martenberg.bsky.social
@martenberg.bsky.social
Great article. Today’s global stage. Economic fundamentals still matter. But they often share the stage with political calculation and public sentiment.
The 3Ps of Geopolitical Disruption: Profit, Power, Passion.
Richard Baldwin
www.linkedin.com/pulse/3ps-ge...
The 3Ps of Geopolitical Disruption: Profit, Power, Passion.
A Cognitive Framework for Business Leaders. By Richard Baldwin, @IMD, Factful Friday, 5 July 2025 Introduction.
www.linkedin.com
July 5, 2025 at 7:14 PM
Three forces have always shaped globalisation – technology, policies, and geopolitics. What distinguishes the current moment is that all three are accelerating simultaneously but in different directions.

The state of globalisation: A new eBook
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
The state of globalisation: A new eBook
Three forces have always shaped globalisation – technology, policies, and geopolitics. What distinguishes the current moment is that all three are accelerating simultaneously but in different directions. This column introduces a new eBook showing how this divergent acceleration creates transformation rather than retreat from globalisation. But it also generates acute tension between rapidly changing economic flows and policies and slowly adapting institutions, creating fragmentation risks. Nevertheless, the multilateral system's embedded flexibility, economic value, and proven historical capacity for adaptation offer pathways towards cooperative solutions.
cepr.org
June 27, 2025 at 4:50 PM
Interesting read:

The coronavirus pandemic has revealed capitalism’s greatest weakness
qz.com/africa/20160...
The coronavirus pandemic has revealed capitalism’s greatest weakness
Instead of being the great leveler, as pandemics have been throughout history, the coronavirus pandemic has revealed and compounded pre-existing inequalities in wealth, race, gender, age, education an...
qz.com
June 24, 2025 at 8:14 AM
Efforts to relocalise supply chains by sourcing components from domestic rather than international suppliers may have negative effects on global trade, doing little to benefit resilience:global trade to fall by more than 18%, while cutting global GDP by over 5%.

www.gtreview.com/news/global/...
Reshoring supply chains could shrink global trade by 18%, OECD warns
Efforts to relocalise supply chains may have negative effects on global trade, while doing little to benefit resilience, the OECD has warned.
www.gtreview.com
June 19, 2025 at 5:37 PM
In the shorter term, by 2050, the authors estimate climate change will drag global crop yields down by 8%—regardless of how much emissions rise or fall in the coming decades.

Climate change cuts global crop yields despite farmers' adaptation efforts, analysis finds
phys.org/news/2025-06...
June 18, 2025 at 4:12 PM
A ranking with some surprises: The World’s Worst Performing Economies in 2025
www.visualcapitalist.com/ranked-the-w...
June 17, 2025 at 8:01 PM
Nice visual: Breaking Down the $450 Billion of Trade Destruction from U.S. Tariffs

lnkd.in/ew8n3DNt
June 17, 2025 at 2:32 PM
The global economy is facing another substantial
headwind, with increased trade tension and
heightened policy uncertainty.
openknowledge.worldbank.org/server/api/c...
openknowledge.worldbank.org
June 10, 2025 at 7:20 PM
Perhaps the biggest challenge for the US administration is to establish credibility that it will honor any future commitments. After all the chaos.
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Tell Me How This Trade War Ends
The right way to build a new global economic order.
www.foreignaffairs.com
June 9, 2025 at 5:33 PM