Manifold Alerts
@manifoldalerts.bsky.social
Posts interesting prediction markets from Manifold Markets, PolyMarket, etc.
Given how chaotic the 2028 GOP primary will be I'm kind of shocked people feel confident enough to bet on this to the tune of 98 million dollars in the pool.
November 24, 2025 at 11:56 AM
Given how chaotic the 2028 GOP primary will be I'm kind of shocked people feel confident enough to bet on this to the tune of 98 million dollars in the pool.
Curious what the split on this one will end up being.
bsky.app/profile/mani...
bsky.app/profile/mani...
Market: Will the IRS refer major Democratic donors for criminal prosecution by EoY 2026?
manifold.markets/JohnDavidPre...
manifold.markets/JohnDavidPre...
Will the IRS refer major Democratic donors for criminal prosecution by EoY 2026?
50% chance. The Wall Street Journal reports that Trump wants to use the IRS to pursue criminal charges against major Democratic donors such as George Soros:
https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/trump-...
manifold.markets
October 16, 2025 at 6:12 AM
Curious what the split on this one will end up being.
bsky.app/profile/mani...
bsky.app/profile/mani...