Among others: Phillipe Aldi Faye, Natalia Medina, JD Cesaro, Gora Diop, Mathieu Ducrocq, Sidiya Mary, Deborah Goffner, Germaine Neyra, Madické Seck, Abdou Badiane, François Vendel, Mariama Kande, Quentin Merour, Eric Mermet, Pierre Scemama.
April 23, 2025 at 9:13 PM
A big thank you to my co-authors Rémi Prudhomme, Marieme Ba, Penda Diop, Tamsir MBAYE, Harold Levrel, Adrien Comte, and everyone who provided feedback and support.
April 23, 2025 at 9:13 PM
This chapter is the result of a research collaboration between @cired.bsky.social, Chaire de comptabilité écologique, @afd-france.bsky.social (COPAR), and Senegalese Institute for Agricultural Research (CNRF).
April 23, 2025 at 9:09 PM
What do we find?
The carbon market doesn’t necessarily favor the cheapest projects—so higher prices alone won’t guarantee more projects—but it does favor standardized protocols, high success rates, minimal coordination requirements. These market criteria can sometimes conflict with local benefits.
April 23, 2025 at 9:08 PM
How did we do this?
Through fieldwork and semi-structured interviews, we created a comprehensive novel dataset and compared projects funded by the carbon market with non-carbon-market projects using a transaction-cost analysis framework.
April 23, 2025 at 9:08 PM