Lilli (ETA)
@lillieta.bsky.social
Co-Founder, Board Member, Champion Cat-Herder 🐈 with the Election Truth Alliance (ETA). 📊🔍
🔗To learn more & support the ETA: ElectionTruthAlliance.org
🔗To support me directly: https://buymeacoffee.com/lillieta
🔗To learn more & support the ETA: ElectionTruthAlliance.org
🔗To support me directly: https://buymeacoffee.com/lillieta
Hello! May I ask when you last got in touch, and that it was through our sign-up form? We brought in our HR volunteer in March that has helped us with a lot of our volunteer coordination practices.
Our intake is also usually dependent on our skills needs, so that could be a factor also. Thank you!
Our intake is also usually dependent on our skills needs, so that could be a factor also. Thank you!
April 27, 2025 at 5:09 AM
Hello! May I ask when you last got in touch, and that it was through our sign-up form? We brought in our HR volunteer in March that has helped us with a lot of our volunteer coordination practices.
Our intake is also usually dependent on our skills needs, so that could be a factor also. Thank you!
Our intake is also usually dependent on our skills needs, so that could be a factor also. Thank you!
And most important:
- Be respectful of the volunteers who run ETA's account. They have no obligation to tolerate abuse. If you demonstrate that you are not capable of engaging respectfully, I will take appropriate steps (blocking, etc) to remove your access to them.
Lilli
Exec Director, ETA
- Be respectful of the volunteers who run ETA's account. They have no obligation to tolerate abuse. If you demonstrate that you are not capable of engaging respectfully, I will take appropriate steps (blocking, etc) to remove your access to them.
Lilli
Exec Director, ETA
March 29, 2025 at 2:39 AM
And most important:
- Be respectful of the volunteers who run ETA's account. They have no obligation to tolerate abuse. If you demonstrate that you are not capable of engaging respectfully, I will take appropriate steps (blocking, etc) to remove your access to them.
Lilli
Exec Director, ETA
- Be respectful of the volunteers who run ETA's account. They have no obligation to tolerate abuse. If you demonstrate that you are not capable of engaging respectfully, I will take appropriate steps (blocking, etc) to remove your access to them.
Lilli
Exec Director, ETA
To conclude:
- I believe several of your assertions about ETA's motives and analysis are based on incorrect interpretations.
- I am not confident that you have correctly interpreted what is being measured or 'why'.
- If you want to be engaged in good faith, raise your concerns in good faith.
- I believe several of your assertions about ETA's motives and analysis are based on incorrect interpretations.
- I am not confident that you have correctly interpreted what is being measured or 'why'.
- If you want to be engaged in good faith, raise your concerns in good faith.
March 29, 2025 at 2:30 AM
To conclude:
- I believe several of your assertions about ETA's motives and analysis are based on incorrect interpretations.
- I am not confident that you have correctly interpreted what is being measured or 'why'.
- If you want to be engaged in good faith, raise your concerns in good faith.
- I believe several of your assertions about ETA's motives and analysis are based on incorrect interpretations.
- I am not confident that you have correctly interpreted what is being measured or 'why'.
- If you want to be engaged in good faith, raise your concerns in good faith.
Hi.
My professional background is Political Science. I know what the red mirage is. It has nothing to do with the substance of the ETA's argument.
Methodology & detailed data will be posted in the coming days. Please have patience for the opportunity to review before seeking to discredit.
My professional background is Political Science. I know what the red mirage is. It has nothing to do with the substance of the ETA's argument.
Methodology & detailed data will be posted in the coming days. Please have patience for the opportunity to review before seeking to discredit.
March 29, 2025 at 2:22 AM
Hi.
My professional background is Political Science. I know what the red mirage is. It has nothing to do with the substance of the ETA's argument.
Methodology & detailed data will be posted in the coming days. Please have patience for the opportunity to review before seeking to discredit.
My professional background is Political Science. I know what the red mirage is. It has nothing to do with the substance of the ETA's argument.
