Tomas McIntee
@mathintee.bsky.social
My latest book: https://www.amazon.com/Accidental-War-Mage-Steampunk-Military-ebook/dp/B0F2ZBJ6L8/
Mathematician, social scientist, author, data scientist. n.Erdős = 3. Alum of UC-Irvine (Ph.D.) & Appalachian State (assorted other degrees).
Mathematician, social scientist, author, data scientist. n.Erdős = 3. Alum of UC-Irvine (Ph.D.) & Appalachian State (assorted other degrees).
Jay Jones wanted violence inflicted on a political opponent (and also said opponent's chlidren). His texts make that extremely clear.
That is not acceptable in a position of power and trust. And that's true whether or not he wanted it public, his skin color, or any "but Trump!" statement.
That is not acceptable in a position of power and trust. And that's true whether or not he wanted it public, his skin color, or any "but Trump!" statement.
October 5, 2025 at 5:32 AM
Jay Jones wanted violence inflicted on a political opponent (and also said opponent's chlidren). His texts make that extremely clear.
That is not acceptable in a position of power and trust. And that's true whether or not he wanted it public, his skin color, or any "but Trump!" statement.
That is not acceptable in a position of power and trust. And that's true whether or not he wanted it public, his skin color, or any "but Trump!" statement.
Not a statement actually made by Charlie Kirk.
September 15, 2025 at 11:06 PM
Not a statement actually made by Charlie Kirk.
This isn't going to make me many friends on BlueSky, but those of you relying on BlueSky as source of information deserve to know that Karen Attiah misquoted Charlie Kirk and is therefore presently doubling down on a lie.
September 15, 2025 at 10:46 PM
This isn't going to make me many friends on BlueSky, but those of you relying on BlueSky as source of information deserve to know that Karen Attiah misquoted Charlie Kirk and is therefore presently doubling down on a lie.
Book 2 is out! It's exciting :)
August 27, 2025 at 1:47 AM
Book 2 is out! It's exciting :)
We already went through the "affirmative action cheating" cycle with Elizabeth Warren.
She still got elected in her safely Democratic constituency, but by a notably smaller margin, and head-to-head polls suggested that she would manage to lose the popular vote to Donald Trump nationally.
She still got elected in her safely Democratic constituency, but by a notably smaller margin, and head-to-head polls suggested that she would manage to lose the popular vote to Donald Trump nationally.
July 4, 2025 at 3:10 PM
We already went through the "affirmative action cheating" cycle with Elizabeth Warren.
She still got elected in her safely Democratic constituency, but by a notably smaller margin, and head-to-head polls suggested that she would manage to lose the popular vote to Donald Trump nationally.
She still got elected in her safely Democratic constituency, but by a notably smaller margin, and head-to-head polls suggested that she would manage to lose the popular vote to Donald Trump nationally.
Happy Independence Day!
July 4, 2025 at 2:53 PM
Happy Independence Day!
No, you can't. Minnesota doesn't record party affiliation for voters. They do not disclose which primary ballot you select, either, with an exception of presidential primary request lists being sent to party chairs.
(There was no presidential primary in 2022, FWIW.)
(There was no presidential primary in 2022, FWIW.)
June 17, 2025 at 4:57 AM
No, you can't. Minnesota doesn't record party affiliation for voters. They do not disclose which primary ballot you select, either, with an exception of presidential primary request lists being sent to party chairs.
(There was no presidential primary in 2022, FWIW.)
(There was no presidential primary in 2022, FWIW.)
There was a whole subgenre of early Star Wars EU fiction that was like this. "Hey, what about [BACKGROUND PERSON/THING] we saw once for five seconds in the movie? What's their version of the story?"
Some of it was pretty great, some pretty silly. The Boba Fett part really took off, though.
Some of it was pretty great, some pretty silly. The Boba Fett part really took off, though.
June 17, 2025 at 2:45 AM
There was a whole subgenre of early Star Wars EU fiction that was like this. "Hey, what about [BACKGROUND PERSON/THING] we saw once for five seconds in the movie? What's their version of the story?"
Some of it was pretty great, some pretty silly. The Boba Fett part really took off, though.
Some of it was pretty great, some pretty silly. The Boba Fett part really took off, though.
Minnesota does not register voters by party.
If you remember who told you that he was registered as a Republican, I recommend you treat that person as an unreliable source.
If you remember who told you that he was registered as a Republican, I recommend you treat that person as an unreliable source.
June 15, 2025 at 2:34 AM
Minnesota does not register voters by party.
If you remember who told you that he was registered as a Republican, I recommend you treat that person as an unreliable source.
If you remember who told you that he was registered as a Republican, I recommend you treat that person as an unreliable source.
So, uh… these are headline images for the anti ICE action in Los Angeles.
I don’t think they depict protest aesthetics that the typical American swing voter responds positively to.
Just as a quick strategy note.
