Lesley Anne Warner, PhD
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lesleyannewarner.bsky.social
Lesley Anne Warner, PhD
@lesleyannewarner.bsky.social
Posts about African security issues & U.S.-Africa policy. PhD from @warstudies. Usual caveats apply, but any offensive content comes from my toddlers. 🇹🇹-🇺🇸
Whoops, someone forgot to tell M23 they’re not supposed to be fighting bc of the DRC-Rwanda peace agreement. www.reuters.com/investigatio...
M23 rebels entrench their rule in east Congo even as Trump claims peace
Experts say there’s a chance Congo faces an enduring fracture.
www.reuters.com
December 9, 2025 at 8:41 PM
The Political Theater Behind Trump’s “Guns-a-Blazing” Nigeria Threat

Today in Just Security, I wrote about the political theater behind Trump's threat to go into Nigeria "guns-a-blazing" to protect Christians, who he claims, are being persecuted. I unpack the country's longstanding, multifaceted…
The Political Theater Behind Trump’s “Guns-a-Blazing” Nigeria Threat
Today in Just Security, I wrote about the political theater behind Trump's threat to go into Nigeria "guns-a-blazing" to protect Christians, who he claims, are being persecuted. I unpack the country's longstanding, multifaceted security challenges, including some which are likely being conflated to fit the President's narrative. I provide background as to how this has played in U.S. domestic politics over the past two decades - and how it has evolved from a fringe issue in U.S.-Africa policy into something that is deeply important to the electoral base that won Trump the White House in 2016 and 2024.
lesleyannewarner.com
November 14, 2025 at 3:06 PM
Reposted by Lesley Anne Warner, PhD
Lesley Anne Warner has a lengthy piece about how the U.S. backing away from human rights and democracy concerns will trickle down through Africa to give dictators and autocrats greater leeway to act against civil liberties and the rule of law.
August 1, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Reposted by Lesley Anne Warner, PhD
Cote d’Ivoire’s announced this week that he will run for a controversial fourth term, a move that threatens to reverse years of painstaking progress in the country to consolidate peace and promote social cohesion, @lesleyannewarner.bsky.social writes.
With a Fourth-Term Bid, Cote d’Ivoire’s Ouattara Is Playing With Fire
The Cote d’Ivoire president’s bid for controversial fourth term could backfire, with implications for the country and the region.
www.worldpoliticsreview.com
August 2, 2025 at 12:00 AM
Reposted by Lesley Anne Warner, PhD
The US-brokered DRC–Rwanda peace accord contains a major stumbling block: military integration.

Conflict, stabilization and political transition expert @lesleyannewarner.bsky.social outlines 7 “pillars” for success:

www.justsecurity.org/118753/drc-r...
Seven Pillars of Military Integration for DRC-Rwanda Peace Accord
These pillars outline requirements to manage armed groups and integrate them into statutory military forces during a war-to-peace transition.
www.justsecurity.org
August 11, 2025 at 12:52 PM
From 'Defending the Defenders' to Diplomatic Desertion: The Significance of the U.S. Government Ceasing Moral and Diplomatic Support to Pro-Democracy Activists in Africa
From ‘Defending the Defenders’ to Diplomatic Desertion
With recent popular protests in Kenya and Togo and election-like events on the docket in Cameroon and Uganda in the coming months, I wrote about how we used to tactically use the USG's moral and diplomatic support to 'defend the defenders' of democracy and human rights in Africa when I was on the Hill. It goes without saying that, in Africa and abroad, we are not at all consistent in deploying this support.
lesleyannewarner.com
July 28, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Reposted by Lesley Anne Warner, PhD
While conflict isn’t inevitable, a convergence of familiar patterns in South Sudan has significantly increased the risk of renewed violence, @lesleyannewarner.bsky.social writes.
South Sudan’s Latest Crisis Is Following a Familiar Script
While conflict isn’t inevitable, a convergence of familiar patterns in South Sudan has significantly increased the risk of renewed violence.
www.worldpoliticsreview.com
June 20, 2025 at 5:34 PM
“The Geopolitics of Critical Minerals—Risks, Resilience, and Resource Control”

Earlier this week, I attended a very thought-provoking CFR panel on “The Geopolitics of Critical Minerals—Risks, Resilience, and Resource Control” moderated by Heidi Crebo-Rediker, with David Abraham, Gracelin Baskaran,…
“The Geopolitics of Critical Minerals—Risks, Resilience, and Resource Control”
Earlier this week, I attended a very thought-provoking CFR panel on “The Geopolitics of Critical Minerals—Risks, Resilience, and Resource Control” moderated by Heidi Crebo-Rediker, with David Abraham, Gracelin Baskaran, PhD, Helaina Matza and Laura Taylor-Kale, PhD. Capitalizing on the expertise on stage, I asked their opinions on the value-add for U.S. companies as part of the anticipated DRC critical minerals deal, and asked them to look over-the-horizon and tell us what they thought the demand for critical minerals would be in three decades, based on the reality that we’re currently playing catch up.
lesleyannewarner.com
June 5, 2025 at 5:16 PM
Quick Reflections on DRC/Liberia Election to the UN Security Council

If there were an administration in the U.S. next year that valued the UN - and multilateralism more broadly - the election of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Liberia to the UN Security Council would be a strategic…
Quick Reflections on DRC/Liberia Election to the UN Security Council
If there were an administration in the U.S. next year that valued the UN - and multilateralism more broadly - the election of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Liberia to the UN Security Council would be a strategic windfall. Why? Because all three African non-permanent members of the Security Council next year (DRC, Liberia, Somalia) are relatively pro-American countries (under normal circumstances).
lesleyannewarner.com
June 4, 2025 at 4:46 PM