Here’s my latest snowfall forecast for the winter storm impacting the Northeast today! Stay tuned for updates and follow my other socials as well! #winterstorm #snow #snowstorm #nyc

Getting concerned about a potent nocturnal QLCS tornado threat tomorrow night into Monday morning across West-Central Texas and possibly into Southwest OK. 500-1000 j/kg of sfc cape, 100-150 j/kg of 3cape, 50-60 knots of 0-6km shear, as well as 0-1km SRH of 300-400 m2/s2.

Safe to say #Rafael is stronger than a 90kt hurricane right now. Recon will be in there soon, but the eye is almost all cleared out on IR with it warming at a rapid pace.

After what had transpired it’s kind of fitting we have another rapidly intensifying hurricane headed towards a land mass that wouldn’t have been as strong if it weren’t for record warm waters….but what do I know!

Kong-Rey has an absolutely massive eye. Winds now at 130 mph.

#Kristy’s weakening trend has definitely commenced the last few hours with substantial degradation of the overall structure. #Tropics

After an ERC last night, #Kristy is going beast mode again. Likely right at Cat 5 status. Pure eye candy. What a textbook looking storm! #Tropics

#Kristy going beast mode late this afternoon! Estimated to be up to 155 mph now. Will be a Cat 5 soon if not already. #Tropics

Hurricane #Kristy is pure eye candy this afternoon as she’s knocking on the door of Cat 5 status. #Tropics

..development. Interests in the Caribbean should watch how this evolves over the next week or two. The southeast US should also watch closely as any increased activity bears watching. I’ll have a detailed update on TikTok soon! (2/2) #tropics #wx

Going to have to watch the Caribbean and western Atlantic for tropical cyclone development the last few days of October into November. Strong MJO (rising motion), low (and lowering) wind shear, and above average SST’s will promote an unusually favorable pattern for (Strong?) tropical cyclone…(1/2)

Small RMW and a warm spike in the pinhole eye show #Oscar is primed to takeoff in the next 18-24 hours while shear is low.

Recon has found that #Oscar is likely a hurricane already. Small storms are extremely fascinating in how fast they can intensify! Rapid intensification can’t be ruled out as conditions are favorable for the next 18-24 hours. #tropics

#Oscar looks pretty good this morning with deep convection firing near the low-level center.

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