I don’t think they depict protest aesthetics that the typical American swing voter responds positively to.
Just as a quick strategy note.
June 8, 2025 at 2:19 AM
So, uh… these are headline images for the anti ICE action in Los Angeles.
I don’t think they depict protest aesthetics that the typical American swing voter responds positively to.
Just as a quick strategy note.
I don’t think they depict protest aesthetics that the typical American swing voter responds positively to.
Just as a quick strategy note.
Interested in knowing what the Accidental War Mage #audiobook sounds like?
Here's a sample...
#fantasy #fantasynovel
Here's a sample...
#fantasy #fantasynovel
May 8, 2025 at 12:17 AM
Interested in knowing what the Accidental War Mage #audiobook sounds like?
Here's a sample...
#fantasy #fantasynovel
Here's a sample...
#fantasy #fantasynovel
Feels so much more real now. It's exciting. This thing, it exists in the physical world.
April 29, 2025 at 12:49 AM
Feels so much more real now. It's exciting. This thing, it exists in the physical world.
I have the new book cards (business cards) printed up. Comparison with the old ones on the right. Same idea, slightly different execution.
Does a glossy finish make them last better?
Does a glossy finish make them last better?
April 1, 2025 at 9:21 PM
I have the new book cards (business cards) printed up. Comparison with the old ones on the right. Same idea, slightly different execution.
Does a glossy finish make them last better?
Does a glossy finish make them last better?
It has been 43 years since Reagan proved that cutting taxes would not increase revenue even when the top marginal rate was 70%.
The top marginal rate is nowhere near 70%, and yet we still have talk about "tax cuts" and "deficit reduction" as if the US is on the far side of the Laffer curve.
The top marginal rate is nowhere near 70%, and yet we still have talk about "tax cuts" and "deficit reduction" as if the US is on the far side of the Laffer curve.
February 27, 2025 at 2:51 AM
It has been 43 years since Reagan proved that cutting taxes would not increase revenue even when the top marginal rate was 70%.
The top marginal rate is nowhere near 70%, and yet we still have talk about "tax cuts" and "deficit reduction" as if the US is on the far side of the Laffer curve.
The top marginal rate is nowhere near 70%, and yet we still have talk about "tax cuts" and "deficit reduction" as if the US is on the far side of the Laffer curve.
Michael Steele may have lost his 2006 Senate bid, but he didn't underperform relative to the baseline of being a Republican in Maryland.
(Deleted and reposted with correction for two unopposed districts, take the US House benchmark with a grain of salt.)
(Deleted and reposted with correction for two unopposed districts, take the US House benchmark with a grain of salt.)
February 8, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Michael Steele may have lost his 2006 Senate bid, but he didn't underperform relative to the baseline of being a Republican in Maryland.
(Deleted and reposted with correction for two unopposed districts, take the US House benchmark with a grain of salt.)
(Deleted and reposted with correction for two unopposed districts, take the US House benchmark with a grain of salt.)
If I had to read tea leaves based on the DNC's officer elections, I would say that the party is not correcting course based on the 2024 loss.
Most battleground state Democrats outperformed Kamala Harris. The lone former elected official they just put in the vice chair position is a rare exception.
Most battleground state Democrats outperformed Kamala Harris. The lone former elected official they just put in the vice chair position is a rare exception.
February 8, 2025 at 2:59 PM
If I had to read tea leaves based on the DNC's officer elections, I would say that the party is not correcting course based on the 2024 loss.
Most battleground state Democrats outperformed Kamala Harris. The lone former elected official they just put in the vice chair position is a rare exception.
Most battleground state Democrats outperformed Kamala Harris. The lone former elected official they just put in the vice chair position is a rare exception.
AFAIK, there were no actions taken by the Biden administration that:
(A) Represented a break with what "Blue Team" elites asked for.
(B) Were less popular among voters than what "Blue Team" elites would have preferred.
If you have a counterexample, speak up.
(A) Represented a break with what "Blue Team" elites asked for.
(B) Were less popular among voters than what "Blue Team" elites would have preferred.
If you have a counterexample, speak up.
February 1, 2025 at 9:10 PM
AFAIK, there were no actions taken by the Biden administration that:
(A) Represented a break with what "Blue Team" elites asked for.
(B) Were less popular among voters than what "Blue Team" elites would have preferred.
If you have a counterexample, speak up.
(A) Represented a break with what "Blue Team" elites asked for.
(B) Were less popular among voters than what "Blue Team" elites would have preferred.
If you have a counterexample, speak up.
Something I started observing 6 years ago - and actively pointed out in articles starting in fall of 2019 - was that "blue" media were overtly hostile to Biden, frequently explicitly on the basis of his age, race, and sex.
Zero surprise that, once elected, the Biden administration reciprocated.
Zero surprise that, once elected, the Biden administration reciprocated.
