Damn, that beats my campus hedgehog spot a couple of days ago.

Almost snap. I'm teaching it tomorrow.

100%. Wrote my first paper on ACE data. 23 years ago.

Ah, but that's thing. Everything in that movie is flowing completely radially. But the pattern of flow rotates with the Sun. It's a mind bender, for sure!

Yeah, the swpc run gave a 1au speed of nearly 1500 km/s. Which it might be. Who knows, because DSCOVR.

Same.

Do you know any? (In seriousness, I think we're all just guessing in situations like this.)

Although the timing suggests it might only be the 2nd?!

The timing compared with the forecasts suggests this is only the 2nd of 3 CMEs though. And the 3rd is the fastest by some margin.

Shame we have no idea what the speed is. The new L1 monitor can't come online soon enough!

It would fit very well with the forecast.

I suspect tonight will be relatively quiet, but it may pick again early tomorrow. But it's a very complex situation, so all bets are off.

Impossible to say with any certainty. But my interpretation of the near-Earth solar wind data is that the 1st ICME ended around 1030UT this morning and we're likely in something else -- the 2nd ICME or some compressed solar wind between -- now. I think the 3rd and fastest ICME is still to come.

Wow, that's 25% faster than UK Met Office estimated. Guess we'll wait and see!

He was a complete prick. Etc.

True. Though LLMs are also often not great at that kind of intellectual leap either. They can implement a given solution, sure, but not assess how valid it is.