Methodology & detailed data will be posted in the coming days. Please have patience for the opportunity to review before seeking to discredit.
Respectfully, is this assertion based on your interpretation of the two charts in the vertical video thumbnail as being compared to each other when they are not?
You are welcome to reject information our organization puts out. I ask that you do not harass the volunteers who run this account.
You are welcome to reject information our organization puts out. I ask that you do not harass the volunteers who run this account.
March 29, 2025 at 2:14 AM
Respectfully, is this assertion based on your interpretation of the two charts in the vertical video thumbnail as being compared to each other when they are not?
You are welcome to reject information our organization puts out. I ask that you do not harass the volunteers who run this account.
You are welcome to reject information our organization puts out. I ask that you do not harass the volunteers who run this account.
Re: 'I would expect Trump to get more [votes], I am not sure you have correctly interpreted what is being shown. The volume of votes or the comparative number of votes received in comparison to mail-in voting, is not what is unexpected. It is the trend line itself that diverges from expectations.
March 29, 2025 at 2:09 AM
Re: 'I would expect Trump to get more [votes], I am not sure you have correctly interpreted what is being shown. The volume of votes or the comparative number of votes received in comparison to mail-in voting, is not what is unexpected. It is the trend line itself that diverges from expectations.
I asked this twice above, but I will ask it again: have you been drawing your arguments from the cropped vertical video format when pointing out what is 'wrong' in these charts? If so, again, they are not being compared to each other. The comparison charts are off screen.
March 29, 2025 at 2:06 AM
I asked this twice above, but I will ask it again: have you been drawing your arguments from the cropped vertical video format when pointing out what is 'wrong' in these charts? If so, again, they are not being compared to each other. The comparison charts are off screen.
Re: your question about a Kristine, I'm not sure who you're referring to, but we do know a Kristine in Clark County who has advised us on the vote there.
We do have two members of our team who live in PA. They are both on our data team; responding to online comments is not in their scope of work.
We do have two members of our team who live in PA. They are both on our data team; responding to online comments is not in their scope of work.
March 29, 2025 at 2:04 AM
Re: your question about a Kristine, I'm not sure who you're referring to, but we do know a Kristine in Clark County who has advised us on the vote there.
We do have two members of our team who live in PA. They are both on our data team; responding to online comments is not in their scope of work.
We do have two members of our team who live in PA. They are both on our data team; responding to online comments is not in their scope of work.
These are not the actions of someone acting in good faith. I encourage you to take a step back, take a deep breath, and remember that there are real human people - real volunteers - on the other side of the screen. Critique is welcomed; abuse is not acceptable.
March 29, 2025 at 1:59 AM
These are not the actions of someone acting in good faith. I encourage you to take a step back, take a deep breath, and remember that there are real human people - real volunteers - on the other side of the screen. Critique is welcomed; abuse is not acceptable.
This is particularly the case with comments from someone who has taken an escalating and aggressive tone, made assertions about misleading people based on incorrect assumptions, and claimed to have been muted when in fact a few hours simply passed without you immediately getting what you wanted.
March 29, 2025 at 1:56 AM
This is particularly the case with comments from someone who has taken an escalating and aggressive tone, made assertions about misleading people based on incorrect assumptions, and claimed to have been muted when in fact a few hours simply passed without you immediately getting what you wanted.
As the volunteer on the ETA account helpfully points out below, the ETA is 100% volunteer-run. They do not have time to respond to every comment, nor should they be expected to drop everything - in their real lives or organizationally or both - to cater to your arbitrary response time expectations.
March 29, 2025 at 1:52 AM
As the volunteer on the ETA account helpfully points out below, the ETA is 100% volunteer-run. They do not have time to respond to every comment, nor should they be expected to drop everything - in their real lives or organizationally or both - to cater to your arbitrary response time expectations.
once again confusing which graphs are being compared here. The vertical video format does not show the whole screen. I recommend watching the horizontal version where you can see what is actually being compared before you jump to conclusions or expressions of anger. (2/?)