January 23, 2025 at 5:35 PM
Something I started observing 6 years ago - and actively pointed out in articles starting in fall of 2019 - was that "blue" media were overtly hostile to Biden, frequently explicitly on the basis of his age, race, and sex.
Zero surprise that, once elected, the Biden administration reciprocated.
Zero surprise that, once elected, the Biden administration reciprocated.
A large bipartisan supermajority passed the "TikTok ban" law. It was then promptly signed by a cooperative president. The Supreme Court has upheld the law unanimously 9-0.
TikTok has gone dark. Will the Trump administration flout the law to turn it back on?
TikTok has gone dark. Will the Trump administration flout the law to turn it back on?
January 19, 2025 at 5:19 PM
A large bipartisan supermajority passed the "TikTok ban" law. It was then promptly signed by a cooperative president. The Supreme Court has upheld the law unanimously 9-0.
TikTok has gone dark. Will the Trump administration flout the law to turn it back on?
TikTok has gone dark. Will the Trump administration flout the law to turn it back on?
Not coincidental. Short shorts & speedos &c. fell off a cliff in the 1990s during peak growth of gay awareness.
You can blame it either on straight guys not wanting to be seen as gay or straight guys not wanting to attract gay guys... little of column A, little of column B.
You can blame it either on straight guys not wanting to be seen as gay or straight guys not wanting to attract gay guys... little of column A, little of column B.
January 13, 2025 at 3:09 AM
Not coincidental. Short shorts & speedos &c. fell off a cliff in the 1990s during peak growth of gay awareness.
You can blame it either on straight guys not wanting to be seen as gay or straight guys not wanting to attract gay guys... little of column A, little of column B.
You can blame it either on straight guys not wanting to be seen as gay or straight guys not wanting to attract gay guys... little of column A, little of column B.
Based on polling and news, I think the UK is approaching a tipping point.
It’s been a running joke that the UK has a three party system where the most hated party gets to govern.
But the old parties have consistently given the finger to UK public opinion on key topics, and that isn’t sustainable.
It’s been a running joke that the UK has a three party system where the most hated party gets to govern.
But the old parties have consistently given the finger to UK public opinion on key topics, and that isn’t sustainable.
January 12, 2025 at 4:07 PM
Based on polling and news, I think the UK is approaching a tipping point.
It’s been a running joke that the UK has a three party system where the most hated party gets to govern.
But the old parties have consistently given the finger to UK public opinion on key topics, and that isn’t sustainable.
It’s been a running joke that the UK has a three party system where the most hated party gets to govern.
But the old parties have consistently given the finger to UK public opinion on key topics, and that isn’t sustainable.
The aide quoted in the original story is dead on the money. "The groups" have pushed many Democrats into the position of opposing anything that supports deportations.
This is unpopular.
It is costing Democrats votes.
If Democrats want to win back lost support, they need to change.
This is unpopular.
It is costing Democrats votes.
If Democrats want to win back lost support, they need to change.
January 10, 2025 at 5:55 PM
The aide quoted in the original story is dead on the money. "The groups" have pushed many Democrats into the position of opposing anything that supports deportations.
This is unpopular.
It is costing Democrats votes.
If Democrats want to win back lost support, they need to change.
This is unpopular.
It is costing Democrats votes.
If Democrats want to win back lost support, they need to change.
"Let's not deport illegal immigrants who commit crimes" is a fringe position.
It's no more acceptable among the public than "Let's end birthright citizenship."
Like it or not, Fetterman's political instincts are on point here, and it's likely the PA-SEN race in 2028 will prove it.
It's no more acceptable among the public than "Let's end birthright citizenship."
Like it or not, Fetterman's political instincts are on point here, and it's likely the PA-SEN race in 2028 will prove it.
January 10, 2025 at 5:55 PM
"Let's not deport illegal immigrants who commit crimes" is a fringe position.
It's no more acceptable among the public than "Let's end birthright citizenship."
Like it or not, Fetterman's political instincts are on point here, and it's likely the PA-SEN race in 2028 will prove it.
It's no more acceptable among the public than "Let's end birthright citizenship."
Like it or not, Fetterman's political instincts are on point here, and it's likely the PA-SEN race in 2028 will prove it.
Second, the median voter theorem remains undefeated as the major response of voters to specific policy stances.
Polling shows that popular support for mass immigration has never existed.
Support for illegal immigration is lower.
Support for illegal immigrant criminals is even lower.
Polling shows that popular support for mass immigration has never existed.
Support for illegal immigration is lower.
Support for illegal immigrant criminals is even lower.
January 10, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Second, the median voter theorem remains undefeated as the major response of voters to specific policy stances.
Polling shows that popular support for mass immigration has never existed.
Support for illegal immigration is lower.
Support for illegal immigrant criminals is even lower.
Polling shows that popular support for mass immigration has never existed.
Support for illegal immigration is lower.
Support for illegal immigrant criminals is even lower.