@madrykot316.bsky.social
Everyone can now individually assess whether the Russians have achieved their goals. However, it's important to remember that spring is still a long way off, and they will undoubtedly continue to attack the Ukrainian energy sector.
November 16, 2025 at 9:10 AM
Everyone can now individually assess whether the Russians have achieved their goals. However, it's important to remember that spring is still a long way off, and they will undoubtedly continue to attack the Ukrainian energy sector.
At this time, no distributor has confirmed any restrictions on heat or gas supplies. Regarding electricity, Ukrenergo introduced restrictions in eastern and central Ukraine today. In total, two-thirds of Ukrainian regions will be without electricity for 6-8 hours a day.
November 16, 2025 at 9:10 AM
At this time, no distributor has confirmed any restrictions on heat or gas supplies. Regarding electricity, Ukrenergo introduced restrictions in eastern and central Ukraine today. In total, two-thirds of Ukrainian regions will be without electricity for 6-8 hours a day.
These plans envisaged the destruction of the Ukrainian energy sector by November 15th, leaving no more than 20% of its capacity. In other words, Ukraine was to be in a state of complete blackout, with no electricity or gas for 15 hours a day.
November 16, 2025 at 9:09 AM
These plans envisaged the destruction of the Ukrainian energy sector by November 15th, leaving no more than 20% of its capacity. In other words, Ukraine was to be in a state of complete blackout, with no electricity or gas for 15 hours a day.
The same could happen later; suddenly, Polish soldiers could be stationed on the Oder River, forced to attack Germany, even though they may not want to. That's exactly what Russia is doing.
November 15, 2025 at 8:45 PM
The same could happen later; suddenly, Polish soldiers could be stationed on the Oder River, forced to attack Germany, even though they may not want to. That's exactly what Russia is doing.
That's exactly what the future might look like. We think Russia is running out of tanks and money, and after a potential Ukrainian capitulation, the Russians will be able to force current Ukrainian soldiers into "meat attacks" on NATO countries.
November 15, 2025 at 8:44 PM
That's exactly what the future might look like. We think Russia is running out of tanks and money, and after a potential Ukrainian capitulation, the Russians will be able to force current Ukrainian soldiers into "meat attacks" on NATO countries.
While losses are an inevitable part of war, firstly, armored equipment protects infantry and allows soldiers to avoid injury and death. Secondly, it confirms that UA currently possesses armored equipment in sufficient quantities to afford to use it in attacks.
November 14, 2025 at 5:41 PM
While losses are an inevitable part of war, firstly, armored equipment protects infantry and allows soldiers to avoid injury and death. Secondly, it confirms that UA currently possesses armored equipment in sufficient quantities to afford to use it in attacks.
Of course, Ukrainian equipment losses are painful, but there's no way to constantly defend and retreat. You have to seize every opportunity and launch counterattacks. This is precisely how the flexible defense, which Ukraine continues to effectively employ, works.
November 14, 2025 at 5:41 PM
Of course, Ukrainian equipment losses are painful, but there's no way to constantly defend and retreat. You have to seize every opportunity and launch counterattacks. This is precisely how the flexible defense, which Ukraine continues to effectively employ, works.
According to Russian reports, at least several tanks (mainly T-64BVs) and IFVs participated in the attack. Of course, there were losses, but according to StorMap, the Ukrainian zone of control has been expanded by 1.87 km² north of Stupochky.
November 14, 2025 at 5:40 PM
According to Russian reports, at least several tanks (mainly T-64BVs) and IFVs participated in the attack. Of course, there were losses, but according to StorMap, the Ukrainian zone of control has been expanded by 1.87 km² north of Stupochky.
I'm attaching a video found on Russian telegrams showing the repulsion of yesterday's armored attack in Predtechyne and Stupochky. It shows the destruction of at least three Ukrainian tanks.
November 14, 2025 at 5:39 PM
I'm attaching a video found on Russian telegrams showing the repulsion of yesterday's armored attack in Predtechyne and Stupochky. It shows the destruction of at least three Ukrainian tanks.
I guess everyone was surprised by the rapid Russian advances in the second half of September, and since then the situation has been confusing.
November 11, 2025 at 2:23 PM
I guess everyone was surprised by the rapid Russian advances in the second half of September, and since then the situation has been confusing.
As you can see, the situation in Kupyansk is unclear to both sides, and even the Russians themselves are losing faith in the propaganda successes they're being told. Therefore, I also recommend not taking maps that mark red and blue zones based on geolocation seriously.