March 29, 2025 at 1:48 AM
once again confusing which graphs are being compared here. The vertical video format does not show the whole screen. I recommend watching the horizontal version where you can see what is actually being compared before you jump to conclusions or expressions of anger. (2/?)
Hi -- this is a strong and unhelpful tone you take in this message. Please be considerate to the volunteers who run the ETA Bluesky account. There is no need to 'yell' at them and it does not help your case.
Two of our volunteers do in fact live in PA.
Re: last comment, I believe you are (1?)
Two of our volunteers do in fact live in PA.
Re: last comment, I believe you are (1?)
March 29, 2025 at 1:46 AM
Hi -- this is a strong and unhelpful tone you take in this message. Please be considerate to the volunteers who run the ETA Bluesky account. There is no need to 'yell' at them and it does not help your case.
Two of our volunteers do in fact live in PA.
Re: last comment, I believe you are (1?)
Two of our volunteers do in fact live in PA.
Re: last comment, I believe you are (1?)
in real world scenarios where ballot stuffing has verifiablly occurred and is known through direct witness testimony.
I am curious about your sources and rationale for claiming it is not an appropriate way to analyze election results. Can you please share? Thank you.
I am curious about your sources and rationale for claiming it is not an appropriate way to analyze election results. Can you please share? Thank you.
March 29, 2025 at 1:43 AM
in real world scenarios where ballot stuffing has verifiablly occurred and is known through direct witness testimony.
I am curious about your sources and rationale for claiming it is not an appropriate way to analyze election results. Can you please share? Thank you.
I am curious about your sources and rationale for claiming it is not an appropriate way to analyze election results. Can you please share? Thank you.
possibly the most common variable used in election result analysts looking analysis, and is considered a key potential indicator of ballot stuffing. It has been used to successfully reverse engineer and quantify scope of 'fraud' in test data, and to estimate scale of real world election fraud (4/?)
March 29, 2025 at 1:42 AM
possibly the most common variable used in election result analysts looking analysis, and is considered a key potential indicator of ballot stuffing. It has been used to successfully reverse engineer and quantify scope of 'fraud' in test data, and to estimate scale of real world election fraud (4/?)
4) Re: "turnout percentage not being a useful metric", can you share academic literature that supports this assessment? Turnout % is a standard metric used in international election forensics by leading experts, including Shpilkin, Udot, and numerous others. Turnout % by precinct is (3/?)
March 29, 2025 at 1:38 AM
4) Re: "turnout percentage not being a useful metric", can you share academic literature that supports this assessment? Turnout % is a standard metric used in international election forensics by leading experts, including Shpilkin, Udot, and numerous others. Turnout % by precinct is (3/?)
Have you watched the video itself, or are you basing the assertion of misleading graphs based on the preview image?
It is helpful to hear that feedback at least, because that misconception could be a byproduct of cropping for vertical and is a good thing for our media team to consider. (2?)
It is helpful to hear that feedback at least, because that misconception could be a byproduct of cropping for vertical and is a good thing for our media team to consider. (2?)
March 29, 2025 at 1:35 AM
Have you watched the video itself, or are you basing the assertion of misleading graphs based on the preview image?
It is helpful to hear that feedback at least, because that misconception could be a byproduct of cropping for vertical and is a good thing for our media team to consider. (2?)
It is helpful to hear that feedback at least, because that misconception could be a byproduct of cropping for vertical and is a good thing for our media team to consider. (2?)
3) Re: 'finding graphs deceptive', are you referring to the graphs that appear in the vertical video stacked on top of each other? In the full video, these are not being compared to each other, they are being compared to two other charts that are (due to vertical video format) off screen. (1/?)
March 29, 2025 at 1:32 AM
3) Re: 'finding graphs deceptive', are you referring to the graphs that appear in the vertical video stacked on top of each other? In the full video, these are not being compared to each other, they are being compared to two other charts that are (due to vertical video format) off screen. (1/?)
if electronic vote manipulation did occur, it is likely that the number of votes cast or counted would be key to any algorithm used to achieve a certain outcome (since, again, # of votes is the metric through which elections are won or lost).
