En plus d'internaliser cet effet incitatif, taxer / interdire ce genre de comportements a probablement des effets symboliques intéressants : rendre plus acceptables les politiques climatiques
@theodoretallent.bsky.social @malojan.bsky.social @luissattelmayer.bsky.social

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Thanks for the @chesdata.bsky.social for collecting the data !

These trends show overall shifts in the past five years but don’t explain when, how, or why radical right parties changed stance or how this affected party competition on climate. Other data can help answer this, hopefully, my dissertation will shed light on it one day.

This suggests that party competition on climate and environmental issues is now shaped not only by the rising opposition from the radical right but also by the growing challenges pro-environment parties face in defending a pro-climate agenda.

Another interesting trend is the decreasing salience of environmental issues among some other party families, including the Greens, as well as parts of the center-right, center-left, and radical left. However, within these groups, we observe much more heterogeneity.

The data shows that this trend is common among most radical right parties in Western Europe, except for parties such as the AfD, PVV, and FVD, which were early adopters of adversarial strategies on green issues.

Radical right parties drive this shift, showing the highest rise in environmental salience since CHES 2019, averaging a 1-point increase (0-10 scale). Meanwhile, the most pro-environment parties, the Greens, have seen a decline in salience.

While historical data from CHES asks about the environment rather than climate change specifically, the expert survey now includes questions on climate position and salience, showing similar results.