Mike Natoli
@mbnat.bsky.social
NWS Meteorologist | Snow lover, wind tolerator, heat hater | 📍🦬 | Previously 🦀🐢🐏
Reposted by Mike Natoli
From knowledgeable scientists we’ve talked to, RAOBs have the second largest increase in error for upper air metrics when removed, behind aircraft data.
On average, losing RAOBs will decrease mesoscale NWP forecast skill.
doi.org/10.1175/2009...
doi.org/10.1175/MWR-...
doi.org/10.1175/BAMS...
On average, losing RAOBs will decrease mesoscale NWP forecast skill.
doi.org/10.1175/2009...
doi.org/10.1175/MWR-...
doi.org/10.1175/BAMS...
Relative Short-Range Forecast Impact from Aircraft, Profiler, Radiosonde, VAD, GPS-PW, METAR, and Mesonet Observations via the RUC Hourly Assimilation Cycle
Abstract An assessment is presented on the relative forecast impact on the performance of a numerical weather prediction model from eight different observation data types: aircraft, profiler, radioson...
doi.org
March 20, 2025 at 9:01 PM
From knowledgeable scientists we’ve talked to, RAOBs have the second largest increase in error for upper air metrics when removed, behind aircraft data.
On average, losing RAOBs will decrease mesoscale NWP forecast skill.
doi.org/10.1175/2009...
doi.org/10.1175/MWR-...
doi.org/10.1175/BAMS...
On average, losing RAOBs will decrease mesoscale NWP forecast skill.
doi.org/10.1175/2009...
doi.org/10.1175/MWR-...
doi.org/10.1175/BAMS...
We have some big fluffy dendrites falling with surface temperatures in the single digits thanks to the shallow surface inversion. Very interesting setup with today’s event!
February 18, 2025 at 10:31 PM
We have some big fluffy dendrites falling with surface temperatures in the single digits thanks to the shallow surface inversion. Very interesting setup with today’s event!
Great article discussing the state of ENSO and why the atmosphere is behaving more La Niña-like this season than the Niño3.4 index might suggest!
Our latest ENSO blog post is out! Weak La Niña conditions continued in January, but a transition to ENSO-neutral in the near future is likely. www.climate.gov/news-feature...
February 2025 La Niña update: La Niña today, gone tomorrow?
Weak La Niña conditions continued in January, but a transition to ENSO-neutral in the near future is likely.
www.climate.gov
February 14, 2025 at 2:54 PM
Great article discussing the state of ENSO and why the atmosphere is behaving more La Niña-like this season than the Niño3.4 index might suggest!
Highly recommend spending some time somewhere that doesn’t have cell service!
February 12, 2025 at 6:40 AM
Highly recommend spending some time somewhere that doesn’t have cell service!
Beautiful scene from a snowy morning in my happy place!
January 27, 2025 at 12:12 AM
Beautiful scene from a snowy morning in my happy place!