Mark Hibbs
Mark Hibbs
@mark88.bsky.social
Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. They are in Washington, D.C. I'm in Berlin.
Appreciate your data on Pinon's Vouvrays. We popped open a '22 Les Déronnières, you called it right. That said, our bottle was 13.5% alc. The one you tasted was a whole percent less. What gives? Is the output a standard deviation where buyers must be careful e. g. to avoid hot wines--caveat emptor?
October 16, 2025 at 8:05 PM
@ 17:25: L'objectif d'Ernest Chausson était-il de se "de-wagneriser" la musique du 19e siècle?
October 3, 2025 at 3:29 PM
re Chinon: Read yr take on Couly-Duteil, also for me in 90s intro to appellation. C-D also had a grand tasting room near Gare du Nord. No more. C-D cld be exhibit A on wine-biz evolution--product differentiation aside, maybe today too many single cuvées, some as you identify having less quality.
October 3, 2025 at 3:10 PM
Maybe decant this and re-taste: by dinnertime 24 hrs later, recorked half approached softer trad Anjou reds, w/o losing contour, so it improved. 600 km from Haute-Loire to Fiefs Vendéen, w/every bottle you learn more & more; your notes are helpful, also in this case.
September 15, 2025 at 10:52 PM
As Nicole's good thread I believe implied, there is a reasonable probability that Iran's post-12-day-war timeline is neither 'never' nor is it 'months'
June 29, 2025 at 8:34 PM
Yes, what does noncompliance inspire? NPT includes reporting procedure, but no enforcement mechanism for noncompliance. That's ad-hoc. Absent common int'l resolve odds favor savvy, determined violator: 25 years and 80 board meetings of Iranian rope-a-dope with the IAEA board.
June 27, 2025 at 9:28 PM
The NYT article is consistent with what I know. The IAEA's information pointing to this conclusion is of a quantitative and measurable nature. It isn't about wishful thinking.
June 26, 2025 at 2:47 PM
Well, it won't happen on the basis of today's IAEA board meeting.
June 23, 2025 at 3:00 PM
The "Iran may be working away at it" answer may get more attention--or less--depending on what the IAEA board requests from the Secretariat & Iran, and how Iran may respond.
June 23, 2025 at 11:50 AM
3/n Even in the case that UNSC would back an eventual IAEA board resolution calling for the IAEA to re-verify Iran's uranium inventory, after the attacks this project would be extremely resource intensive, and require a lot of time, political will, and patience by all parties concerned.
June 22, 2025 at 4:02 PM
2/n Results of an eventual re-verification will be confidential between Iran & IAEA. IAEA cannot voluntarily disclose where nuclear material is located; it would be expected to report to board whether all declared material is accounted for. Undeclared material? Back to square one.
June 22, 2025 at 3:40 PM
Answering these questions is the obligation of the IAEA and Iran enabled by Iran's NPT safeguards agreement. IAEA board can urge what is in effect a re-verification of Iran's inventory. It won't happen without a ceasefire/end of conflict.
June 22, 2025 at 3:24 PM
IAEA board/member states & DG Grossi on Monday will be sorely challenged by internal differences. Hardly feasible that the board at this stage could prompt a critical re-verification by Secretariat of Iran's nuclear material inventory.
June 22, 2025 at 3:00 PM