November 11, 2025 at 1:42 PM
As you can see, the situation in Kupyansk is unclear to both sides, and even the Russians themselves are losing faith in the propaganda successes they're being told. Therefore, I also recommend not taking maps that mark red and blue zones based on geolocation seriously.
successes are indeed being recorded both in Kupyansk and beyond Oskil; The AFU's situation is deteriorating, but even here, things aren't going so smoothly. But who is deceiving them, reporting on near-term operations that haven't even begun? That's the question marked with an asterisk."
November 11, 2025 at 1:42 PM
successes are indeed being recorded both in Kupyansk and beyond Oskil; The AFU's situation is deteriorating, but even here, things aren't going so smoothly. But who is deceiving them, reporting on near-term operations that haven't even begun? That's the question marked with an asterisk."
from rear bunkers, reporting that buildings have been secured and promising the city's imminent liberation. People no longer believe such reports, and in today's reality, they look like mediocre anti-crisis measures, which breeds even greater distrust.
According to our information,
According to our information,
November 11, 2025 at 1:42 PM
from rear bunkers, reporting that buildings have been secured and promising the city's imminent liberation. People no longer believe such reports, and in today's reality, they look like mediocre anti-crisis measures, which breeds even greater distrust.
According to our information,
According to our information,
Recently, Russian news agency TASS reported that Kupyansk should be liberated within four days, a statement Z-Blogger "Rybar" summarized in a long post, which interestingly concludes: "Over the past few days, mainstream Russian media have begun publishing statements from 'assault group commanders'
November 11, 2025 at 1:40 PM
Recently, Russian news agency TASS reported that Kupyansk should be liberated within four days, a statement Z-Blogger "Rybar" summarized in a long post, which interestingly concludes: "Over the past few days, mainstream Russian media have begun publishing statements from 'assault group commanders'
In the southwest of the city, the Russians have dug in in the Yubileiny district, where multi-story residential buildings have been attacked by Ukrainian drone operators for two weeks now. Fighting also continues in the city center, but details are scarce.
November 11, 2025 at 1:39 PM
In the southwest of the city, the Russians have dug in in the Yubileiny district, where multi-story residential buildings have been attacked by Ukrainian drone operators for two weeks now. Fighting also continues in the city center, but details are scarce.
Currently, on the northwestern outskirts of Kupyansk, the AFU is continuing local counterattacks. Meanwhile, the RuAF is attempting to conduct operations westward, toward the village of Myrne.
November 11, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Currently, on the northwestern outskirts of Kupyansk, the AFU is continuing local counterattacks. Meanwhile, the RuAF is attempting to conduct operations westward, toward the village of Myrne.
I've attached two maps: the Ukrainian one by Petrenko on the right, the Russian one by Rybar, on the left. Both clearly show that most of Kupyansk is a gray zone, with the Russians controlling about 25-30% of the city. Petrenko geolocated the clashes and marked them with circles.
November 11, 2025 at 1:39 PM
I've attached two maps: the Ukrainian one by Petrenko on the right, the Russian one by Rybar, on the left. Both clearly show that most of Kupyansk is a gray zone, with the Russians controlling about 25-30% of the city. Petrenko geolocated the clashes and marked them with circles.
As a reminder, for some unknown reason, Gerasimov announced at the end of August that the Russians had captured half the city, as I wrote in the attached thread. Since then, Russians have made significant advances in the city, particularly on the right bank of Oskil River.
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I wrote about Gerasimov's nonsense yesterday in the attached post. There's no point in including any screenshots or links, because we're not here to engage in science fiction.
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Today it turned out that in five months, Gerasimov "liberated" 3,500 square kilometers and 149 villages. Of course, we believe him... 🤪
November 11, 2025 at 1:37 PM
As a reminder, for some unknown reason, Gerasimov announced at the end of August that the Russians had captured half the city, as I wrote in the attached thread. Since then, Russians have made significant advances in the city, particularly on the right bank of Oskil River.
bsky.app/profile/madr...
bsky.app/profile/madr...
Moscow, according to sources, reacted cautiously to the statement, but the very fact of taking the initiative caused noticeable irritation among some in the security establishment, who consider Medvedchuk a "lost figure." Nevertheless, his words could have an impact on Putin."
November 11, 2025 at 11:23 AM
Moscow, according to sources, reacted cautiously to the statement, but the very fact of taking the initiative caused noticeable irritation among some in the security establishment, who consider Medvedchuk a "lost figure." Nevertheless, his words could have an impact on Putin."