marcelo-f-aebi.bsky.social
@marcelo-f-aebi.bsky.social
In France (1960–2019), simple correlations look convincing; cointegration/ECM say otherwise (no long-run effect; GDP cointegrates but no dynamic impact).
October 19, 2025 at 10:09 AM
We revisited 70 years of research on whether downturns raise imprisonment. Finding: methods matter—a lot. If theories are mediated/complex, our analytics must be time-series-aware.
October 19, 2025 at 10:09 AM