I will now go to your other comments.
I will now go to your other comments.
March 29, 2025 at 1:30 AM
if electronic vote manipulation did occur, it is likely that the number of votes cast or counted would be key to any algorithm used to achieve a certain outcome (since, again, # of votes is the metric through which elections are won or lost).
I will now go to your other comments.
I will now go to your other comments.
What we are actually using as a variable that I believe you are referencing is the number of votes cast (at a given precinct). This may seem like a distinction without a difference but it does matter, because # of votes cast is the metric through which elections are won or lost, and because (7?)
March 29, 2025 at 1:28 AM
What we are actually using as a variable that I believe you are referencing is the number of votes cast (at a given precinct). This may seem like a distinction without a difference but it does matter, because # of votes cast is the metric through which elections are won or lost, and because (7?)
either chart in the preview image for the video you are commenting on, which I assume your comments are in reference to. That would involve using either population size, voting aged population size,or registered voters per precinct (likely binned into size categories) and using that as an axis.(6/?)
March 29, 2025 at 1:26 AM
either chart in the preview image for the video you are commenting on, which I assume your comments are in reference to. That would involve using either population size, voting aged population size,or registered voters per precinct (likely binned into size categories) and using that as an axis.(6/?)
rationale behind using specific types of election forensics analysis area included in our longform PA data report, which I look forward to sharing online very soon and will be untested to see if reviewing it will affect your perspective.
2) Size of precinct is not actually a variable used in (5/?)
2) Size of precinct is not actually a variable used in (5/?)
March 29, 2025 at 1:23 AM
rationale behind using specific types of election forensics analysis area included in our longform PA data report, which I look forward to sharing online very soon and will be untested to see if reviewing it will affect your perspective.
2) Size of precinct is not actually a variable used in (5/?)
2) Size of precinct is not actually a variable used in (5/?)
states and counties as well as to Mail-In within the same county.
More R votes on ED and more D votes in MI is expected. A sharp increase in the proportion of R votes only in relation to either turnout rate or # of votes cast at a given precinct is not.
More info about our assumptions and
(4/?)
More R votes on ED and more D votes in MI is expected. A sharp increase in the proportion of R votes only in relation to either turnout rate or # of votes cast at a given precinct is not.
More info about our assumptions and
(4/?)
March 29, 2025 at 1:21 AM
states and counties as well as to Mail-In within the same county.
More R votes on ED and more D votes in MI is expected. A sharp increase in the proportion of R votes only in relation to either turnout rate or # of votes cast at a given precinct is not.
More info about our assumptions and
(4/?)
More R votes on ED and more D votes in MI is expected. A sharp increase in the proportion of R votes only in relation to either turnout rate or # of votes cast at a given precinct is not.
More info about our assumptions and
(4/?)
That difference is indeed something our team has factored into their analysis, and how we did so is described in more detail in our upcoming PA data report.
It is not that they ARE different that significant. It is the TYPE of difference that is significant, compared to Election Day in other(3/?)
It is not that they ARE different that significant. It is the TYPE of difference that is significant, compared to Election Day in other(3/?)
March 29, 2025 at 1:17 AM
That difference is indeed something our team has factored into their analysis, and how we did so is described in more detail in our upcoming PA data report.
It is not that they ARE different that significant. It is the TYPE of difference that is significant, compared to Election Day in other(3/?)
It is not that they ARE different that significant. It is the TYPE of difference that is significant, compared to Election Day in other(3/?)
In terms of whether Election Day and Mail-In are comparable datasets, they collectively form a larger dataset ('total votes'). It is in our view appropriate to compare/contrast them so long as underlying assumptions (ie partisan preferences for specific vote types) are factored in/considered. (2/?)
March 29, 2025 at 1:15 AM
In terms of whether Election Day and Mail-In are comparable datasets, they collectively form a larger dataset ('total votes'). It is in our view appropriate to compare/contrast them so long as underlying assumptions (ie partisan preferences for specific vote types) are factored in/considered. (2/?)