Les Gillon
@lesgillon.bsky.social
Musician and writer. Supporter of democracy (that used to go without saying) and incurable optimist.
They worked for the Australian National - Liberal party. Their massive overestimation of support for the right wing parties led to what has been described as "Australia's biggest polling debacle" - London Post share.google/IOOltj6Mkrtb...
The Freshwater Strategy Problem: When Internal Numbers Lead Campaigns Astray - London Post
Political campaigns live and die by their polling data, but what happens when those numbers are completely wrong? The 2025 Australian federal election delivered a brutal lesson about the dangers of re...
share.google
November 16, 2025 at 7:59 AM
They worked for the Australian National - Liberal party. Their massive overestimation of support for the right wing parties led to what has been described as "Australia's biggest polling debacle" - London Post share.google/IOOltj6Mkrtb...
Indeed. And Freshwater predicted a Liberal victory.
November 15, 2025 at 12:46 PM
Indeed. And Freshwater predicted a Liberal victory.
Freshwater Strategy is not listed in UK Election Data Vault pollster ratings. It's an Australian company aligned to the Australian Liberal Party.
November 15, 2025 at 8:02 AM
Freshwater Strategy is not listed in UK Election Data Vault pollster ratings. It's an Australian company aligned to the Australian Liberal Party.
Bit of research - it's an Australian company aligned to the Australian Liberal Party.
November 15, 2025 at 7:59 AM
Bit of research - it's an Australian company aligned to the Australian Liberal Party.
Freshwater Strategy is not a pollster I've heard of and they are not listed or rated at UK Election Data Vault.
November 15, 2025 at 7:54 AM
Freshwater Strategy is not a pollster I've heard of and they are not listed or rated at UK Election Data Vault.
Always worth remembering that FindOutNow is rated D
November 14, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Always worth remembering that FindOutNow is rated D
Always worth remembering that FindOutNow is rated D
November 14, 2025 at 7:59 AM
Always worth remembering that FindOutNow is rated D
Always worth remembering that FindOutNow is rated D
November 14, 2025 at 7:58 AM
Always worth remembering that FindOutNow is rated D
Not if tactical voting is taken into consideration
November 11, 2025 at 9:45 PM
Not if tactical voting is taken into consideration
This would result in a hung parliament.
November 11, 2025 at 2:35 PM
This would result in a hung parliament.
Good morning Elaine and thank you once again
November 9, 2025 at 8:42 AM
Good morning Elaine and thank you once again
It's always worth noting that Find Out Now is rated D.
November 7, 2025 at 9:38 AM
It's always worth noting that Find Out Now is rated D.
Well, Reform must be disappointed with the Burnley vote. Good.
November 5, 2025 at 9:21 AM
Well, Reform must be disappointed with the Burnley vote. Good.
Always worth remembering that FindOutNow is rated D.
October 30, 2025 at 11:56 PM
Always worth remembering that FindOutNow is rated D.
Worth remembering that FindOutNow is rated D
October 30, 2025 at 4:59 PM
Worth remembering that FindOutNow is rated D
Always worth noting that FindOutNow is rated D
October 28, 2025 at 8:20 AM
Always worth noting that FindOutNow is rated D
Always worth noting that FindOutNow is rated D.
October 25, 2025 at 11:52 AM
Always worth noting that FindOutNow is rated D.
Tactical vote to keep Reform out. We'll see a lot of that
October 24, 2025 at 5:43 AM
Tactical vote to keep Reform out. We'll see a lot of that
YouGov is rated A-
FindOutNow is rated D
FindOutNow is rated D
October 21, 2025 at 5:08 PM
YouGov is rated A-
FindOutNow is rated D
FindOutNow is rated D
I'm questioning why we're only now seeing results from a poll that's nearly a month out of date?
October 21, 2025 at 8:06 AM
I'm questioning why we're only now seeing results from a poll that's nearly a month out of date?
Good morning Elaine and thank you once again
October 19, 2025 at 5:29 AM
Good morning Elaine and thank you once again
Find Out Now is rated D
September 25, 2025 at 5:28 PM
Find Out Now is rated D
Find Out Now is rated D
September 25, 2025 at 5:28 PM
Find Out Now is rated D
It's worth noting that Find Out Now is rated D.
September 25, 2025 at 5:24 PM
It's worth noting that Find Out Now is rated D.
Worth bearing in mind that Find Out Now is a D rated pollster
September 19, 2025 at 7:22 AM
Worth bearing in mind that Find Out Now is a D rated pollster